NE · Bye 11
Rhamondre Stevenson
LMD RB27 for Week 4 · 10.1 projected Full PPR points · RB27 rest of season
Regular season
Week 4 and rest of season fantasy rankings
We project 10.1 points this week, RB27. Top 3: 2% · Top 12: 18% · Top 24: 44% of simulated weeks. Down 1 since Week 3.
Week 4
RB27
106th by projected points
Rest of season
RB27
80th by projected points
Projected
10.1
week 4, Full PPR
Top 12
18%
Top 3: 2% · Top 24: 44% at RB
Movement
↓ 1
RB26 in Week 3, RB27 now
Should you start Rhamondre Stevenson in Week 4?
Borderline
It is close. LMD ranks Rhamondre Stevenson RB27 for Week 4, just outside the RB24 starter line. He finishes inside RB24 in 44% of simulated weeks.
The starter line is a standard 12-team lineup's, and is the line LMD's weekly accuracy review grades this board against.
- Draft / market prior
- Neutral-0.05 pts
- Recent usage & efficiency
- Slight negative-0.42 pts
- AvailabilityAvailable
- Neutral0.00 pts
- Outside projection
- Slight positive+0.35 pts
- Betting markets
- Slight negative-0.30 pts
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?
How to read
- Full model minus the model without each factor.
- Effects are not additive or changes in rank.
- Recent data includes its effect on blending weights.
- A range note means a factor moved the spread and not the expected points.
Full PPR scoring · Updated October 4, 2026
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
Updates
Recent updates
-
Rhamondre Stevenson Has a Case for Greatest Patriots RB
Yahoo Sports ·
-
Rhamondre Stevenson unproductive for a second straight week
USA TODAY ·
-
Patriots feel they need both TreVeyon Henderson, Rhamondre Stevenson
saratogian.com ·
-
‘They’re Going After That Ball’ Rhamondre Stevenson Warns Patriots About Steelers’ Turnover Hunt
Yahoo Sports ·
-
ADP UPDATE
Rhamondre Stevenson's ADP at Fantasy Football Calculator moved from 62.9 to 56.9 over the last 7 days.
Headlines from other publishers, discovered automatically and matched to Rhamondre Stevenson by name -- we did not write these and we do not host them, and each one opens at the publisher who did. Draft-position figures are measured, and name the market they came from.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Over 3 completed games Rhamondre Stevenson has averaged -2.3 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | @ SEA | 10.8 | 14.5 | +3.7 |
| Wk 2 | vs PIT | 10.5 | 3.6 | -6.9 |
| Wk 3 | @ JAX | 10.4 | 6.8 | -3.6 |
| Wk 4 | @ BUF | 10.1 | Pending | — |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Draft Return
How he compares with his draft price
The draft market had him at RB24. For the rest of the season LMD has him 3 spots lower, at RB27.
Preseason market: RB24 · ADP 60.4
Season to date
Ranking what he has actually scored needs every player's season, and that board is not published yet.
Rest of season
RB27 −3
LMD has him 3 spots lower than his RB24 draft price.
Week 4
RB27 −3
LMD has him 3 spots lower than his RB24 draft price.
Full PPR scoring · benchmark September 9, 2026
Season to date is what he has actually scored, ranked among his position. Rest of season and this week are LMD's current expectations rather than results. All three are compared with where the draft market had him before the season started.
RB24 is where Fantasy Football Calculator had him on September 9, 2026, the last board taken before the season's first kickoff. Later boards absorb what has happened since, so they are a current market rather than a draft price.
Regular season
Why LMD has him here
We project 136.8 points this season, RB27. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 1% · Top 24: 33% of simulated seasons. That is 10.0 a game over 14 remaining games. Up 1 since the Oct. 1 board.
Per game
10.0 / game
Over 14 remaining game(s)
Finishing odds
Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 1% · Top 24: 33%
Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at RB
Market input
broad
Broad market coverage across several venues and markets.
LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.4.1. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections); PropLine (player props). · 2026 Rest of season board updated October 4, 2026
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Rhamondre Stevenson #102 in 1QB and #107 in Superflex, RB34 at his position. Age 28.
1QB
#102
RB34 · tier 24 · of 297
Superflex
#107
RB34 · tier 19 · of 303
- Last season 162.8 pts 11.6 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
- Availability 82% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
- History 3 seasons Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
- Touches 14.4 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 10% of his team's targets.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
7.02
pick 73.8 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
7.02
half of simulations take him by pick 74
Draft range
5.10 - 8.05
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in every one
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 7.02 in 52% of simulations
Pick 74 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 2, the same seat picks again at 8.11, where he is available in 4% of simulations.
Slot 2's remaining turns: 7.02 52% · 8.11 4% · 9.02 2% · 10.11 0%
The middle half of simulations take him between 6.05 and 7.10.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 6.12 | 58% |
| 7.01 | 55% |
| 7.02 | 52% |
| 7.03 | 48% |
| 7.04 | 45% |
| 7.05 | 42% |
| 7.06 | 39% |
| 7.07 | 36% |
| 7.08 | 33% |
| 7.09 | 30% |
| 7.10 | 27% |
| 7.11 | 24% |
| 7.12 | 21% |
| 8.01 | 19% |
| 8.02 | 16% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 5.10-5.11 | 4% | 362 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.12-6.01 | 4% | 397 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.02-6.03 | 3% | 346 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.04-6.05 | 5% | 461 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.06-6.07 | 5% | 509 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.08-6.09 | 6% | 560 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.10-6.11 | 6% | 632 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.12-7.01 | 6% | 596 of 10000 simulations |
| 7.02-7.03 | 6% | 633 of 10000 simulations |
| 7.04-7.05 | 6% | 613 of 10000 simulations |
| 7.06-7.07 | 6% | 625 of 10000 simulations |
| 7.08-7.09 | 6% | 596 of 10000 simulations |
| 7.10-7.11 | 6% | 569 of 10000 simulations |
| 7.12-8.01 | 5% | 492 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.02-8.03 | 4% | 392 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.04-8.05 | 3% | 334 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 10000 simulations in which Rhamondre Stevenson was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Jadarian Price RB · SEA 3%
- Chuba Hubbard RB · CAR 3%
- RJ Harvey RB · DEN 3%
- TreVeyon Henderson RB · NE 3%
Usually taken just after
- Jadarian Price RB · SEA 3%
- Chuba Hubbard RB · CAR 3%
- Kyle Monangai RB · CHI 3%
- RJ Harvey RB · DEN 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Rhamondre Stevenson was selected in 10000 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of October 1, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.
A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- October 1, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
- Baseline
- mixed
- Market prior
- ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-10-01)
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.