RB

SEA · Bye 11 · Rookie

Jadarian Price

LMD RB45 rest of season · 89.5 projected Full PPR points

Reserve list (IR)

In season

Rest of season fantasy ranking

We project 89.5 points this season, RB45. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 1% of simulated seasons. That is 9.4 a game over 9.825 remaining games. On a reserve list (IR), so the season projection prices the games he misses. Down 12 since the Oct. 1 board.

Rest of season

RB45

144th by projected points

Projected

89.5

rest of season, Full PPR

Top 12

0%

Top 3: 0% · Top 24: 1% at RB

Movement

↓ 12

RB33 on Oct. 1, RB45 now

Full PPR scoring · Updated October 4, 2026

LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.

All RB rankings · Projected points board

Updates

Recent updates

Headlines from other publishers, discovered automatically and matched to Jadarian Price by name -- we did not write these and we do not host them, and each one opens at the publisher who did.

Season performance

Performance vs. projection

Over 3 completed games Jadarian Price has averaged -4.0 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.

Actual pointsLMD projectionLikely range (middle 80%)
Week by week for Jadarian Price, Full PPR scoring
Week Opp Proj Actual Delta
Wk 1 vs NE 9.2 7.8 -1.4
Wk 2 @ ARI 6.9 5.0 -1.9
Wk 3 @ WAS 9.9 1.2 -8.7
Wk 4 vs LAC 8.8 Pending —

Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.

Draft Return

How he compares with his draft price

The draft market had him at RB26. For the rest of the season LMD has him 19 spots lower, at RB45.

Preseason market: RB26 · ADP 63.5

Season to date

Ranking what he has actually scored needs every player's season, and that board is not published yet.

Rest of season

RB45 −19

LMD has him 19 spots lower than his RB26 draft price.

This week

Not ranked this week — a bye or a ruling out takes a player off the weekly board rather than ranking him last.

Full PPR scoring · benchmark September 9, 2026

Season to date is what he has actually scored, ranked among his position. Rest of season and this week are LMD's current expectations rather than results. All three are compared with where the draft market had him before the season started.

RB26 is where Fantasy Football Calculator had him on September 9, 2026, the last board taken before the season's first kickoff. Later boards absorb what has happened since, so they are a current market rather than a draft price.

ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator

Regular season

Why LMD has him here

We project 89.5 points this season, RB45. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 1% of simulated seasons. That is 9.4 a game over 9.825 remaining games. On a reserve list (IR), so the season projection prices the games he misses. Down 12 since the Oct. 1 board.

Per game

9.4 / game

Over 9.825 remaining game(s)

Finishing odds

Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 1%

Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at RB

Market input

none

No market signal available.

LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.4.1. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections); PropLine (player props). · 2026 Rest of season board updated October 4, 2026

Dynasty

Long-term value

LMD's dynasty model has Jadarian Price #67 in 1QB and #72 in Superflex, RB22 at his position, priced from his draft slot as a rookie. Age 22.

1QB

#67

RB22 · tier 18 · of 297 · rookie 5 of 52

Superflex

#72

RB22 · tier 14 · of 303 · rookie 5 of 52

  • Draft capital Round 1, pick 32 (2026) A rookie is priced from where he was drafted, on a prior fitted over prior classes.

LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.

Dynasty rankings Dynasty RB rankings Dynasty rookie rankings

Draft season Draft position and availability

ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts.

Simulated draft position

Where he goes

Simulation average

7.02

pick 73.5 overall, averaged over every simulated draft

Median pick

7.02

half of simulations take him by pick 74

Draft range

6.01 - 8.01

the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)

Simulations

10,000

drafted in every one

Filters

League format

League size 12 teams also published: 10 teams, 8 teams
Scoring Full PPR also published: Half PPR, Standard
QB format 1QB also published: Superflex
Pool Redraft

Availability

Odds he reaches your pick

Available at 7.02 in 53% of simulations

Pick 74 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations

From draft slot 2, the same seat picks again at 8.11, where he is available in <1% of simulations.

Slot 2's remaining turns: 7.02 53% · 8.11 <1% · 9.02 <1% · 10.11 0%

The middle half of simulations take him between 6.08 and 7.08.

Jadarian Price still on the board
PickAvailable
6.12 62%
7.01 57%
7.02 53%
7.03 49%
7.04 44%
7.05 40%
7.06 35%
7.07 31%
7.08 27%
7.09 23%
7.10 20%
7.11 16%
7.12 13%
8.01 11%
8.02 8%

Distribution

Draft position distribution

Share of simulations in which Jadarian Price was selected at each pick, 6.01-6.02 through 8.01. He goes earlier than this window in 9%, later in 8%.
Draft position distribution for Jadarian Price
PickShare of simulationsCount
6.01-6.023%316 of 10000 simulations
6.03-6.044%386 of 10000 simulations
6.05-6.065%496 of 10000 simulations
6.07-6.087%661 of 10000 simulations
6.09-6.107%701 of 10000 simulations
6.11-6.128%805 of 10000 simulations
7.01-7.028%838 of 10000 simulations
7.03-7.049%871 of 10000 simulations
7.05-7.069%912 of 10000 simulations
7.07-7.088%777 of 10000 simulations
7.09-7.107%683 of 10000 simulations
7.11-7.126%591 of 10000 simulations
8.012%210 of 10000 simulations

Draft context

Who goes around him

Measured over the 10000 simulations in which Jadarian Price was drafted.

Usually taken just before

Usually taken just after

Methodology

How this is measured

Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.

Jadarian Price was selected in 10000 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.

Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of October 1, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.

A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.

Simulation model
simulation-v1.2
Generated
October 1, 2026
Player dataset
nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
Baseline
mixed
Market prior
ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-10-01)

Next

Draft it yourself

Mock a 12-team Full PPR 1QB draft

Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.