PHI · Bye 10
DeVonta Smith
DeVonta Smith comes off the board at 3.10 on average in 12-team Full PPR 1QB mock drafts, with a median of 3.10.
12-team Full PPR 1QB · 10,000 simulations · generated August 20, 2026
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulated ADP
3.10
pick 34.2 overall, on average
Median pick
3.10
half of simulations take him by pick 34
Draft range
2.08 - 4.11
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in every one
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 3.10 in 53% of simulations
Pick 34 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 10, the same seat picks again at 4.03, where he is available in 35% of simulations.
Slot 10's remaining turns: 3.10 53% · 4.03 35% · 5.10 1% · 6.03 <1% · 7.10 0%
The middle half of simulations take him between 3.03 and 4.05.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 3.08 | 61% |
| 3.09 | 57% |
| 3.10 | 53% |
| 3.11 | 49% |
| 3.12 | 46% |
| 4.01 | 42% |
| 4.02 | 39% |
| 4.03 | 35% |
| 4.04 | 32% |
| 4.05 | 28% |
| 4.06 | 25% |
| 4.07 | 22% |
| 4.08 | 19% |
| 4.09 | 16% |
| 4.10 | 14% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 2.08-2.09 | 3% | 332 of 10000 simulations |
| 2.10-2.11 | 4% | 432 of 10000 simulations |
| 2.12-3.01 | 5% | 506 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.02-3.03 | 5% | 521 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.04-3.05 | 6% | 575 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.06-3.07 | 7% | 671 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.08-3.09 | 8% | 756 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.10-3.11 | 8% | 760 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.12-4.01 | 7% | 701 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.02-4.03 | 7% | 719 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.04-4.05 | 7% | 665 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.06-4.07 | 6% | 589 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.08-4.09 | 5% | 540 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.10-4.11 | 4% | 396 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 10000 simulations in which DeVonta Smith was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Rashee Rice WR · KC 3%
- George Pickens WR · DAL 3%
- Nico Collins WR · HOU 3%
- Malik Nabers WR · NYG 3%
Usually taken just after
- Tee Higgins WR · CIN 3%
- Chris Olave WR · NO 3%
- Garrett Wilson WR · NYJ 3%
- Tetairoa McMillan WR · CAR 3%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room. Nothing is estimated at page load: the batch runs offline and this page reads the result.
DeVonta Smith was selected in 10000 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here has that count behind it, which is what it should be judged on.
We license no ADP feed, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.1
- Generated
- August 20, 2026
- Player dataset
- sleeper@2026-08-19T17:30:21.894Z
- Baseline
- rank
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Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.