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WR

TEN · Bye 9

Calvin Ridley

LMD WR154 for Week 4 · 1.6 projected Standard points

In season

Week 4 fantasy ranking

We project 1.6 points this week, WR154. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 1% of simulated weeks. Down 76 since Week 3.

Week 4

WR154

338th by projected points

Projected

1.6

week 4, Standard

Top 12

0%

Top 3: 0% · Top 24: 1% at WR

Movement

↓ 76

WR78 in Week 3, WR154 now

Should you start Calvin Ridley in Week 4?

Bench

Not in a standard 12-team league. LMD ranks Calvin Ridley WR154 for Week 4, outside the WR24 starter line and outside the range this reading covers. He finishes inside WR24 in 1% of simulated weeks.

The starter line is a standard 12-team lineup's, and is the line LMD's weekly accuracy review grades this board against.

Standard scoring · Updated October 4, 2026

LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.

All WR rankings · Projected points board

Season performance

Performance vs. projection

Over 2 completed games Calvin Ridley has averaged -1.4 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.

Actual pointsLMD projectionLikely range (middle 80%)
Week by week for Calvin Ridley, Standard scoring
Week Opp Proj Actual Delta
Wk 1 vs NYJ 3.3 Pending —
Wk 2 vs PHI 2.6 3.5 +0.9
Wk 3 @ NYG 3.7 0.0 -3.7
Wk 4 @ BAL 1.6 Pending —

Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.

Dynasty

Long-term value

LMD's dynasty model has Calvin Ridley #284 in 1QB and #290 in Superflex, WR114 at his position. Age 31.

1QB

#284

WR114 · tier 73 · of 297

Superflex

#290

WR114 · tier 63 · of 303

  • Last season 38.8 pts 5.5 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
  • Availability 71% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
  • History 3 seasons Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
  • Touches 6.5 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 20% of his team's targets.

LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.

Dynasty rankings Dynasty WR rankings

Draft season Draft position and availability

ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Standard 1QB drafts.

Simulated draft position

Where he goes

Simulation average

13.05

pick 148.8 overall, averaged over every simulated draft

Median pick

12.10

half of simulations take him by pick 142

Draft range

11.05 - 15.08

the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)

Simulations

10,000

drafted in 6,905 of them

Filters

League format

League size 12 teams
Scoring Standard
QB format 1QB
Pool Redraft

Availability

Odds he reaches your pick

Available at 12.10 in 66% of simulations

Pick 142 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations

From draft slot 3, the same seat picks again at 13.03, where he is available in 59% of simulations.

Slot 3's remaining turns: 12.10 66% · 13.03 59% · 14.10 54% · 15.03 49%

The middle half of simulations take him between 12.01 and 15.03.

Calvin Ridley still on the board
PickAvailable
12.08 70%
12.09 68%
12.10 66%
12.11 63%
12.12 61%
13.01 59%
13.02 59%
13.03 59%
13.04 59%
13.05 59%
13.06 58%
13.07 58%
13.08 58%
13.09 58%
13.10 58%

Distribution

Draft position distribution

Share of simulations in which Calvin Ridley was selected at each pick, 11.05-11.07 through 15.08. He goes earlier than this window in 6%, later in 7%, undrafted in 31%.
Draft position distribution for Calvin Ridley
PickShare of simulationsCount
11.05-11.074%406 of 10000 simulations
11.08-11.104%407 of 10000 simulations
11.11-12.015%504 of 10000 simulations
12.02-12.045%541 of 10000 simulations
12.05-12.076%583 of 10000 simulations
12.08-12.106%640 of 10000 simulations
12.11-13.015%476 of 10000 simulations
13.02-13.04<1%17 of 10000 simulations
13.05-13.07<1%17 of 10000 simulations
13.08-13.10<1%39 of 10000 simulations
13.11-14.01<1%67 of 10000 simulations
14.02-14.041%125 of 10000 simulations
14.05-14.071%130 of 10000 simulations
14.08-14.102%164 of 10000 simulations
14.11-15.013%306 of 10000 simulations
15.02-15.045%504 of 10000 simulations
15.05-15.075%538 of 10000 simulations
15.082%186 of 10000 simulations

Draft context

Who goes around him

Measured over the 6905 simulations in which Calvin Ridley was drafted.

Usually taken just before

Usually taken just after

Methodology

How this is measured

Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Standard 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.

Calvin Ridley was selected in 6905 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.

Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of October 1, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.

A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.

Simulation model
simulation-v1.2
Generated
October 1, 2026
Player dataset
nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
Baseline
mixed
Market prior
ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-10-01)

Next

Draft it yourself

Mock a 12-team Standard 1QB draft

Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.