CLE · Bye 11
Quinshon Judkins
LMD RB20 for Week 4 · 12.0 projected Full PPR points · RB21 rest of season
Regular season
Week 4 and rest of season fantasy rankings
We project 12.0 points this week, RB20. Top 3: 5% · Top 12: 27% · Top 24: 53% of simulated weeks. Up 3 since Week 3.
Week 4
RB20
75th by projected points
Rest of season
RB21
52nd by projected points
Projected
12.0
week 4, Full PPR
Top 12
27%
Top 3: 5% · Top 24: 53% at RB
Movement
↑ 3
RB23 in Week 3, RB20 now
Should you start Quinshon Judkins in Week 4?
Start
Yes in a standard 12-team league. LMD ranks Quinshon Judkins RB20 for Week 4, inside the RB24 starter line. He finishes inside RB24 in 53% of simulated weeks.
The starter line is a standard 12-team lineup's, and is the line LMD's weekly accuracy review grades this board against.
- Draft / market prior
- Neutral+0.02 pts
- Recent usage & efficiency
- Negative-0.76 pts
- AvailabilityAvailable
- Neutral0.00 pts
- Outside projection
- Slight positive+0.15 pts
- Betting markets
- No signal · Not requested
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?
How to read
- Full model minus the model without each factor.
- Effects are not additive or changes in rank.
- Recent data includes its effect on blending weights.
- A range note means a factor moved the spread and not the expected points.
Full PPR scoring · Updated October 4, 2026
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
Updates
Recent updates
-
Should you start or sit Quinshon Judkins in fantasy for Steelers-Browns?
Yahoo Sports ·
-
Fantasy Football Week 4 Start 'Em, Sit 'Em: Quinshon Judkins vs. Jaylen Warren
Yahoo Sports ·
-
NFL Week 3 player props, picks: Buy low on Quinshon Judkins, De’Von Achane
nypost.com ·
-
Quinshon Judkins could run wild
Yahoo Sports ·
-
Bet on Quinshon Judkins to go over his rushing yards total against the Panthers.
Sports Illustrated ·
Headlines from other publishers, discovered automatically and matched to Quinshon Judkins by name -- we did not write these and we do not host them, and each one opens at the publisher who did.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Over 3 completed games Quinshon Judkins has averaged -1.2 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | @ JAX | 9.2 | 7.0 | -2.2 |
| Wk 2 | @ TB | 9.1 | 9.8 | +0.7 |
| Wk 3 | vs CAR | 12.0 | 9.9 | -2.1 |
| Wk 4 | vs PIT | 11.9 | Pending | — |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Draft Return
How he compares with his draft price
The draft market had him at RB21, and for the rest of the season LMD still has him there.
Preseason market: RB21 · ADP 48.7
Season to date
Ranking what he has actually scored needs every player's season, and that board is not published yet.
Rest of season
RB21 Even
Level with his RB21 draft price.
Week 4
RB20 +1
LMD has him 1 spot higher than his RB21 draft price.
Full PPR scoring · benchmark September 9, 2026
Season to date is what he has actually scored, ranked among his position. Rest of season and this week are LMD's current expectations rather than results. All three are compared with where the draft market had him before the season started.
RB21 is where Fantasy Football Calculator had him on September 9, 2026, the last board taken before the season's first kickoff. Later boards absorb what has happened since, so they are a current market rather than a draft price.
Regular season
Why LMD has him here
We project 163.5 points this season, RB21. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 12% · Top 24: 73% of simulated seasons. That is 11.7 a game over 14 remaining games.
Per game
11.7 / game
Over 14 remaining game(s)
Finishing odds
Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 12% · Top 24: 73%
Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at RB
Market input
none
No market signal available.
LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.4.1. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections); PropLine (player props). · 2026 Rest of season board updated October 4, 2026
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Quinshon Judkins #51 in 1QB and #62 in Superflex, RB20 at his position. Age 22.
1QB
#51
RB20 · tier 15 · of 297
Superflex
#62
RB20 · tier 12 · of 303
- Last season 156.8 pts 11.2 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
- Availability 82% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
- History 1 season Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
- Touches 19.0 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 8% of his team's targets.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
5.12
pick 60.2 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
5.12
half of simulations take him by pick 60
Draft range
4.08 - 7.03
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in every one
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 5.12 in 53% of simulations
Pick 60 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 12, the same seat picks again at 6.01, where he is available in 50% of simulations.
Slot 12's remaining turns: 5.12 53% · 6.01 50% · 7.12 1% · 8.01 1% · 9.12 0%
The middle half of simulations take him between 5.04 and 6.09.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 5.10 | 59% |
| 5.11 | 56% |
| 5.12 | 53% |
| 6.01 | 50% |
| 6.02 | 47% |
| 6.03 | 44% |
| 6.04 | 40% |
| 6.05 | 37% |
| 6.06 | 34% |
| 6.07 | 31% |
| 6.08 | 28% |
| 6.09 | 25% |
| 6.10 | 23% |
| 6.11 | 20% |
| 6.12 | 18% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 4.08-4.09 | 3% | 320 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.10-4.11 | 4% | 380 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.12-5.01 | 4% | 438 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.02-5.03 | 4% | 420 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.04-5.05 | 5% | 488 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.06-5.07 | 6% | 573 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.08-5.09 | 6% | 629 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.10-5.11 | 6% | 601 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.12-6.01 | 6% | 598 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.02-6.03 | 6% | 647 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.04-6.05 | 6% | 626 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.06-6.07 | 6% | 618 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.08-6.09 | 5% | 532 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.10-6.11 | 5% | 509 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.12-7.01 | 4% | 449 of 10000 simulations |
| 7.02-7.03 | 4% | 362 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 10000 simulations in which Quinshon Judkins was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- David Montgomery RB · HOU 3%
- Bhayshul Tuten RB · JAX 3%
- Jayden Daniels QB · WAS 3%
- Christian Watson WR · GB 3%
Usually taken just after
- Bhayshul Tuten RB · JAX 3%
- David Montgomery RB · HOU 3%
- Jayden Daniels QB · WAS 3%
- Caleb Williams QB · CHI 3%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Quinshon Judkins was selected in 10000 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of October 1, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.
A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- October 1, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
- Baseline
- mixed
- Market prior
- ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-10-01)
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.