CIN · Bye 6
Chase Brown
Chase Brown comes off the board at 2.09 on average in 12-team Full PPR 1QB mock drafts, with a median of 2.09.
12-team Full PPR 1QB · 10,000 simulations · generated August 20, 2026
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulated ADP
2.09
pick 21.2 overall, on average
Median pick
2.09
half of simulations take him by pick 21
Draft range
1.09 - 3.09
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in every one
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 2.09 in 54% of simulations
Pick 21 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 4, the same seat picks again at 3.04, where he is available in 26% of simulations.
Slot 4's remaining turns: 2.09 54% · 3.04 26% · 4.09 <1% · 5.04 <1% · 6.09 0%
The middle half of simulations take him between 2.03 and 3.04.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 2.07 | 62% |
| 2.08 | 58% |
| 2.09 | 54% |
| 2.10 | 50% |
| 2.11 | 46% |
| 2.12 | 41% |
| 3.01 | 37% |
| 3.02 | 33% |
| 3.03 | 30% |
| 3.04 | 26% |
| 3.05 | 23% |
| 3.06 | 20% |
| 3.07 | 17% |
| 3.08 | 14% |
| 3.09 | 11% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 1.09-1.10 | 4% | 423 of 10000 simulations |
| 1.11-1.12 | 5% | 493 of 10000 simulations |
| 2.01-2.02 | 6% | 592 of 10000 simulations |
| 2.03-2.04 | 6% | 633 of 10000 simulations |
| 2.05-2.06 | 7% | 663 of 10000 simulations |
| 2.07-2.08 | 8% | 789 of 10000 simulations |
| 2.09-2.10 | 9% | 871 of 10000 simulations |
| 2.11-2.12 | 9% | 855 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.01-3.02 | 7% | 743 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.03-3.04 | 7% | 709 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.05-3.06 | 6% | 559 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.07-3.08 | 6% | 565 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.09 | 2% | 212 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 10000 simulations in which Chase Brown was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Jeremiyah Love RB · ARI 4%
- Ashton Jeanty RB · LV 4%
- Kyren Williams RB · LAR 3%
- Saquon Barkley RB · PHI 3%
Usually taken just after
- Jeremiyah Love RB · ARI 3%
- Saquon Barkley RB · PHI 3%
- Kyren Williams RB · LAR 3%
- Ashton Jeanty RB · LV 3%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room. Nothing is estimated at page load: the batch runs offline and this page reads the result.
Chase Brown was selected in 10000 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here has that count behind it, which is what it should be judged on.
We license no ADP feed, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.1
- Generated
- August 20, 2026
- Player dataset
- sleeper@2026-08-19T17:30:21.894Z
- Baseline
- rank
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Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.