SF · Bye 8 · Rookie
Kaelon Black
Kaelon Black comes off the board at 3.07 on average in 12-team Half PPR 1QB Rookie mock drafts, with a median of 3.08.
12-team Half PPR 1QB Rookie · 10,000 simulations · generated August 20, 2026
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulated ADP
3.07
pick 31.4 overall, on average
Median pick
3.08
half of simulations take him by pick 32
Draft range
2.07 - 4.07
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 9,999 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 3.08 in 52% of simulations
Pick 32 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 8, the same seat picks again at 4.05, where he is available in 15% of simulations.
Slot 8's remaining turns: 3.08 52% · 4.05 15% · 5.08 <1%
The middle half of simulations take him between 3.01 and 4.01.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 3.06 | 61% |
| 3.07 | 57% |
| 3.08 | 52% |
| 3.09 | 48% |
| 3.10 | 43% |
| 3.11 | 38% |
| 3.12 | 33% |
| 4.01 | 29% |
| 4.02 | 25% |
| 4.03 | 21% |
| 4.04 | 18% |
| 4.05 | 15% |
| 4.06 | 12% |
| 4.07 | 10% |
| 4.08 | 8% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 2.07-2.08 | 3% | 342 of 10000 simulations |
| 2.09-2.10 | 4% | 417 of 10000 simulations |
| 2.11-2.12 | 5% | 485 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.01-3.02 | 6% | 573 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.03-3.04 | 7% | 705 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.05-3.06 | 8% | 806 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.07-3.08 | 9% | 928 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.09-3.10 | 10% | 964 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.11-3.12 | 9% | 924 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.01-4.02 | 8% | 779 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.03-4.04 | 6% | 603 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.05-4.06 | 5% | 472 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.07 | 2% | 199 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 9999 simulations in which Kaelon Black was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Demond Claiborne RB · MIN 3%
- Nicholas Singleton RB · TEN 3%
- Michael Wortham WR · JAX 3%
- Harrison Wallace WR · ARI 3%
Usually taken just after
- Max Klare TE · LAR 3%
- Michael Trigg TE · DAL 3%
- Michael Wortham WR · JAX 3%
- Demond Claiborne RB · MIN 3%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB Rookie drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room. Nothing is estimated at page load: the batch runs offline and this page reads the result.
Kaelon Black was selected in 9999 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here has that count behind it, which is what it should be judged on.
We license no ADP feed, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.1
- Generated
- August 20, 2026
- Player dataset
- sleeper@2026-08-19T17:30:21.894Z
- Baseline
- rank
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.