ARI · Bye 14 · Rookie
Jeremiyah Love
LMD RB11 for Week 4 · 14.6 projected Full PPR points · RB11 rest of season
Regular season
Week 4 and rest of season fantasy rankings
We project 14.6 points this week, RB11. Top 3: 9% · Top 12: 38% · Top 24: 68% of simulated weeks. Up 8 since Week 3.
Week 4
RB11
47th by projected points
Rest of season
RB11
28th by projected points
Projected
14.6
week 4, Full PPR
Top 12
38%
Top 3: 9% · Top 24: 68% at RB
Movement
↑ 8
RB19 in Week 3, RB11 now
Should you start Jeremiyah Love in Week 4?
Strong start
Yes, in any standard format. LMD ranks Jeremiyah Love RB11 for Week 4, inside the RB24 starter line. He finishes inside RB24 in 68% of simulated weeks.
The starter line is a standard 12-team lineup's, and is the line LMD's weekly accuracy review grades this board against.
- Draft / market prior
- Neutral+0.10 pts
- Recent usage & efficiency
- Slight negative-0.35 pts
- AvailabilityAvailable
- Neutral0.00 pts
- Outside projection
- Slight positive+0.26 pts
- Betting markets
- Slight negative-0.17 pts
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?
How to read
- Full model minus the model without each factor.
- Effects are not additive or changes in rank.
- Recent data includes its effect on blending weights.
- A range note means a factor moved the spread and not the expected points.
Full PPR scoring · Updated October 4, 2026
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
Updates
Recent updates
-
New York Giants show love for Arizona Cardinals RB Jeremiyah Love
Yahoo Sports ·
-
Giants’ Cam Skattebo focused on his game with Jeremiyah Love coming to town
nypost.com ·
-
Harbaugh: Giants will have their hands full covering Cardinals’ Jeremiyah Love
arizonasports.com ·
-
Fantasy football Start 'Em, Sit 'Em RB in Week 4: Jeremiyah Love earns must-start status after breakout
CBS Sports ·
-
Jeremiyah Love, Cardinals
Sports Illustrated ·
Headlines from other publishers, discovered automatically and matched to Jeremiyah Love by name -- we did not write these and we do not host them, and each one opens at the publisher who did.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Over 3 completed games Jeremiyah Love has averaged +4.5 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | @ LAC | 7.4 | 13.0 | +5.6 |
| Wk 2 | vs SEA | 9.9 | 7.5 | -2.4 |
| Wk 3 | @ SF | 11.7 | 21.9 | +10.2 |
| Wk 4 | @ NYG | 14.6 | Pending | — |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Draft Return
How he compares with his draft price
The draft market had him at RB13. For the rest of the season LMD has him 2 spots higher, at RB11.
Preseason market: RB13 · ADP 28.3
Season to date
Ranking what he has actually scored needs every player's season, and that board is not published yet.
Rest of season
RB11 +2
LMD has him 2 spots higher than his RB13 draft price.
Week 4
RB11 +2
LMD has him 2 spots higher than his RB13 draft price.
Full PPR scoring · benchmark September 9, 2026
Season to date is what he has actually scored, ranked among his position. Rest of season and this week are LMD's current expectations rather than results. All three are compared with where the draft market had him before the season started.
RB13 is where Fantasy Football Calculator had him on September 9, 2026, the last board taken before the season's first kickoff. Later boards absorb what has happened since, so they are a current market rather than a draft price.
Regular season
Why LMD has him here
We project 197.8 points this season, RB11. Top 3: 3% · Top 12: 47% · Top 24: 96% of simulated seasons. That is 14.6 a game over 14 remaining games.
Per game
14.6 / game
Over 14 remaining game(s)
Finishing odds
Top 3: 3% · Top 12: 47% · Top 24: 96%
Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at RB
Market input
broad
Broad market coverage across several venues and markets.
LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.4.1. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections); PropLine (player props). · 2026 Rest of season board updated October 4, 2026
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Jeremiyah Love #14 in 1QB and #20 in Superflex, RB8 at his position, priced from his draft slot as a rookie. Age 21.
1QB
#14
RB8 · tier 6 · of 297 · rookie 1 of 52
Superflex
#20
RB8 · tier 6 · of 303 · rookie 1 of 52
- Draft capital Round 1, pick 3 (2026) A rookie is priced from where he was drafted, on a prior fitted over prior classes.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.
Dynasty rankings Dynasty RB rankings Dynasty rookie rankings
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
3.03
pick 27.0 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
3.03
half of simulations take him by pick 27
Draft range
2.09 - 3.09
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in every one
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 3.03 in 57% of simulations
Pick 27 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 3, the same seat picks again at 4.10, where he is available in <1% of simulations.
Slot 3's remaining turns: 3.03 57% · 4.10 <1% · 5.03 0%
The middle half of simulations take him between 2.12 and 3.06.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 3.01 | 73% |
| 3.02 | 65% |
| 3.03 | 57% |
| 3.04 | 47% |
| 3.05 | 38% |
| 3.06 | 29% |
| 3.07 | 22% |
| 3.08 | 15% |
| 3.09 | 10% |
| 3.10 | 7% |
| 3.11 | 4% |
| 3.12 | 2% |
| 4.01 | 2% |
| 4.02 | <1% |
| 4.03 | <1% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 2.09 | 3% | 288 of 10000 simulations |
| 2.10 | 4% | 418 of 10000 simulations |
| 2.11 | 5% | 521 of 10000 simulations |
| 2.12 | 7% | 662 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.01 | 7% | 715 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.02 | 8% | 811 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.03 | 10% | 1009 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.04 | 9% | 935 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.05 | 8% | 844 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.06 | 8% | 766 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.07 | 6% | 628 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.08 | 5% | 503 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.09 | 4% | 388 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 10000 simulations in which Jeremiyah Love was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Josh Allen QB · BUF 7%
- Brock Bowers TE · LV 6%
- Kenneth Walker III RB · KC 5%
- Omarion Hampton RB · LAC 5%
Usually taken just after
- Josh Allen QB · BUF 7%
- Brock Bowers TE · LV 5%
- Trey McBride TE · ARI 5%
- Josh Jacobs RB · GB 5%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Jeremiyah Love was selected in 10000 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of October 1, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.
A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- October 1, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
- Baseline
- mixed
- Market prior
- ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-10-01)
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.