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NFL · 2026 Week 1

2026 Week 1 FLEX Rankings

Final pre-kickoff board · published September 9, 2026, 18:40 UTC · first kickoff September 10, 2026, 00:20 UTC

Full PPR, 1QB · 296 players projected · updated September 9, 2026

See how these rankings performed

View current weekly rankings

Week 1 starts from preseason projections and draft position, with current availability and market signals layered in.

How these rankings work

How these rankings are built

We start with preseason player projections and draft position — where players were being selected in fantasy drafts entering the season.

We then update those expectations for Week 1 using recent usage, availability and market signals. Market signals are current sportsbook and prediction-market prices that can reflect changing expectations for a player's workload, performance, or availability.

We then simulate the week 4,000 times and rank players by the projected fantasy points those simulations produce.

This board is priced in Full PPR. The order and the finish percentages below are specific to it: another format is a separate simulation of the same projections, not this table with new points.

FLEX combines RB, WR, TE — the positions a flex seat can start — into one ranking. Quarterbacks are not eligible and are not on it.

What the percentages mean

For every simulation, we rank every flex-eligible player against the others and record where each one finishes.

Top 3
how often he finishes among the top three at RB, WR, TE combined
Top 12
how often he finishes in the top 12
Top 24
how often he finishes in the top 24

A WR with a 58% Top 12 rate finished among the top 12 RB/WR/TE in 58% of the simulated weeks.

