GB · Bye 11
Christian Watson
Christian Watson comes off the board at 6.10 on average in 12-team Full PPR 1QB mock drafts, with a median of 6.09.
12-team Full PPR 1QB · 10,000 simulations · generated August 20, 2026
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulated ADP
6.10
pick 69.9 overall, on average
Median pick
6.09
half of simulations take him by pick 69
Draft range
5.04 - 8.04
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in every one
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 6.09 in 51% of simulations
Pick 69 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 4, the same seat picks again at 7.04, where he is available in 33% of simulations.
Slot 4's remaining turns: 6.09 51% · 7.04 33% · 8.09 6% · 9.04 2% · 10.09 <1% · 11.04 0%
The middle half of simulations take him between 5.11 and 7.07.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 6.07 | 57% |
| 6.08 | 54% |
| 6.09 | 51% |
| 6.10 | 48% |
| 6.11 | 46% |
| 6.12 | 43% |
| 7.01 | 41% |
| 7.02 | 38% |
| 7.03 | 36% |
| 7.04 | 33% |
| 7.05 | 31% |
| 7.06 | 28% |
| 7.07 | 26% |
| 7.08 | 24% |
| 7.09 | 22% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 5.04-5.05 | 4% | 409 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.06-5.07 | 4% | 445 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.08-5.09 | 4% | 420 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.10-5.11 | 4% | 438 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.12-6.01 | 5% | 504 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.02-6.03 | 5% | 514 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.04-6.05 | 5% | 525 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.06-6.07 | 6% | 578 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.08-6.09 | 5% | 524 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.10-6.11 | 5% | 529 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.12-7.01 | 5% | 516 of 10000 simulations |
| 7.02-7.03 | 5% | 479 of 10000 simulations |
| 7.04-7.05 | 5% | 485 of 10000 simulations |
| 7.06-7.07 | 4% | 428 of 10000 simulations |
| 7.08-7.09 | 4% | 378 of 10000 simulations |
| 7.10-7.11 | 4% | 368 of 10000 simulations |
| 7.12-8.01 | 3% | 292 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.02-8.03 | 3% | 293 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.04 | 1% | 130 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 10000 simulations in which Christian Watson was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Carnell Tate WR · TEN 2%
- DJ Moore WR · BUF 2%
- Jordyn Tyson WR · NO 2%
- Terry McLaurin WR · WAS 2%
Usually taken just after
- Jordyn Tyson WR · NO 3%
- Rome Odunze WR · CHI 2%
- Brian Thomas WR · JAX 2%
- Mike Evans WR · SF 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room. Nothing is estimated at page load: the batch runs offline and this page reads the result.
Christian Watson was selected in 10000 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here has that count behind it, which is what it should be judged on.
We license no ADP feed, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.1
- Generated
- August 20, 2026
- Player dataset
- sleeper@2026-08-19T17:30:21.894Z
- Baseline
- rank
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.