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WR

WAS · Bye 7 · Rookie

Antonio Williams

LMD WR65 for Week 4 · 6.3 projected Full PPR points · WR77 rest of season

Regular season

Week 4 and rest of season fantasy rankings

We project 6.3 points this week, WR65. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 3% · Top 24: 9% of simulated weeks. Up 11 since Week 3.

Week 4

WR65

166th by projected points

Rest of season

WR77

160th by projected points

Projected

6.3

week 4, Full PPR

Top 12

3%

Top 3: 0% · Top 24: 9% at WR

Movement

↑ 11

WR76 in Week 3, WR65 now

Should you start Antonio Williams in Week 4?

Bench

Not in a standard 12-team league. LMD ranks Antonio Williams WR65 for Week 4, outside the WR24 starter line and outside the range this reading covers. He finishes inside WR24 in 9% of simulated weeks.

The starter line is a standard 12-team lineup's, and is the line LMD's weekly accuracy review grades this board against.

Full PPR scoring · Updated October 4, 2026

LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.

All WR rankings · Projected points board

Season performance

Performance vs. projection

Over 3 completed games Antonio Williams has averaged +4.5 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.

Actual pointsLMD projectionLikely range (middle 80%)
Week by week for Antonio Williams, Full PPR scoring
Week Opp Proj Actual Delta
Wk 1 @ PHI 2.8 16.4 +13.6
Wk 2 @ DAL 4.3 5.4 +1.1
Wk 3 vs SEA 4.6 3.5 -1.1
Wk 4 vs IND 6.3 Pending —

Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.

Regular season

Why LMD has him here

We project 80.7 points this season, WR77. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 0% of simulated seasons. That is 6.3 a game over 14 remaining games. Up 41 since the Oct. 1 board.

Per game

6.3 / game

Over 14 remaining game(s)

Finishing odds

Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 0%

Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at WR

Market input

broad

Broad market coverage across several venues and markets.

LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.4.1. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections); PropLine (player props). · 2026 Rest of season board updated October 4, 2026

Dynasty

Long-term value

LMD's dynasty model has Antonio Williams #159 in 1QB and #165 in Superflex, WR65 at his position, priced from his draft slot as a rookie. Age 22.

1QB

#159

WR65 · tier 36 · of 297 · rookie 17 of 52

Superflex

#165

WR65 · tier 31 · of 303 · rookie 17 of 52

  • Draft capital Round 3, pick 71 (2026) A rookie is priced from where he was drafted, on a prior fitted over prior classes.

LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.

Dynasty rankings Dynasty WR rankings Dynasty rookie rankings

Draft season Draft position and availability

ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts.

Simulated draft position

Where he goes

Simulation average

15.07

pick 175 overall, averaged over every simulated draft

Median pick

15.07

half of simulations take him by pick 175

Draft range

15.03 - 15.11

the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)

Simulations

10,000

drafted in 2,505 of them

Filters

League format

League size 12 teams
Scoring Full PPR also published: Half PPR
QB format 1QB also published: Superflex
Pool Redraft

Availability

Odds he reaches your pick

Available at 15.07 in 90% of simulations

Pick 175 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations

The middle half of simulations take him between 15.05 and 15.10.

Antonio Williams still on the board
PickAvailable
15.05 94%
15.06 92%
15.07 90%
15.08 87%
15.09 84%
15.10 82%
15.11 80%
15.12 77%

Distribution

Draft position distribution

Share of simulations in which Antonio Williams was selected at each pick, 15.02 through 15.11. He goes earlier than this window in 1%, later in 2%, undrafted in 75%.
Draft position distribution for Antonio Williams
PickShare of simulationsCount
15.021%105 of 10000 simulations
15.031%138 of 10000 simulations
15.042%205 of 10000 simulations
15.052%223 of 10000 simulations
15.062%235 of 10000 simulations
15.073%261 of 10000 simulations
15.083%263 of 10000 simulations
15.092%249 of 10000 simulations
15.102%236 of 10000 simulations
15.112%211 of 10000 simulations

Draft context

Who goes around him

Measured over the 2505 simulations in which Antonio Williams was drafted.

Usually taken just before

Usually taken just after

Methodology

How this is measured

Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.

Antonio Williams was selected in 2505 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.

Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of October 1, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.

A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.

Simulation model
simulation-v1.2
Generated
October 1, 2026
Player dataset
nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
Baseline
mixed
Market prior
ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-10-01)

Next

Draft it yourself

Mock a 12-team Full PPR 1QB draft

Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.