MIN · Bye 6
Jauan Jennings
LMD WR63 for Week 4 · 6.5 projected Full PPR points · WR89 rest of season
Questionable
Regular season
Week 4 and rest of season fantasy rankings
We project 6.5 points this week, WR63. Top 3: 1% · Top 12: 5% · Top 24: 11% of simulated weeks. Listed questionable. Up 19 since Week 3.
Week 4
WR63
163rd by projected points
Rest of season
WR89
177th by projected points
Projected
6.5
week 4, Full PPR
Top 12
5%
Top 3: 1% · Top 24: 11% at WR
Movement
↑ 19
WR82 in Week 3, WR63 now
Should you start Jauan Jennings in Week 4?
Bench
Not in a standard 12-team league. LMD ranks Jauan Jennings WR63 for Week 4, outside the WR24 starter line and outside the range this reading covers. He finishes inside WR24 in 11% of simulated weeks.
The starter line is a standard 12-team lineup's, and is the line LMD's weekly accuracy review grades this board against.
- Draft / market prior
- Slight positive+0.46 pts
- Recent usage & efficiency
- Negative-0.76 pts
- AvailabilityUnresolved injury
- No mean changeWider range0.00 pts
- Outside projection
- Positive+1.05 pts
- Betting markets
- Positive+0.94 pts
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?
How to read
- Full model minus the model without each factor.
- Effects are not additive or changes in rank.
- Recent data includes its effect on blending weights.
- A range note means a factor moved the spread and not the expected points.
Full PPR scoring · Updated October 4, 2026
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
Updates
Recent updates
-
The 49ers Should Trade a Pick to the Vikings for Jauan Jennings
Sports Illustrated ·
-
Jauan Jennings hasn't been the offensive contributor that the Vikings need him to be. Will things change soon?
Sports Illustrated ·
-
San Fancisco 49ers wide receiver Jauan Jennings
Sports Illustrated ·
-
Vikings WR Jauan Jennings Ruled Out Of Week 2 Game With Devastating News
Yahoo Sports ·
-
Jauan Jennings practice update for Vikings in NFL Week 2
Yahoo Sports ·
Headlines from other publishers, discovered automatically and matched to Jauan Jennings by name -- we did not write these and we do not host them, and each one opens at the publisher who did.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Over 2 completed games Jauan Jennings has averaged -4.8 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs GB | 4.5 | 0.0 | -4.5 |
| Wk 2 | @ CHI | 3.0 | Pending | — |
| Wk 3 | @ TB | 6.2 | 1.1 | -5.1 |
| Wk 4 | vs MIA | 6.5 | Pending | — |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Regular season
Why LMD has him here
We project 75.8 points this season, WR89. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 0% of simulated seasons. That is 6.5 a game over 14 remaining games. Listed questionable. Up 42 since the Oct. 1 board.
Per game
6.5 / game
Over 14 remaining game(s)
Finishing odds
Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 0%
Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at WR
Market input
broad
Broad market coverage across several venues and markets.
LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.4.1. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections); PropLine (player props). · 2026 Rest of season board updated October 4, 2026
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Jauan Jennings #143 in 1QB and #146 in Superflex, WR61 at his position. Age 29.
1QB
#143
WR61 · tier 32 · of 297
Superflex
#146
WR61 · tier 26 · of 303
- Last season 145.8 pts 9.7 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
- Availability 86% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
- History 3 seasons Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
- Touches 5.8 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 19% of his team's targets.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
12.08
pick 140.3 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
12.04
half of simulations take him by pick 136
Draft range
11.02 - 15.03
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 9,245 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 12.04 in 54% of simulations
Pick 136 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 9, the same seat picks again at 13.09, where he is available in 29% of simulations.
Slot 9's remaining turns: 12.04 54% · 13.09 29% · 14.04 26% · 15.09 11%
The middle half of simulations take him between 11.07 and 13.02.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 12.02 | 60% |
| 12.03 | 57% |
| 12.04 | 54% |
| 12.05 | 51% |
| 12.06 | 48% |
| 12.07 | 46% |
| 12.08 | 43% |
| 12.09 | 40% |
| 12.10 | 38% |
| 12.11 | 35% |
| 12.12 | 33% |
| 13.01 | 31% |
| 13.02 | 31% |
| 13.03 | 30% |
| 13.04 | 30% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 11.02-11.04 | 8% | 774 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.05-11.07 | 8% | 838 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.08-11.10 | 8% | 792 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.11-12.01 | 8% | 815 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.02-12.04 | 9% | 901 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.05-12.07 | 8% | 826 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.08-12.10 | 8% | 760 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.11-13.01 | 5% | 460 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.02-13.04 | <1% | 79 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.05-13.07 | <1% | 98 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.08-13.10 | <1% | 81 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.11-14.01 | 1% | 124 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.02-14.04 | 2% | 198 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.05-14.07 | 2% | 162 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.08-14.10 | 2% | 208 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.11-15.01 | 3% | 266 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.02-15.03 | 3% | 278 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 9245 simulations in which Jauan Jennings was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Matthew Golden WR · GB 2%
- Khalil Shakir WR · BUF 2%
- Travis Hunter WR · JAX 2%
- Woody Marks RB · HOU 2%
Usually taken just after
- Matthew Golden WR · GB 2%
- Xavier Worthy WR · KC 2%
- Jayden Higgins WR · HOU 2%
- Khalil Shakir WR · BUF 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Jauan Jennings was selected in 9245 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of October 1, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.
A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- October 1, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
- Baseline
- mixed
- Market prior
- ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-10-01)
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.