What stood out in Week 1

296 FLEX-eligible players ranked for Week 1. Jahmyr Gibbs leads at 20.8 projected points.

Biggest differences from the draft market

Ahead

Behind

  • Jeremiyah LoveRB19Our projection is lower than the outside forecast -6 vs. RB13
  • Rashee RiceWR16Our projection is lower than the outside forecast -5 vs. WR11
  • Kenneth Walker IIIRB17Our projection is lower than the outside forecast -5 vs. RB12
2026 Week 1 FLEX Rankings -- Full PPR scoring: projected fantasy points and the share of simulated weeks finishing top 3, top 12 and top 24 among FLEX-eligible players. From our own statistical and market model, not analyst consensus.
# Pos Player Pos rank Proj
1 RB Jahmyr GibbsDET RB1 20.8
2 WR Puka NacuaLAR WR1 19.5
3 WR Ja'Marr ChaseCINQQuestionable WR2 19.3
4 RB Bijan RobinsonATL RB2 19.3
5 WR Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA WR3 17.9
6 WR Amon-Ra St. BrownDET WR4 17.5
7 RB Christian McCaffreySF RB3 17.3
8 RB Jonathan TaylorIND RB4 16.7
9 WR CeeDee LambDAL WR5 16.1
10 RB De'Von AchaneMIA RB5 16.0
11 WR Justin JeffersonMIN WR6 15.3
12 RB Saquon BarkleyPHI RB6 14.8
13 RB James CookBUF RB7 14.6
14 WR Drake LondonATL WR7 14.0
15 WR Nico CollinsHOU WR8 13.9
16 TE Trey McBrideARI TE1 13.8
17 RB Omarion HamptonLAC RB8 13.7
18 TE Brock BowersLV TE2 13.6
19 RB Chase BrownCIN RB9 13.3
20 WR A.J. BrownNE WR9 13.3
21 RB Derrick HenryBAL RB10 12.9
22 WR George PickensDAL WR10 12.9
23 WR DeVonta SmithPHI WR11 12.8
24 WR Chris OlaveNO WR12 12.7
25 RB Breece HallNYJQQuestionable RB11 12.1
26 WR Tetairoa McMillanCAR WR13 12.0
27 WR Malik NabersNYGQQuestionable WR14 11.7
28 RB Ashton JeantyLVQQuestionable RB12 11.6
29 WR Garrett WilsonNYJ WR15 11.5
30 WR Rashee RiceKC WR16 11.5
31 TE Colston LovelandCHI TE3 11.1
32 RB Javonte WilliamsDAL RB13 11.0
33 WR Emeka EgbukaTBQQuestionable WR17 10.8
34 WR Zay FlowersBALQQuestionable WR18 10.8
35 RB Rhamondre StevensonNE RB14 10.8
36 WR Davante AdamsLAR WR19 10.7
37 TE Tyler WarrenINDQQuestionable TE4 10.6
38 WR Tee HigginsCINQQuestionable WR20 10.3
39 WR Ladd McConkeyLAC WR21 10.3
40 RB Kyren WilliamsLAR RB15 10.2
41 RB Travis EtienneNO RB16 10.1
42 RB Kenneth Walker IIIKC RB17 10.0
43 RB Cam SkatteboNYG RB18 10.0
44 RB Jeremiyah LoveARIQQuestionable RB19 9.7
45 TE Kyle PittsATL TE5 9.6
46 WR Luther Burden IIICHIQQuestionable WR22 9.5
47 RB Quinshon JudkinsCLE RB20 9.2
48 RB Jadarian PriceSEA RB21 9.2
49 RB Bucky IrvingTB RB22 9.1
50 WR Rome OdunzeCHIQQuestionable WR23 8.9
51 RB David MontgomeryHOU RB23 8.8
52 RB Jaylen WarrenPIT RB24 8.8
53 WR DJ MooreBUF WR24 8.7
54 RB Bhayshul TutenJAXQQuestionable RB25 8.7
55 WR DK MetcalfPITQQuestionable WR25 8.5
56 WR Terry McLaurinWAS WR26 8.5
57 TE Harold Fannin Jr.CLE TE6 8.4
58 TE Sam LaPortaDETQQuestionable TE7 8.3
59 RB Tony PollardTEN RB26 8.3
60 TE George KittleSFQQuestionable TE8 8.3
61 WR Jameson WilliamsDET WR27 8.3
62 RB MarShawn LloydGB RB27 8.1
63 RB Rico DowdlePIT RB28 8.1
64 WR Mike EvansSF WR28 8.1
65 TE Dallas GoedertPHI TE9 7.8
66 WR Jaylen WaddleDEN WR29 7.8
67 WR Carnell TateTENQQuestionable WR30 7.8
68 WR Marvin Harrison Jr.ARI WR31 7.7
69 RB Kenny GainwellTB RB29 7.7
70 WR Wan'Dale RobinsonTENQQuestionable WR32 7.6
71 WR Michael WilsonARI WR33 7.6
72 WR Alec PierceIND WR34 7.5
73 WR Matthew GoldenGB WR35 7.5
74 RB Aaron JonesMIN RB30 7.4
75 WR Michael PittmanPITQQuestionable WR36 7.4
76 TE Mark AndrewsBAL TE10 7.4
77 RB D'Andre SwiftCHIQQuestionable RB31 7.4
78 TE Jake FergusonDAL TE11 7.3
79 WR Jayden ReedGB WR37 7.3
80 WR Stefon DiggsWAS WR38 7.3
81 WR Jordan AddisonMIN WR39 7.2
82 WR Parker WashingtonJAX WR40 7.2
83 WR Jakobi MeyersJAXQQuestionable WR41 7.2
84 WR Quentin JohnstonLAC WR42 7.2
85 WR Christian WatsonGB WR43 7.1
86 WR Brian Thomas Jr.JAX WR44 7.1
87 TE Tucker KraftGBQQuestionable TE12 7.1
88 WR Jalen CokerCAR WR45 6.9
89 WR Chris Godwin Jr.TB WR46 6.9
90 WR Devaughn VeleNO WR47 6.8
91 WR Khalil ShakirBUFQQuestionable WR48 6.8
92 TE Isaiah LikelyNYG TE13 6.8
93 WR Courtland SuttonDEN WR49 6.7
94 WR De'Zhaun StriblingSF WR50 6.7
95 WR Tre TuckerLV WR51 6.7
96 TE Dalton KincaidBUF TE14 6.6
97 RB Tyjae SpearsTEN RB32 6.6
98 RB Rachaad WhiteWASQQuestionable RB33 6.5
99 TE Travis KelceKC TE15 6.4
100 TE Hunter HenryNE TE16 6.3
101 TE T.J. HockensonMIN TE17 6.2
102 WR KC ConcepcionCLE WR52 6.1
103 WR Rashid ShaheedSEA WR53 6.1
104 WR Josh DownsINDQQuestionable WR54 6.0
