CLE · Bye 11
Harold Fannin Jr.
LMD TE6 for Week 4 · 11.6 projected Full PPR points · TE5 rest of season
Regular season
Week 4 and rest of season fantasy rankings
We project 11.6 points this week, TE6. Top 3: 14% · Top 12: 42% · Top 24: 63% of simulated weeks. Up 7 since Week 3.
Week 4
TE6
81st by projected points
Rest of season
TE5
50th by projected points
Projected
11.6
week 4, Full PPR
Top 12
42%
Top 3: 14% · Top 24: 63% at TE
Movement
↑ 7
TE13 in Week 3, TE6 now
Should you start Harold Fannin Jr. in Week 4?
Strong start
Yes, in any standard format. LMD ranks Harold Fannin Jr. TE6 for Week 4, inside the TE12 starter line. He finishes inside TE12 in 42% of simulated weeks.
The starter line is a standard 12-team lineup's, and is the line LMD's weekly accuracy review grades this board against.
- Draft / market prior
- Slight negative-0.41 pts
- Recent usage & efficiency
- Positive+0.67 pts
- AvailabilityAvailable
- Neutral0.00 pts
- Outside projection
- Slight negative-0.10 pts
- Betting markets
- No signal · Not requested
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?
How to read
- Full model minus the model without each factor.
- Effects are not additive or changes in rank.
- Recent data includes its effect on blending weights.
- A range note means a factor moved the spread and not the expected points.
Full PPR scoring · Updated October 4, 2026
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
Updates
Recent updates
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Harold Fannin Jr. visits the end zone again on TNF
Yahoo Sports ·
-
Cleveland Browns tight end Harold Fannin Jr. is a solid prop target in Week 4.
Sports Illustrated ·
-
Should you start Browns TE Harold Fannin Jr. in fantasy in Week 4?
Yahoo Sports ·
-
Browns TE Harold Fannin Jr. continues on a strong trajectory
Yahoo Sports ·
-
How Browns TE Harold Fannin Jr. is getting on same page with Deshaun Watson
beaconjournal.com ·
Headlines from other publishers, discovered automatically and matched to Harold Fannin Jr. by name -- we did not write these and we do not host them, and each one opens at the publisher who did.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Over 3 completed games Harold Fannin Jr. has averaged +4.4 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | @ JAX | 8.4 | 4.1 | -4.3 |
| Wk 2 | @ TB | 8.0 | 10.4 | +2.4 |
| Wk 3 | vs CAR | 9.1 | 24.1 | +15.0 |
| Wk 4 | vs PIT | 10.7 | Pending | — |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Draft Return
How he compares with his draft price
The draft market had him at TE5, and for the rest of the season LMD still has him there.
Preseason market: TE5 · ADP 74.9
Season to date
Ranking what he has actually scored needs every player's season, and that board is not published yet.
Rest of season
TE5 Even
Level with his TE5 draft price.
Week 4
TE6 −1
LMD has him 1 spot lower than his TE5 draft price.
Full PPR scoring · benchmark September 9, 2026
Season to date is what he has actually scored, ranked among his position. Rest of season and this week are LMD's current expectations rather than results. All three are compared with where the draft market had him before the season started.
TE5 is where Fantasy Football Calculator had him on September 9, 2026, the last board taken before the season's first kickoff. Later boards absorb what has happened since, so they are a current market rather than a draft price.
Regular season
Why LMD has him here
We project 164.4 points this season, TE5. Top 3: 18% · Top 12: 77% · Top 24: 98% of simulated seasons. That is 11.4 a game over 14 remaining games. Up 5 since the Oct. 1 board.
Per game
11.4 / game
Over 14 remaining game(s)
Finishing odds
Top 3: 18% · Top 12: 77% · Top 24: 98%
Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at TE
Market input
none
No market signal available.
LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.4.1. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections); PropLine (player props). · 2026 Rest of season board updated October 4, 2026
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Harold Fannin Jr. #31 in 1QB and #39 in Superflex, TE3 at his position. Age 22.
1QB
#31
TE3 · tier 11 · of 297
Superflex
#39
TE3 · tier 9 · of 303
- Last season 150.4 pts 9.4 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
- Availability 94% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
- History 1 season Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
- Touches 7.1 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 22% of his team's targets.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
6.10
pick 70.3 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
6.11
half of simulations take him by pick 71
Draft range
5.06 - 8.02
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in every one
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 6.11 in 50% of simulations
Pick 71 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 2, the same seat picks again at 7.02, where he is available in 41% of simulations.
Slot 2's remaining turns: 6.11 50% · 7.02 41% · 8.11 1% · 9.02 <1% · 10.11 0%
The middle half of simulations take him between 6.02 and 7.07.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 6.09 | 58% |
| 6.10 | 54% |
| 6.11 | 50% |
| 6.12 | 47% |
| 7.01 | 44% |
| 7.02 | 41% |
| 7.03 | 37% |
| 7.04 | 34% |
| 7.05 | 31% |
| 7.06 | 28% |
| 7.07 | 25% |
| 7.08 | 23% |
| 7.09 | 20% |
| 7.10 | 18% |
| 7.11 | 16% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 5.06-5.07 | 3% | 271 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.08-5.09 | 3% | 322 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.10-5.11 | 4% | 350 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.12-6.01 | 4% | 441 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.02-6.03 | 5% | 461 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.04-6.05 | 6% | 575 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.06-6.07 | 6% | 572 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.08-6.09 | 6% | 627 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.10-6.11 | 7% | 674 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.12-7.01 | 6% | 646 of 10000 simulations |
| 7.02-7.03 | 7% | 658 of 10000 simulations |
| 7.04-7.05 | 6% | 602 of 10000 simulations |
| 7.06-7.07 | 5% | 528 of 10000 simulations |
| 7.08-7.09 | 5% | 497 of 10000 simulations |
| 7.10-7.11 | 4% | 443 of 10000 simulations |
| 7.12-8.01 | 3% | 337 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.02 | 2% | 163 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 10000 simulations in which Harold Fannin Jr. was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Sam LaPorta TE · DET 3%
- Jadarian Price RB · SEA 3%
- Jaylen Warren RB · PIT 2%
- Rome Odunze WR · CHI 2%
Usually taken just after
- Chuba Hubbard RB · CAR 3%
- Sam LaPorta TE · DET 3%
- Jadarian Price RB · SEA 2%
- Jordyn Tyson WR · NO 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Harold Fannin Jr. was selected in 10000 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of October 1, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.
A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- October 1, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
- Baseline
- mixed
- Market prior
- ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-10-01)
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.