NO · Bye 8
Alvin Kamara
Alvin Kamara comes off the board at 13.09 on average in 12-team Full PPR 1QB mock drafts, with a median of 12.12.
12-team Full PPR 1QB · 10,000 simulations · generated August 20, 2026
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulated ADP
13.09
pick 152.9 overall, on average
Median pick
12.12
half of simulations take him by pick 144
Draft range
12.02 - 15.08
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 7,267 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 12.12 in 66% of simulations
Pick 144 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 1, the same seat picks again at 13.01, where he is available in 63% of simulations.
Slot 1's remaining turns: 12.12 66% · 13.01 63% · 14.12 49% · 15.01 48%
The middle half of simulations take him between 12.06 and 15.02.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 12.10 | 71% |
| 12.11 | 69% |
| 12.12 | 66% |
| 13.01 | 63% |
| 13.02 | 63% |
| 13.03 | 63% |
| 13.04 | 62% |
| 13.05 | 62% |
| 13.06 | 62% |
| 13.07 | 61% |
| 13.08 | 61% |
| 13.09 | 61% |
| 13.10 | 60% |
| 13.11 | 60% |
| 13.12 | 59% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 12.02-12.03 | 6% | 561 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.04-12.05 | 6% | 585 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.06-12.07 | 6% | 612 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.08-12.09 | 6% | 566 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.10-12.11 | 5% | 537 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.12-13.01 | 3% | 296 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.02-13.03 | <1% | 72 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.04-13.05 | <1% | 66 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.06-13.07 | <1% | 70 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.08-13.09 | <1% | 72 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.10-13.11 | <1% | 75 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.12-14.01 | 1% | 112 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.02-14.03 | 2% | 155 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.04-14.05 | 2% | 163 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.06-14.07 | 2% | 158 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.08-14.09 | 2% | 196 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.10-14.11 | 2% | 223 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.12-15.01 | 3% | 310 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.02-15.03 | 4% | 390 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.04-15.05 | 4% | 355 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.06-15.07 | 3% | 318 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.08 | 2% | 184 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 7267 simulations in which Alvin Kamara was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Trey Benson RB · ARI 2%
- Jalen Coker WR · CAR 2%
- Deebo Samuel WR · SF 2%
- Jonah Coleman RB · DEN 2%
Usually taken just after
- Brandon Aubrey K · DAL 2%
- Jonah Coleman RB · DEN 2%
- Deebo Samuel WR · SF 2%
- Jauan Jennings WR · MIN 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room. Nothing is estimated at page load: the batch runs offline and this page reads the result.
Alvin Kamara was selected in 7267 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here has that count behind it, which is what it should be judged on.
We license no ADP feed, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.1
- Generated
- August 20, 2026
- Player dataset
- sleeper@2026-08-19T17:30:21.894Z
- Baseline
- rank
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.