LV · Bye 13
Jalen Nailor
Jalen Nailor comes off the board at 15.05 on average in 14-team Half PPR 1QB mock drafts, with a median of 15.06.
14-team Half PPR 1QB · 10,000 simulations · generated August 20, 2026
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulated ADP
15.05
pick 200.6 overall, on average
Median pick
15.06
half of simulations take him by pick 202
Draft range
14.08 - 15.13
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 4,900 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 15.06 in 76% of simulations
Pick 202 overall in a 14-team draft · 10,000 simulations
The middle half of simulations take him between 15.01 and 15.10.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 15.04 | 82% |
| 15.05 | 79% |
| 15.06 | 76% |
| 15.07 | 73% |
| 15.08 | 70% |
| 15.09 | 68% |
| 15.10 | 65% |
| 15.11 | 62% |
| 15.12 | 59% |
| 15.13 | 56% |
| 15.14 | 54% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 14.08 | <1% | 72 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.09 | <1% | 65 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.10 | <1% | 68 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.11 | <1% | 78 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.12 | <1% | 95 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.13 | <1% | 82 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.14 | 1% | 119 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.01 | 3% | 275 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.02 | 3% | 251 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.03 | 3% | 288 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.04 | 3% | 272 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.05 | 3% | 279 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.06 | 3% | 291 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.07 | 3% | 278 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.08 | 3% | 284 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.09 | 3% | 301 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.10 | 3% | 287 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.11 | 3% | 262 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.12 | 3% | 279 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.13 | 3% | 272 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 4900 simulations in which Jalen Nailor was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Will Reichard K · MIN 3%
- Eddy Pineiro K · SF 3%
- Jerry Jeudy WR · CLE 3%
- Kayshon Boutte WR · NE 3%
Usually taken just after
- Adonai Mitchell WR · NYJ 3%
- Kayshon Boutte WR · NE 3%
- Pat Bryant WR · DEN 3%
- Jalen McMillan WR · TB 3%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from 10,000 simulated 14-team Half PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room. Nothing is estimated at page load: the batch runs offline and this page reads the result.
Jalen Nailor was selected in 4900 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here has that count behind it, which is what it should be judged on.
We license no ADP feed, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.1
- Generated
- August 20, 2026
- Player dataset
- sleeper@2026-08-19T17:30:21.894Z
- Baseline
- rank
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.