CLE · Bye 11 · Rookie

KC Concepcion

KC Concepcion comes off the board at 11.03 on average in 12-team Full PPR 1QB mock drafts, with a median of 11.01.

12-team Full PPR 1QB · 10,000 simulations · generated August 20, 2026

Simulated draft position

Where he goes

Simulated ADP

11.03

pick 123.4 overall, on average

Median pick

11.01

half of simulations take him by pick 121

Draft range

9.10 - 12.09

the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)

Simulations

10,000

drafted in 9,886 of them

Filters

League format

League size 12 teams also published: 10 teams, 8 teams

Scoring Full PPR also published: Half PPR, Standard

QB format 1QB also published: Superflex

Pool Redraft

Availability

Odds he reaches your pick

Available at 11.01 in 52% of simulations

Pick 121 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations

From draft slot 1, the same seat picks again at 12.12, where he is available in 9% of simulations.

Slot 1's remaining turns: 11.01 52% · 12.12 9% · 13.01 8% · 14.12 4% · 15.01 4%

The middle half of simulations take him between 10.03 and 11.11.

KC Concepcion still on the board
Pick	Available
10.11	57%
10.12	55%
11.01	52%
11.02	49%
11.03	46%
11.04	44%
11.05	41%
11.06	39%
11.07	37%
11.08	34%
11.09	32%
11.10	30%
11.11	28%
11.12	26%
12.01	24%

Distribution

Draft position distribution

Share of simulations in which KC Concepcion was selected at each pick, 9.10-9.11 through 12.08-12.09. He goes earlier than this window in 9%, later in 10%, undrafted in 1%.

Draft position distribution for KC Concepcion
Pick	Share of simulations	Count
9.10-9.11	5%	492 of 10000 simulations
9.12-10.01	5%	504 of 10000 simulations
10.02-10.03	5%	546 of 10000 simulations
10.04-10.05	5%	515 of 10000 simulations
10.06-10.07	5%	491 of 10000 simulations
10.08-10.09	5%	539 of 10000 simulations
10.10-10.11	5%	515 of 10000 simulations
10.12-11.01	5%	540 of 10000 simulations
11.02-11.03	5%	535 of 10000 simulations
11.04-11.05	5%	514 of 10000 simulations
11.06-11.07	5%	475 of 10000 simulations
11.08-11.09	4%	416 of 10000 simulations
11.10-11.11	4%	409 of 10000 simulations
11.12-12.01	3%	343 of 10000 simulations
12.02-12.03	3%	339 of 10000 simulations
12.04-12.05	3%	303 of 10000 simulations
12.06-12.07	3%	283 of 10000 simulations
12.08-12.09	2%	226 of 10000 simulations

Draft context

Who goes around him

Measured over the 9886 simulations in which KC Concepcion was drafted.

Usually taken just before

Travis Hunter WR · JAX 2%
Stefon Diggs WR · WAS 2%
Josh Downs WR · IND 2%
Wan'Dale Robinson WR · TEN 2%

Usually taken just after

Travis Hunter WR · JAX 2%
Khalil Shakir WR · BUF 2%
Quentin Johnston WR · LAC 2%
Josh Downs WR · IND 2%

Methodology

How this is measured

Every figure on this page comes from 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room. Nothing is estimated at page load: the batch runs offline and this page reads the result.

KC Concepcion was selected in 9886 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here has that count behind it, which is what it should be judged on.

We license no ADP feed, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.

Simulation model: simulation-v1.1
Generated: August 20, 2026
Player dataset: sleeper@2026-08-19T17:30:21.894Z
Baseline: rank

Draft it yourself

Mock this format now

Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.