JAX · Bye 7
Brian Thomas
Brian Thomas comes off the board at 7.06 on average in 12-team Full PPR 1QB mock drafts, with a median of 7.05.
12-team Full PPR 1QB · 10,000 simulations · generated August 20, 2026
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulated ADP
7.06
pick 77.8 overall, on average
Median pick
7.05
half of simulations take him by pick 77
Draft range
5.12 - 9.01
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in every one
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 7.05 in 50% of simulations
Pick 77 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 5, the same seat picks again at 8.08, where he is available in 17% of simulations.
Slot 5's remaining turns: 7.05 50% · 8.08 17% · 9.05 7% · 10.08 <1% · 11.05 <1% · 12.08 0%
The middle half of simulations take him between 6.07 and 8.03.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 7.03 | 55% |
| 7.04 | 53% |
| 7.05 | 50% |
| 7.06 | 48% |
| 7.07 | 45% |
| 7.08 | 43% |
| 7.09 | 40% |
| 7.10 | 38% |
| 7.11 | 35% |
| 7.12 | 33% |
| 8.01 | 31% |
| 8.02 | 29% |
| 8.03 | 27% |
| 8.04 | 24% |
| 8.05 | 23% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 5.12-6.01 | 4% | 391 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.02-6.03 | 4% | 427 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.04-6.05 | 5% | 476 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.06-6.07 | 5% | 463 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.08-6.09 | 5% | 492 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.10-6.11 | 5% | 481 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.12-7.01 | 5% | 534 of 10000 simulations |
| 7.02-7.03 | 5% | 521 of 10000 simulations |
| 7.04-7.05 | 5% | 502 of 10000 simulations |
| 7.06-7.07 | 5% | 523 of 10000 simulations |
| 7.08-7.09 | 5% | 504 of 10000 simulations |
| 7.10-7.11 | 5% | 452 of 10000 simulations |
| 7.12-8.01 | 4% | 423 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.02-8.03 | 4% | 432 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.04-8.05 | 4% | 381 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.06-8.07 | 3% | 331 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.08-8.09 | 2% | 248 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.10-8.11 | 3% | 285 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.12-9.01 | 2% | 221 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 10000 simulations in which Brian Thomas was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Courtland Sutton WR · DEN 3%
- DK Metcalf WR · PIT 2%
- Kyle Pitts TE · ATL 2%
- Jordyn Tyson WR · NO 2%
Usually taken just after
- Marvin Harrison WR · ARI 2%
- Courtland Sutton WR · DEN 2%
- DK Metcalf WR · PIT 2%
- Parker Washington WR · JAX 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room. Nothing is estimated at page load: the batch runs offline and this page reads the result.
Brian Thomas was selected in 10000 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here has that count behind it, which is what it should be judged on.
We license no ADP feed, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.1
- Generated
- August 20, 2026
- Player dataset
- sleeper@2026-08-19T17:30:21.894Z
- Baseline
- rank
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.