105 TE Brenton StrangeJAX TE18 5.9
106 RB Jonathon BrooksCARQQuestionable RB34 5.9
107 RB Chuba HubbardCARQQuestionable RB35 5.9
108 WR Romeo DoubsNE WR55 5.9
109 TE Dalton SchultzHOU TE19 5.9
110 TE Juwan JohnsonNO TE20 5.7
111 RB Blake CorumLAR RB36 5.6
112 WR Deebo Samuel Sr.SF WR56 5.6
113 WR Makai LemonPHI WR57 5.5
114 RB Jacory Croskey-MerrittWASQQuestionable RB37 5.5
115 RB Kyle MonangaiCHIQQuestionable RB38 5.2
116 TE Pat FreiermuthPIT TE21 5.2
117 WR Xavier WorthyKC WR58 5.2
118 WR Dontayvion WicksPHI WR59 5.2
119 RB J.K. DobbinsDEN RB39 5.2
120 RB Woody MarksHOU RB40 5.2
121 WR Jalen McMillanTBQQuestionable WR60 5.1
122 RB Jordan MasonMIN RB41 5.1
123 WR Adonai MitchellNYJ WR61 5.1
124 WR Denzel BostonCLE WR62 5.1
125 WR Calvin RidleyTEN WR63 5.1
126 WR Malik WashingtonMIA WR64 5.0
127 TE Terrance FergusonLAR TE22 4.9
128 WR Cooper KuppSEA WR65 4.9
129 WR Jalen NailorLV WR66 4.8
130 RB George HolaniSEA RB42 4.8
131 WR Kayshon BoutteHOU WR67 4.8
132 WR Jerry JeudyCLE WR68 4.8
133 TE AJ BarnerSEA TE23 4.8
134 TE Gunnar HelmTEN TE24 4.7
135 TE Greg DulcichMIA TE25 4.7
136 WR Jauan JenningsMIN WR69 4.7
137 WR Caleb DouglasMIA WR70 4.7
138 WR Rashod BatemanBAL WR71 4.6
139 TE Chig OkonkwoWAS TE26 4.6
140 WR Tre HarrisLACQQuestionable WR72 4.6
141 RB RJ HarveyDEN RB43 4.5
142 RB Samaje PerineCIN RB44 4.4
143 WR Xavier HutchinsonHOU WR73 4.2
144 RB Justice HillBAL RB45 4.2
145 WR Jaylin NoelHOUQQuestionable WR74 4.2
146 RB Chris BrooksGB RB46 4.1
147 RB Mike Washington Jr.LV RB47 4.0
148 WR Keenan AllenIND WR75 4.0
149 RB Tyler AllgeierARI RB48 3.9
150 WR Xavier LegetteCARQQuestionable WR76 3.9
151 WR Travis HunterJAX WR77 3.9
152 TE Cade OttonTB TE27 3.9
153 TE Mike GesickiCIN TE28 3.9
154 WR Germie BernardPIT WR78 3.8
155 WR Ja'Kobi LaneBAL WR79 3.8
156 WR Malachi FieldsNYG WR80 3.8
157 TE Michael MayerLV TE29 3.7
158 WR Jahan DotsonATL WR81 3.7
159 TE Kenyon SadiqNYJQQuestionable TE30 3.6
160 TE Mason TaylorNYJ TE31 3.6
161 RB Kendre MillerNOQQuestionable RB49 3.6
162 RB Keaton MitchellLACQQuestionable RB50 3.6
163 RB Chris Rodriguez Jr.JAX RB51 3.5
164 TE Darren WallerCAR TE32 3.4
165 WR Jack BechLV WR82 3.4
166 TE David NjokuLAC TE33 3.4
167 WR Kendrick BourneARI WR83 3.4
168 TE Darnell WashingtonPIT TE34 3.3
169 WR DeMario DouglasNE WR84 3.3
170 TE Colby ParkinsonLAR TE35 3.3
171 RB Brian RobinsonATL RB52 3.3
172 WR Isaac TeSlaaDET WR85 3.2
173 RB Braelon AllenNYJ RB53 3.2
174 WR Omar Cooper Jr.NYJ WR86 3.2
175 WR Jalen TolbertMIA WR87 3.2
176 RB Dylan SampsonCLE RB54 3.2
177 RB Najee HarrisNYG RB55 3.1
178 WR Ryan FlournoyDAL WR88 3.1
179 RB Jacob SaylorsDET RB56 3.1
180 RB Corey KinerARI RB57 3.1
181 WR Chris BellMIA WR89 3.1
182 RB Ty JohnsonBUFQQuestionable RB58 3.0
183 WR Zachariah BranchATL WR90 3.0
184 TE Evan EngramDEN TE36 3.0
185 TE Dawson KnoxBUF TE37 3.0
186 RB Jonah ColemanDEN RB59 2.9
187 RB Tank BigsbyPHI RB60 2.9
188 WR Kalif RaymondCHI WR91 2.9
189 WR Antonio WilliamsWAS WR92 2.8
190 WR Tyquan ThorntonKC WR93 2.8
191 WR Pat BryantDEN WR94 2.8
192 WR Keon ColemanBUFQQuestionable WR95 2.8
193 TE Cole KmetCHI TE38 2.8
194 WR Andrei IosivasCIN WR96 2.7
195 WR Mack HollinsNE WR97 2.7
196 WR Kevin Coleman Jr.MIA WR98 2.7
197 WR Darnell MooneyNYG WR99 2.7
198 WR Malik BensonLV WR100 2.7
199 WR Bryce LanceNO WR101 2.7
200 WR Ted Hurst IIITB WR102 2.7

How these are made

This board was built from draft position for 100%, an outside projection for 64%, sportsbook props for 30%, an official status for 85%, over 4,000 simulated weeks. The projection and the odds are both unconditional: for a player carrying an official Questionable or Doubtful, the weeks he sits are in the average and in the odds. Ranks follow projected points for Full PPR, 1QB.

Availability is a model input: players ruled out, inactive, on a reserve list or without a game are left off the weekly board, and an official Questionable or Doubtful is simulated as playing 71% and 7% of the time. Status evidence was captured September 9, 2026 18:39 UTC. Model rankings-v1.3.0, board captured 2026-09-09.

LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.

LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.3.0. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections); Polymarket (prediction-market prices); The Odds API (player props).

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