MIA · Bye 6 · Rookie
Caleb Douglas
Caleb Douglas comes off the board at 3.02 on average in 12-team Half PPR 1QB Rookie mock drafts, with a median of 3.03.
12-team Half PPR 1QB Rookie · 10,000 simulations · generated August 20, 2026
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulated ADP
3.02
pick 26.4 overall, on average
Median pick
3.03
half of simulations take him by pick 27
Draft range
2.02 - 4.01
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in every one
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 3.03 in 53% of simulations
Pick 27 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 3, the same seat picks again at 4.10, where he is available in 1% of simulations.
Slot 3's remaining turns: 3.03 53% · 4.10 1% · 5.03 <1%
The middle half of simulations take him between 2.08 and 3.09.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 3.01 | 61% |
| 3.02 | 57% |
| 3.03 | 53% |
| 3.04 | 48% |
| 3.05 | 43% |
| 3.06 | 39% |
| 3.07 | 34% |
| 3.08 | 29% |
| 3.09 | 25% |
| 3.10 | 21% |
| 3.11 | 18% |
| 3.12 | 14% |
| 4.01 | 12% |
| 4.02 | 10% |
| 4.03 | 8% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 2.02 | 2% | 186 of 10000 simulations |
| 2.03 | 2% | 180 of 10000 simulations |
| 2.04 | 2% | 204 of 10000 simulations |
| 2.05 | 2% | 246 of 10000 simulations |
| 2.06 | 2% | 208 of 10000 simulations |
| 2.07 | 2% | 246 of 10000 simulations |
| 2.08 | 3% | 285 of 10000 simulations |
| 2.09 | 3% | 335 of 10000 simulations |
| 2.10 | 3% | 321 of 10000 simulations |
| 2.11 | 3% | 321 of 10000 simulations |
| 2.12 | 4% | 381 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.01 | 4% | 416 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.02 | 4% | 432 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.03 | 5% | 486 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.04 | 4% | 443 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.05 | 5% | 478 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.06 | 5% | 480 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.07 | 5% | 457 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.08 | 4% | 416 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.09 | 4% | 401 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.10 | 4% | 356 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.11 | 3% | 333 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.12 | 2% | 248 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.01 | 2% | 216 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 10000 simulations in which Caleb Douglas was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Elijah Sarratt WR · BAL 4%
- Cyrus Allen WR · KC 3%
- Malachi Fields WR · NYG 3%
- Harrison Wallace WR · ARI 3%
Usually taken just after
- Malachi Fields WR · NYG 4%
- Elijah Sarratt WR · BAL 4%
- Demond Claiborne RB · MIN 3%
- Harrison Wallace WR · ARI 3%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB Rookie drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room. Nothing is estimated at page load: the batch runs offline and this page reads the result.
Caleb Douglas was selected in 10000 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here has that count behind it, which is what it should be judged on.
We license no ADP feed, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.1
- Generated
- August 20, 2026
- Player dataset
- sleeper@2026-08-19T17:30:21.894Z
- Baseline
- rank
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.