IND · Bye 13
Keenan Allen
Keenan Allen comes off the board at 12.09 on average in 12-team Full PPR 1QB mock drafts, with a median of 12.03.
12-team Full PPR 1QB · 10,000 simulations · generated August 21, 2026
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
12.09
pick 140.8 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
12.03
half of simulations take him by pick 135
Draft range
10.11 - 15.07
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 7,055 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 12.03 in 67% of simulations
Pick 135 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 10, the same seat picks again at 13.10, where he is available in 47% of simulations.
Slot 10's remaining turns: 12.03 67% · 13.10 47% · 14.03 46% · 15.10 33%
The middle half of simulations take him between 11.06 and 12.12.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 12.01 | 71% |
| 12.02 | 69% |
| 12.03 | 67% |
| 12.04 | 65% |
| 12.05 | 63% |
| 12.06 | 61% |
| 12.07 | 59% |
| 12.08 | 57% |
| 12.09 | 55% |
| 12.10 | 53% |
| 12.11 | 51% |
| 12.12 | 49% |
| 13.01 | 47% |
| 13.02 | 47% |
| 13.03 | 47% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 10.11-11.01 | 4% | 417 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.02-11.04 | 5% | 459 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.05-11.07 | 5% | 499 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.08-11.10 | 6% | 568 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.11-12.01 | 6% | 553 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.02-12.04 | 6% | 573 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.05-12.07 | 6% | 591 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.08-12.10 | 6% | 606 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.11-13.01 | 4% | 382 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.02-13.04 | <1% | 6 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.05-13.07 | <1% | 7 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.08-13.10 | <1% | 10 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.11-14.01 | <1% | 25 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.02-14.04 | <1% | 47 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.05-14.07 | <1% | 37 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.08-14.10 | <1% | 46 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.11-15.01 | 2% | 161 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.02-15.04 | 4% | 382 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.05-15.07 | 4% | 395 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 7055 simulations in which Keenan Allen was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Isaiah Likely TE · NYG 2%
- Zach Charbonnet RB · SEA 2%
- Tyjae Spears RB · TEN 2%
- Jake Ferguson TE · DAL 2%
Usually taken just after
- Juwan Johnson TE · NO 3%
- Zach Charbonnet RB · SEA 2%
- Isaiah Likely TE · NYG 2%
- Jayden Higgins WR · HOU 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room. Nothing is estimated at page load: the batch runs offline and this page reads the result.
Keenan Allen was selected in 7055 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here has that count behind it, which is what it should be judged on.
Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of August 21, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.
A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- August 21, 2026
- Player dataset
- sleeper@2026-08-19T17:30:21.894Z
- Baseline
- mixed
- Market prior
- ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-08-21)
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.