LAC · Bye 7
David Njoku
LMD TE54 rest of season · 50.4 projected Full PPR points
Reserve list (IR)
In season
Rest of season fantasy ranking
We project 50.4 points this season, TE54. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 0% of simulated seasons. That is 4.6 a game over 10.825 remaining games. On a reserve list (IR), so the season projection prices the games he misses. Down 9 since the Oct. 1 board.
Rest of season
TE54
270th by projected points
Projected
50.4
rest of season, Full PPR
Top 12
0%
Top 3: 0% · Top 24: 0% at TE
Movement
↓ 9
TE45 on Oct. 1, TE54 now
Full PPR scoring · Updated October 4, 2026
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
Updates
Recent updates
-
Chargers news: Justin Herbert, LA's dreadful start gets worse with David Njoku injury
Yahoo Sports ·
Headlines from other publishers, discovered automatically and matched to David Njoku by name -- we did not write these and we do not host them, and each one opens at the publisher who did.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Over 2 completed games David Njoku has averaged +2.1 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs ARI | 3.4 | 10.8 | +7.4 |
| Wk 2 | vs LV | 5.1 | 1.9 | -3.2 |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Regular season
Why LMD has him here
We project 50.4 points this season, TE54. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 0% of simulated seasons. That is 4.6 a game over 10.825 remaining games. On a reserve list (IR), so the season projection prices the games he misses. Down 9 since the Oct. 1 board.
Per game
4.6 / game
Over 10.825 remaining game(s)
Finishing odds
Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 0%
Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at TE
Market input
none
No market signal available.
LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.4.1. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections); PropLine (player props). · 2026 Rest of season board updated October 4, 2026
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has David Njoku #262 in 1QB and #266 in Superflex, TE43 at his position. Age 30.
1QB
#262
TE43 · tier 61 · of 297
Superflex
#266
TE43 · tier 53 · of 303
- Last season 69.8 pts 6.3 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
- Availability 71% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
- History 3 seasons Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
- Touches 6.4 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 17% of his team's targets.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
13.06
pick 150.1 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
12.11
half of simulations take him by pick 143
Draft range
11.10 - 15.08
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 6,393 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 12.11 in 69% of simulations
Pick 143 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 2, the same seat picks again at 13.02, where he is available in 64% of simulations.
Slot 2's remaining turns: 12.11 69% · 13.02 64% · 14.11 55% · 15.02 52%
The middle half of simulations take him between 12.03 and 15.01.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 12.09 | 73% |
| 12.10 | 71% |
| 12.11 | 69% |
| 12.12 | 66% |
| 13.01 | 64% |
| 13.02 | 64% |
| 13.03 | 63% |
| 13.04 | 63% |
| 13.05 | 63% |
| 13.06 | 62% |
| 13.07 | 62% |
| 13.08 | 62% |
| 13.09 | 62% |
| 13.10 | 61% |
| 13.11 | 61% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 11.10-11.11 | 4% | 361 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.12-12.01 | 4% | 383 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.02-12.03 | 4% | 397 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.04-12.05 | 4% | 366 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.06-12.07 | 4% | 441 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.08-12.09 | 4% | 436 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.10-12.11 | 5% | 459 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.12-13.01 | 3% | 254 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.02-13.03 | <1% | 78 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.04-13.05 | <1% | 62 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.06-13.07 | <1% | 46 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.08-13.09 | <1% | 52 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.10-13.11 | <1% | 57 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.12-14.01 | <1% | 83 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.02-14.03 | 1% | 104 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.04-14.05 | 1% | 124 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.06-14.07 | 1% | 120 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.08-14.09 | 1% | 120 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.10-14.11 | 1% | 144 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.12-15.01 | 2% | 221 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.02-15.03 | 2% | 245 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.04-15.05 | 3% | 272 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.06-15.07 | 3% | 282 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.08 | 2% | 166 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 6393 simulations in which David Njoku was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Rachaad White RB · WAS 2%
- Jayden Higgins WR · HOU 2%
- Matthew Golden WR · GB 2%
- Trey Benson RB · ARI 2%
Usually taken just after
- Brandon Aubrey K · DAL 3%
- Deebo Samuel Sr. WR · SF 2%
- Jayden Higgins WR · HOU 2%
- Emmett Johnson RB · KC 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
David Njoku was selected in 6393 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of October 1, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.
A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- October 1, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
- Baseline
- mixed
- Market prior
- ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-10-01)
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.