ATL · Bye 11 · Rookie
Zachariah Branch
LMD WR122 for Week 4 · 2.9 projected Half PPR points · WR136 rest of season
Regular season
Week 4 and rest of season fantasy rankings
We project 2.9 points this week, WR122. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 1% · Top 24: 2% of simulated weeks. Up 12 since Week 3.
Week 4
WR122
260th by projected points
Rest of season
WR136
253rd by projected points
Projected
2.9
week 4, Half PPR
Top 12
1%
Top 3: 0% · Top 24: 2% at WR
Movement
↑ 12
WR134 in Week 3, WR122 now
Should you start Zachariah Branch in Week 4?
Bench
Not in a standard 12-team league. LMD ranks Zachariah Branch WR122 for Week 4, outside the WR24 starter line and outside the range this reading covers. He finishes inside WR24 in 2% of simulated weeks.
The starter line is a standard 12-team lineup's, and is the line LMD's weekly accuracy review grades this board against.
- Draft / market prior
- Positive+0.86 pts
- Recent usage & efficiency
- Negative-0.84 pts
- AvailabilityAvailable
- Neutral0.00 pts
- Outside projection
- Slight negative-0.20 pts
- Betting markets
- No mean changeNarrower range-0.00 pts
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?
How to read
- Full model minus the model without each factor.
- Effects are not additive or changes in rank.
- Recent data includes its effect on blending weights.
- A range note means a factor moved the spread and not the expected points.
Half PPR scoring · Updated October 4, 2026
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
Updates
Recent updates
-
Atlanta Falcons wide receiver Zachariah Branch broke loose on a return, but a penalty wiped it out against the Steelers.
Sports Illustrated ·
-
3 ways Falcons could utilize Zachariah Branch during 2026 rookie season
Yahoo Sports ·
-
Zachariah Branch on track to play in Week 1
USA TODAY ·
Headlines from other publishers, discovered automatically and matched to Zachariah Branch by name -- we did not write these and we do not host them, and each one opens at the publisher who did.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Over 2 completed games Zachariah Branch has averaged -1.6 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | @ PIT | 2.4 | 0.0 | -2.4 |
| Wk 2 | — | — | 2.4 | — |
| Wk 3 | @ GB | 2.0 | 1.2 | -0.8 |
| Wk 4 | @ NO | 2.9 | — | — |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Regular season
Why LMD has him here
We project 43.4 points this season, WR136. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 0% of simulated seasons. That is 2.9 a game over 14 remaining games. Up 14 since the Oct. 1 board.
Per game
2.9 / game
Over 14 remaining game(s)
Finishing odds
Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 0%
Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at WR
Market input
thin
Thin market coverage: few venues or markets priced this player.
LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.4.1. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections); PropLine (player props). · 2026 Rest of season board updated October 4, 2026
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Zachariah Branch #169 in 1QB and #175 in Superflex, WR71 at his position, priced from his draft slot as a rookie. Age 22.
1QB
#169
WR71 · tier 39 · of 297 · rookie 20 of 52
Superflex
#175
WR71 · tier 33 · of 303 · rookie 20 of 52
- Draft capital Round 3, pick 79 (2026) A rookie is priced from where he was drafted, on a prior fitted over prior classes.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.
Dynasty rankings Dynasty WR rankings Dynasty rookie rankings
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB Dynasty drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
14.06
pick 161.8 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
14.05
half of simulations take him by pick 161
Draft range
13.05 - 15.08
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 7,902 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 14.05 in 62% of simulations
Pick 161 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 8, the same seat picks again at 15.08, where he is available in 29% of simulations.
Slot 8's remaining turns: 14.05 62% · 15.08 29%
The middle half of simulations take him between 13.10 and 15.02.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 14.03 | 67% |
| 14.04 | 65% |
| 14.05 | 62% |
| 14.06 | 60% |
| 14.07 | 57% |
| 14.08 | 54% |
| 14.09 | 52% |
| 14.10 | 50% |
| 14.11 | 47% |
| 14.12 | 45% |
| 15.01 | 43% |
| 15.02 | 41% |
| 15.03 | 39% |
| 15.04 | 37% |
| 15.05 | 35% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 13.05-13.06 | 5% | 468 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.07-13.08 | 5% | 481 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.09-13.10 | 5% | 531 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.11-13.12 | 6% | 568 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.01-14.02 | 5% | 543 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.03-14.04 | 5% | 521 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.05-14.06 | 5% | 538 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.07-14.08 | 5% | 486 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.09-14.10 | 5% | 459 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.11-14.12 | 4% | 440 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.01-15.02 | 4% | 406 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.03-15.04 | 4% | 385 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.05-15.06 | 4% | 373 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.07-15.08 | 4% | 370 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 7902 simulations in which Zachariah Branch was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Malachi Fields WR · NYG 3%
- Caleb Douglas WR · MIA 3%
- Antonio Williams WR · WAS 2%
- Matthew Golden WR · GB 2%
Usually taken just after
- Ja'Kobi Lane WR · BAL 2%
- Adonai Mitchell WR · NYJ 2%
- Xavier Legette WR · CAR 2%
- Matthew Golden WR · GB 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB Dynasty drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Zachariah Branch was selected in 7902 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
We license no ADP feed of our own, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- October 1, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
- Baseline
- rank
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.