NYG · Bye 8
Isaiah Likely
Isaiah Likely comes off the board at 11.04 on average in 12-team Full PPR 1QB mock drafts, with a median of 10.12.
12-team Full PPR 1QB · 10,000 simulations · generated August 20, 2026
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulated ADP
11.04
pick 124.3 overall, on average
Median pick
10.12
half of simulations take him by pick 120
Draft range
9.08 - 13.02
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 9,522 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 10.12 in 54% of simulations
Pick 120 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 1, the same seat picks again at 11.01, where he is available in 52% of simulations.
Slot 1's remaining turns: 10.12 54% · 11.01 52% · 12.12 16% · 13.01 14% · 14.12 10% · 15.01 10%
The middle half of simulations take him between 10.01 and 12.02.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 10.10 | 58% |
| 10.11 | 56% |
| 10.12 | 54% |
| 11.01 | 52% |
| 11.02 | 50% |
| 11.03 | 48% |
| 11.04 | 47% |
| 11.05 | 45% |
| 11.06 | 43% |
| 11.07 | 41% |
| 11.08 | 39% |
| 11.09 | 38% |
| 11.10 | 36% |
| 11.11 | 34% |
| 11.12 | 33% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 9.08-9.09 | 5% | 502 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.10-9.11 | 6% | 573 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.12-10.01 | 5% | 506 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.02-10.03 | 4% | 422 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.04-10.05 | 5% | 480 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.06-10.07 | 5% | 453 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.08-10.09 | 4% | 447 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.10-10.11 | 4% | 406 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.12-11.01 | 4% | 386 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.02-11.03 | 3% | 328 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.04-11.05 | 4% | 374 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.06-11.07 | 4% | 369 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.08-11.09 | 3% | 313 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.10-11.11 | 3% | 349 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.12-12.01 | 3% | 327 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.02-12.03 | 3% | 284 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.04-12.05 | 3% | 285 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.06-12.07 | 3% | 276 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.08-12.09 | 3% | 273 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.10-12.11 | 3% | 250 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.12-13.01 | 1% | 126 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.02 | <1% | 8 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 9522 simulations in which Isaiah Likely was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Kenyon Sadiq TE · NYJ 2%
- Juwan Johnson TE · NO 2%
- James Conner RB · ARI 2%
- Brenton Strange TE · JAX 2%
Usually taken just after
- Kenyon Sadiq TE · NYJ 2%
- Juwan Johnson TE · NO 2%
- Brenton Strange TE · JAX 2%
- Jacory Croskey-Merritt RB · WAS 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room. Nothing is estimated at page load: the batch runs offline and this page reads the result.
Isaiah Likely was selected in 9522 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here has that count behind it, which is what it should be judged on.
We license no ADP feed, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.1
- Generated
- August 20, 2026
- Player dataset
- sleeper@2026-08-19T17:30:21.894Z
- Baseline
- rank
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.