MIN · Bye 6
Jordan Mason
LMD RB54 rest of season · 75.9 projected Full PPR points
Reserve list (IR)
In season
Rest of season fantasy ranking
We project 75.9 points this season, RB54. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 0% of simulated seasons. That is 7.0 a game over 10.825 remaining games. On a reserve list (IR), so the season projection prices the games he misses. Up 2 since the Oct. 1 board.
Rest of season
RB54
175th by projected points
Projected
75.9
rest of season, Full PPR
Top 12
0%
Top 3: 0% · Top 24: 0% at RB
Movement
↑ 2
RB56 on Oct. 1, RB54 now
Full PPR scoring · Updated October 4, 2026
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
Updates
Recent updates
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The Vikings lack reliable RB depth with Jordan Mason out, so a call to the Chargers might be in GM Nolan Teasley's best interest.
Sports Illustrated ·
-
Jordan Mason Fantasy Football Injury Update: When Will Vikings RB Return?
complex.com ·
-
It's safe to say that the Vikings' backfield situation behind Aaron Jones Sr. has been an issue since Jordan Mason landed on IR.
Sports Illustrated ·
-
Vikings RB Jordan Mason (thumb surgery) placed on IR
Reuters ·
-
STATUS
Jordan Mason was listed as Questionable.
Let's Mock Draft ·
Headlines from other publishers, discovered automatically and matched to Jordan Mason by name -- we did not write these and we do not host them, and each one opens at the publisher who did. Status changes are the club designation carried on our player data, not a report of our own.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Over 1 completed game Jordan Mason has averaged +6.7 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs GB | 5.2 | 11.9 | +6.7 |
| Wk 2 | @ CHI | 5.6 | Pending | — |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Draft Return
How he compares with his draft price
The draft market had him at RB38. For the rest of the season LMD has him 16 spots lower, at RB54.
Preseason market: RB38 · ADP 111.6
Season to date
Ranking what he has actually scored needs every player's season, and that board is not published yet.
Rest of season
RB54 −16
LMD has him 16 spots lower than his RB38 draft price.
This week
Not ranked this week — a bye or a ruling out takes a player off the weekly board rather than ranking him last.
Full PPR scoring · benchmark September 9, 2026
Season to date is what he has actually scored, ranked among his position. Rest of season and this week are LMD's current expectations rather than results. All three are compared with where the draft market had him before the season started.
RB38 is where Fantasy Football Calculator had him on September 9, 2026, the last board taken before the season's first kickoff. Later boards absorb what has happened since, so they are a current market rather than a draft price.
Regular season
Why LMD has him here
We project 75.9 points this season, RB54. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 0% of simulated seasons. That is 7.0 a game over 10.825 remaining games. On a reserve list (IR), so the season projection prices the games he misses. Up 2 since the Oct. 1 board.
Per game
7.0 / game
Over 10.825 remaining game(s)
Finishing odds
Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 0%
Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at RB
Market input
none
No market signal available.
LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.4.1. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections); PropLine (player props). · 2026 Rest of season board updated October 4, 2026
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Jordan Mason #197 in 1QB and #192 in Superflex, RB50 at his position. Age 27.
1QB
#197
RB50 · tier 43 · of 297
Superflex
#192
RB50 · tier 36 · of 303
- Last season 121.9 pts 7.6 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
- Availability 87% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
- History 3 seasons Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
- Touches 10.2 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 3% of his team's targets.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
11.11
pick 131.0 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
11.08
half of simulations take him by pick 128
Draft range
10.04 - 14.03
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 9,817 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 11.08 in 53% of simulations
Pick 128 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 8, the same seat picks again at 12.05, where he is available in 30% of simulations.
Slot 8's remaining turns: 11.08 53% · 12.05 30% · 13.08 13% · 14.05 11% · 15.08 4%
The middle half of simulations take him between 10.11 and 12.06.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 11.06 | 58% |
| 11.07 | 56% |
| 11.08 | 53% |
| 11.09 | 51% |
| 11.10 | 48% |
| 11.11 | 46% |
| 11.12 | 43% |
| 12.01 | 41% |
| 12.02 | 38% |
| 12.03 | 36% |
| 12.04 | 33% |
| 12.05 | 30% |
| 12.06 | 28% |
| 12.07 | 26% |
| 12.08 | 24% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 10.04-10.05 | 4% | 447 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.06-10.07 | 4% | 443 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.08-10.09 | 4% | 429 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.10-10.11 | 5% | 511 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.12-11.01 | 5% | 467 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.02-11.03 | 5% | 486 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.04-11.05 | 5% | 533 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.06-11.07 | 5% | 519 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.08-11.09 | 5% | 470 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.10-11.11 | 5% | 522 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.12-12.01 | 5% | 504 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.02-12.03 | 5% | 519 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.04-12.05 | 5% | 478 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.06-12.07 | 4% | 412 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.08-12.09 | 4% | 420 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.10-12.11 | 3% | 345 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.12-13.01 | 2% | 169 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.02-13.03 | <1% | 47 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.04-13.05 | <1% | 46 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.06-13.07 | <1% | 34 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.08-13.09 | <1% | 28 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.10-13.11 | <1% | 44 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.12-14.01 | <1% | 63 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.02-14.03 | <1% | 82 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 9817 simulations in which Jordan Mason was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Romeo Doubs WR · NE 2%
- Travis Hunter WR · JAX 2%
- Zach Charbonnet RB · SEA 2%
- Khalil Shakir WR · BUF 2%
Usually taken just after
- Travis Hunter WR · JAX 2%
- Woody Marks RB · HOU 2%
- Zach Charbonnet RB · SEA 2%
- Wan'Dale Robinson WR · TEN 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Jordan Mason was selected in 9817 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of October 1, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.
A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- October 1, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
- Baseline
- mixed
- Market prior
- ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-10-01)
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.
