NE · Bye 11
Romeo Doubs
LMD WR47 for Week 4 · 8.5 projected Full PPR points · WR54 rest of season
Regular season
Week 4 and rest of season fantasy rankings
We project 8.5 points this week, WR47. Top 3: 1% · Top 12: 7% · Top 24: 19% of simulated weeks. Up 6 since Week 3.
Week 4
WR47
126th by projected points
Rest of season
WR54
106th by projected points
Projected
8.5
week 4, Full PPR
Top 12
7%
Top 3: 1% · Top 24: 19% at WR
Movement
↑ 6
WR53 in Week 3, WR47 now
Should you start Romeo Doubs in Week 4?
Bench
Not in a standard 12-team league. LMD ranks Romeo Doubs WR47 for Week 4, outside the WR24 starter line and outside the range this reading covers. He finishes inside WR24 in 19% of simulated weeks.
The starter line is a standard 12-team lineup's, and is the line LMD's weekly accuracy review grades this board against.
LMD vs the draft market
WR47 vs WR55 +8
LMD has him WR47. The fantasy draft market has him WR55, 8 places lower.
Sportsbooks pricing him above our baseline.
- Draft / market prior
- Slight positive+0.45 pts
- Recent usage & efficiency
- Negative-0.60 pts
- AvailabilityAvailable
- Neutral0.00 pts
- Outside projection
- Slight positive+0.28 pts
- Betting markets
- Slight positive+0.38 pts
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?
How to read
- Full model minus the model without each factor.
- Effects are not additive or changes in rank.
- Recent data includes its effect on blending weights.
- A range note means a factor moved the spread and not the expected points.
Full PPR scoring · Updated October 4, 2026
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
Updates
Recent updates
-
ADP UPDATE
Romeo Doubs's ADP at Fantasy Football Calculator moved from 99.0 to 107.2 over the last 7 days.
Draft-position figures are measured, and name the market they came from.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Over 3 completed games Romeo Doubs has averaged -0.3 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | @ SEA | 5.9 | 0.0 | -5.9 |
| Wk 2 | vs PIT | 6.2 | 12.6 | +6.4 |
| Wk 3 | @ JAX | 9.3 | 7.9 | -1.4 |
| Wk 4 | @ BUF | 8.5 | Pending | — |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Draft Return
How he compares with his draft price
The draft market had him at WR50. For the rest of the season LMD has him 4 spots lower, at WR54.
Preseason market: WR50 · ADP 109.9
Season to date
Ranking what he has actually scored needs every player's season, and that board is not published yet.
Rest of season
WR54 −4
LMD has him 4 spots lower than his WR50 draft price.
Week 4
WR47 +3
LMD has him 3 spots higher than his WR50 draft price.
Full PPR scoring · benchmark September 9, 2026
Season to date is what he has actually scored, ranked among his position. Rest of season and this week are LMD's current expectations rather than results. All three are compared with where the draft market had him before the season started.
WR50 is where Fantasy Football Calculator had him on September 9, 2026, the last board taken before the season's first kickoff. Later boards absorb what has happened since, so they are a current market rather than a draft price.
Regular season
Why LMD has him here
We project 116.0 points this season, WR54. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 1% of simulated seasons. That is 8.5 a game over 14 remaining games. Down 2 since the Oct. 1 board.
Per game
8.5 / game
Over 14 remaining game(s)
Finishing odds
Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 1%
Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at WR
Market input
thin
Thin market coverage: few venues or markets priced this player.
LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.4.1. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections); PropLine (player props). · 2026 Rest of season board updated October 4, 2026
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Romeo Doubs #109 in 1QB and #112 in Superflex, WR44 at his position. Age 26.
1QB
#109
WR44 · tier 25 · of 297
Superflex
#112
WR44 · tier 20 · of 303
- Last season 137.9 pts 8.6 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
- Availability 90% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
- History 3 seasons Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
- Touches 5.4 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 19% of his team's targets.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
11.12
pick 132.0 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
11.09
half of simulations take him by pick 129
Draft range
10.06 - 14.04
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 9,768 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 11.09 in 52% of simulations
Pick 129 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 9, the same seat picks again at 12.04, where he is available in 34% of simulations.
Slot 9's remaining turns: 11.09 52% · 12.04 34% · 13.09 14% · 14.04 12% · 15.09 4%
The middle half of simulations take him between 10.12 and 12.06.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 11.07 | 58% |
| 11.08 | 55% |
| 11.09 | 52% |
| 11.10 | 50% |
| 11.11 | 47% |
| 11.12 | 44% |
| 12.01 | 41% |
| 12.02 | 39% |
| 12.03 | 36% |
| 12.04 | 34% |
| 12.05 | 31% |
| 12.06 | 29% |
| 12.07 | 27% |
| 12.08 | 25% |
| 12.09 | 22% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 10.06-10.07 | 5% | 508 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.08-10.09 | 5% | 493 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.10-10.11 | 5% | 517 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.12-11.01 | 6% | 570 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.02-11.03 | 5% | 549 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.04-11.05 | 6% | 550 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.06-11.07 | 5% | 542 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.08-11.09 | 6% | 564 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.10-11.11 | 6% | 556 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.12-12.01 | 5% | 539 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.02-12.03 | 5% | 511 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.04-12.05 | 5% | 472 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.06-12.07 | 4% | 428 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.08-12.09 | 4% | 400 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.10-12.11 | 3% | 333 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.12-13.01 | 2% | 174 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.02-13.03 | <1% | 38 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.04-13.05 | <1% | 35 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.06-13.07 | <1% | 45 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.08-13.09 | <1% | 33 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.10-13.11 | <1% | 39 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.12-14.01 | <1% | 59 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.02-14.03 | <1% | 84 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.04 | <1% | 45 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 9768 simulations in which Romeo Doubs was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- KC Concepcion WR · CLE 3%
- Xavier Worthy WR · KC 2%
- Khalil Shakir WR · BUF 2%
- Zach Charbonnet RB · SEA 2%
Usually taken just after
- Travis Hunter WR · JAX 2%
- Jordan Mason RB · MIN 2%
- Xavier Worthy WR · KC 2%
- Woody Marks RB · HOU 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Romeo Doubs was selected in 9768 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of October 1, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.
A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- October 1, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
- Baseline
- mixed
- Market prior
- ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-10-01)
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.