CHI · Bye 10
Luther Burden
Luther Burden comes off the board at 4.07 on average in 12-team Full PPR 1QB mock drafts, with a median of 4.07.
12-team Full PPR 1QB · 10,000 simulations · generated August 20, 2026
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulated ADP
4.07
pick 43.3 overall, on average
Median pick
4.07
half of simulations take him by pick 43
Draft range
3.04 - 5.10
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in every one
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 4.07 in 52% of simulations
Pick 43 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 6, the same seat picks again at 5.06, where he is available in 19% of simulations.
Slot 6's remaining turns: 4.07 52% · 5.06 19% · 6.07 2% · 7.06 <1% · 8.07 0%
The middle half of simulations take him between 3.11 and 5.03.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 4.05 | 59% |
| 4.06 | 56% |
| 4.07 | 52% |
| 4.08 | 49% |
| 4.09 | 46% |
| 4.10 | 42% |
| 4.11 | 39% |
| 4.12 | 36% |
| 5.01 | 33% |
| 5.02 | 30% |
| 5.03 | 27% |
| 5.04 | 24% |
| 5.05 | 21% |
| 5.06 | 19% |
| 5.07 | 17% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 3.04-3.05 | 3% | 324 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.06-3.07 | 4% | 393 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.08-3.09 | 4% | 410 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.10-3.11 | 5% | 500 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.12-4.01 | 6% | 561 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.02-4.03 | 6% | 628 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.04-4.05 | 7% | 670 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.06-4.07 | 7% | 652 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.08-4.09 | 7% | 667 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.10-4.11 | 7% | 657 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.12-5.01 | 6% | 625 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.02-5.03 | 6% | 600 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.04-5.05 | 5% | 463 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.06-5.07 | 4% | 435 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.08-5.09 | 4% | 364 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.10 | 1% | 141 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 10000 simulations in which Luther Burden was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Ladd McConkey WR · LAC 3%
- Tee Higgins WR · CIN 3%
- Garrett Wilson WR · NYJ 3%
- Emeka Egbuka WR · TB 3%
Usually taken just after
- Davante Adams WR · LAR 3%
- Garrett Wilson WR · NYJ 3%
- Jaylen Waddle WR · DEN 3%
- Zay Flowers WR · BAL 3%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room. Nothing is estimated at page load: the batch runs offline and this page reads the result.
Luther Burden was selected in 10000 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here has that count behind it, which is what it should be judged on.
We license no ADP feed, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.1
- Generated
- August 20, 2026
- Player dataset
- sleeper@2026-08-19T17:30:21.894Z
- Baseline
- rank
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.