LAR · Bye 11

Terrance Ferguson

Terrance Ferguson comes off the board at 14.05 on average in 12-team Full PPR 1QB mock drafts, with a median of 14.09.

12-team Full PPR 1QB · 10,000 simulations · generated August 20, 2026

Simulated draft position

Where he goes

Simulated ADP

14.05

pick 160.8 overall, on average

Median pick

14.09

half of simulations take him by pick 165

Draft range

12.09 - 15.10

the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)

Simulations

10,000

drafted in 4,071 of them

Filters

League format

League size 12 teams

Scoring Full PPR also published: Half PPR, Standard

QB format 1QB also published: Superflex

Pool Redraft

Availability

Odds he reaches your pick

Available at 14.09 in 80% of simulations

Pick 165 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations

From draft slot 4, the same seat picks again at 15.04, where he is available in 73% of simulations.

Slot 4's remaining turns: 14.09 80% · 15.04 73%

The middle half of simulations take him between 12.11 and 15.06.

Terrance Ferguson still on the board
Pick	Available
14.07	82%
14.08	81%
14.09	80%
14.10	80%
14.11	79%
14.12	78%
15.01	77%
15.02	76%
15.03	75%
15.04	73%
15.05	71%
15.06	70%
15.07	68%
15.08	67%
15.09	66%

Distribution

Draft position distribution

Share of simulations in which Terrance Ferguson was selected at each pick, 12.09-12.10 through 15.09-15.10. He goes earlier than this window in 4%, later in 3%, undrafted in 59%.

Draft position distribution for Terrance Ferguson
Pick	Share of simulations	Count
12.09-12.10	4%	435 of 10000 simulations
12.11-12.12	4%	426 of 10000 simulations
13.01-13.02	<1%	35 of 10000 simulations
13.03-13.04	<1%	35 of 10000 simulations
13.05-13.06	<1%	47 of 10000 simulations
13.07-13.08	<1%	41 of 10000 simulations
13.09-13.10	<1%	49 of 10000 simulations
13.11-13.12	<1%	59 of 10000 simulations
14.01-14.02	1%	100 of 10000 simulations
14.03-14.04	1%	119 of 10000 simulations
14.05-14.06	1%	115 of 10000 simulations
14.07-14.08	1%	110 of 10000 simulations
14.09-14.10	2%	156 of 10000 simulations
14.11-14.12	1%	148 of 10000 simulations
15.01-15.02	3%	265 of 10000 simulations
15.03-15.04	3%	328 of 10000 simulations
15.05-15.06	3%	303 of 10000 simulations
15.07-15.08	3%	291 of 10000 simulations
15.09-15.10	3%	308 of 10000 simulations

Draft context

Who goes around him

Measured over the 4071 simulations in which Terrance Ferguson was drafted.

Usually taken just before

Alvin Kamara RB · NO 2%
Seattle Seahawks DST · SEA 2%
Jake Bates K · DET 2%
Jalen Coker WR · CAR 2%

Usually taken just after

Brandon Aubrey K · DAL 3%
De'Zhaun Stribling WR · SF 2%
Green Bay Packers DST · GB 2%
Jake Bates K · DET 2%

Methodology

How this is measured

Every figure on this page comes from 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room. Nothing is estimated at page load: the batch runs offline and this page reads the result.

Terrance Ferguson was selected in 4071 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here has that count behind it, which is what it should be judged on.

We license no ADP feed, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.

Simulation model: simulation-v1.1
Generated: August 20, 2026
Player dataset: sleeper@2026-08-19T17:30:21.894Z
Baseline: rank

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