LAR · Bye 11
Puka Nacua
Puka Nacua comes off the board at 1.08 on average in 12-team Full PPR 1QB mock drafts, with a median of 1.07.
12-team Full PPR 1QB · 10,000 simulations · generated August 20, 2026
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulated ADP
1.08
pick 7.7 overall, on average
Median pick
1.07
half of simulations take him by pick 7
Draft range
1.02 - 2.02
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in every one
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 1.07 in 55% of simulations
Pick 7 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 7, the same seat picks again at 2.06, where he is available in 2% of simulations.
Slot 7's remaining turns: 1.07 55% · 2.06 2% · 3.07 0%
The middle half of simulations take him between 1.04 and 1.11.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 1.05 | 69% |
| 1.06 | 62% |
| 1.07 | 55% |
| 1.08 | 48% |
| 1.09 | 41% |
| 1.10 | 35% |
| 1.11 | 29% |
| 1.12 | 22% |
| 2.01 | 17% |
| 2.02 | 12% |
| 2.03 | 8% |
| 2.04 | 6% |
| 2.05 | 3% |
| 2.06 | 2% |
| 2.07 | <1% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 1.02 | 8% | 781 of 10000 simulations |
| 1.03 | 8% | 786 of 10000 simulations |
| 1.04 | 8% | 814 of 10000 simulations |
| 1.05 | 7% | 744 of 10000 simulations |
| 1.06 | 7% | 695 of 10000 simulations |
| 1.07 | 7% | 656 of 10000 simulations |
| 1.08 | 7% | 666 of 10000 simulations |
| 1.09 | 6% | 638 of 10000 simulations |
| 1.10 | 6% | 639 of 10000 simulations |
| 1.11 | 6% | 630 of 10000 simulations |
| 1.12 | 6% | 587 of 10000 simulations |
| 2.01 | 4% | 437 of 10000 simulations |
| 2.02 | 4% | 381 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 10000 simulations in which Puka Nacua was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Ja'Marr Chase WR · CIN 8%
- Bijan Robinson RB · ATL 8%
- Jahmyr Gibbs RB · DET 8%
- Jonathan Taylor RB · IND 7%
Usually taken just after
- Ja'Marr Chase WR · CIN 8%
- Bijan Robinson RB · ATL 7%
- Jonathan Taylor RB · IND 7%
- Jahmyr Gibbs RB · DET 6%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room. Nothing is estimated at page load: the batch runs offline and this page reads the result.
Puka Nacua was selected in 10000 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here has that count behind it, which is what it should be judged on.
We license no ADP feed, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.1
- Generated
- August 20, 2026
- Player dataset
- sleeper@2026-08-19T17:30:21.894Z
- Baseline
- rank
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.