NYJ · Bye 13 · Rookie
Kenyon Sadiq
LMD TE26 for Week 4 · 7.1 projected Full PPR points · TE12 rest of season
Questionable · projection includes a 71% chance of playing
Regular season
Week 4 and rest of season fantasy rankings
We project 7.1 points this week, TE26. Top 3: 6% · Top 12: 24% · Top 24: 39% of simulated weeks. Listed questionable (Back). The projection and the Top 3, 12 and 24 odds include a 71% chance he plays; the weeks he sits count as zero. Down 6 since Week 3.
Week 4
TE26
152nd by projected points
Rest of season
TE12
78th by projected points
Projected
7.1
week 4, Full PPR
Top 12
24%
Top 3: 6% · Top 24: 39% at TE
Movement
↓ 6
TE20 in Week 3, TE26 now
Should you start Kenyon Sadiq in Week 4?
Bench
Not in a standard 12-team league. LMD ranks Kenyon Sadiq TE26 for Week 4, outside the TE12 starter line and outside the range this reading covers. He finishes inside TE12 in 24% of simulated weeks.
The starter line is a standard 12-team lineup's, and is the line LMD's weekly accuracy review grades this board against.
LMD vs the draft market
TE26 vs TE17 -9
LMD has him TE26. The fantasy draft market has him TE17, 9 places higher.
Our projection is lower than the outside forecast.
- Draft / market prior
- Slight negative-0.17 pts
- Recent usage & efficiency
- Slight positive+0.31 pts
- AvailabilityQuestionable
- Strong negative-2.95 pts
- Outside projection
- Neutral-0.03 pts
- Betting markets
- Slight positive+0.15 pts
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?
How to read
- Full model minus the model without each factor.
- Effects are not additive or changes in rank.
- Recent data includes its effect on blending weights.
- A range note means a factor moved the spread and not the expected points.
Full PPR scoring · Updated October 4, 2026
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
Updates
Recent updates
-
Kenyon Sadiq listed as questionable for Week 4
Yahoo Sports ·
-
Kenyon Sadiq limited again
USA TODAY ·
-
Kenyon Sadiq could play his way into the history books if his impressive rookie season with the Jets continues.
Sports Illustrated ·
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Kenyon Sadiq Wins Pepsi NFL Rookie of the Week
yardbarker.com ·
-
New York Jets rookie tight end Kenyon Sadiq has been as advertised through the first three weeks of the season.
Sports Illustrated ·
Headlines from other publishers, discovered automatically and matched to Kenyon Sadiq by name -- we did not write these and we do not host them, and each one opens at the publisher who did.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Over 3 completed games Kenyon Sadiq has averaged +6.8 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | @ TEN | 3.6 | 11.4 | +7.8 |
| Wk 2 | vs GB | 6.8 | 3.7 | -3.1 |
| Wk 3 | @ DET | 7.7 | 23.5 | +15.8 |
| Wk 4 | @ CHI | 7.1 | Pending | — |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Regular season
Why LMD has him here
We project 137.6 points this season, TE12. Top 3: 3% · Top 12: 45% · Top 24: 92% of simulated seasons. That is 10.0 a game over 13.707 remaining games. Listed questionable (Back). The projection and the Top 3, 12 and 24 odds include a 71% chance he plays; the weeks he sits count as zero. Up 1 since the Oct. 1 board.
Per game
10.0 / game
Over 13.707 remaining game(s)
Finishing odds
Top 3: 3% · Top 12: 45% · Top 24: 92%
Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at TE
Market input
broad
Broad market coverage across several venues and markets.
LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.4.1. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections); PropLine (player props). · 2026 Rest of season board updated October 4, 2026
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Kenyon Sadiq #95 in 1QB and #95 in Superflex, TE7 at his position, priced from his draft slot as a rookie. Age 21.
1QB
#95
TE7 · tier 23 · of 297 · rookie 8 of 52
Superflex
#95
TE7 · tier 17 · of 303 · rookie 8 of 52
- Draft capital Round 1, pick 16 (2026) A rookie is priced from where he was drafted, on a prior fitted over prior classes.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.
Dynasty rankings Dynasty TE rankings Dynasty rookie rankings
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
11.04
pick 123.9 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
10.12
half of simulations take him by pick 120
Draft range
9.07 - 12.12
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 9,750 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 10.12 in 53% of simulations
Pick 120 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 1, the same seat picks again at 11.01, where he is available in 50% of simulations.
Slot 1's remaining turns: 10.12 53% · 11.01 50% · 12.12 14% · 13.01 12% · 14.12 8% · 15.01 7%
The middle half of simulations take him between 10.01 and 12.02.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 10.10 | 57% |
| 10.11 | 55% |
| 10.12 | 53% |
| 11.01 | 50% |
| 11.02 | 49% |
| 11.03 | 47% |
| 11.04 | 45% |
| 11.05 | 43% |
| 11.06 | 41% |
| 11.07 | 39% |
| 11.08 | 37% |
| 11.09 | 36% |
| 11.10 | 34% |
| 11.11 | 32% |
| 11.12 | 31% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 9.07-9.08 | 5% | 471 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.09-9.10 | 5% | 497 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.11-9.12 | 5% | 477 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.01-10.02 | 4% | 438 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.03-10.04 | 4% | 444 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.05-10.06 | 4% | 440 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.07-10.08 | 5% | 471 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.09-10.10 | 5% | 460 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.11-10.12 | 5% | 454 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.01-11.02 | 4% | 372 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.03-11.04 | 4% | 397 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.05-11.06 | 4% | 363 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.07-11.08 | 4% | 351 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.09-11.10 | 3% | 317 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.11-11.12 | 3% | 324 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.01-12.02 | 3% | 294 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.03-12.04 | 3% | 327 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.05-12.06 | 3% | 282 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.07-12.08 | 3% | 294 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.09-12.10 | 2% | 236 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.11-12.12 | 3% | 265 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 9750 simulations in which Kenyon Sadiq was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Brenton Strange TE · JAX 2%
- Juwan Johnson TE · NO 2%
- Jake Ferguson TE · DAL 2%
- Dalton Schultz TE · HOU 2%
Usually taken just after
- Isaiah Likely TE · NYG 2%
- Juwan Johnson TE · NO 2%
- KC Concepcion WR · CLE 2%
- Brenton Strange TE · JAX 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Kenyon Sadiq was selected in 9750 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of October 1, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.
A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- October 1, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
- Baseline
- mixed
- Market prior
- ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-10-01)
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.