CHI · Bye 10
Rome Odunze
LMD WR46 for Week 4 · 8.6 projected Full PPR points · WR52 rest of season
Regular season
Week 4 and rest of season fantasy rankings
We project 8.6 points this week, WR46. Top 3: 1% · Top 12: 9% · Top 24: 20% of simulated weeks. Up 2 since Week 3.
Week 4
WR46
125th by projected points
Rest of season
WR52
103rd by projected points
Projected
8.6
week 4, Full PPR
Top 12
9%
Top 3: 1% · Top 24: 20% at WR
Movement
↑ 2
WR48 in Week 3, WR46 now
Should you start Rome Odunze in Week 4?
Bench
Not in a standard 12-team league. LMD ranks Rome Odunze WR46 for Week 4, outside the WR24 starter line and outside the range this reading covers. He finishes inside WR24 in 20% of simulated weeks.
The starter line is a standard 12-team lineup's, and is the line LMD's weekly accuracy review grades this board against.
LMD vs the draft market
WR46 vs WR28 -18
LMD has him WR46. The fantasy draft market has him WR28, 18 places higher.
Sportsbooks pricing him below our baseline.
- Draft / market prior
- Positive+0.74 pts
- Recent usage & efficiency
- Negative-0.99 pts
- AvailabilityAvailable
- Neutral0.00 pts
- Outside projection
- Slight positive+0.29 pts
- Betting markets
- Negative-1.58 pts
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?
How to read
- Full model minus the model without each factor.
- Effects are not additive or changes in rank.
- Recent data includes its effect on blending weights.
- A range note means a factor moved the spread and not the expected points.
Full PPR scoring · Updated October 4, 2026
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
Updates
Recent updates
-
Week 4 Fantasy Football Start 'Em, Sit 'Em: Carnell Tate vs. Rome Odunze
Yahoo Sports ·
-
Bears need a lot more from WR Rome Odunze after slow start, dropped TD vs. Eagles
chicago.suntimes.com ·
-
Theory: Rome Odunze Dropped That Touchdown Pass on Purpose, Because He Saw Jalen Carter Get Mugged and Wanted to Do the Right Thing
crossingbroad.com ·
-
Courtland Sutton, Rome Odunze, and 6 Other Fantasy Football Must-Sit Wide Receivers in Week 4
Yahoo Sports ·
-
Bears WR Rome Odunze reacts to big play vs. Panthers
yardbarker.com ·
Headlines from other publishers, discovered automatically and matched to Rome Odunze by name -- we did not write these and we do not host them, and each one opens at the publisher who did.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Over 3 completed games Rome Odunze has averaged -1.3 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | @ CAR | 8.9 | 7.2 | -1.7 |
| Wk 2 | vs MIN | 7.4 | 7.3 | -0.1 |
| Wk 3 | vs PHI | 9.4 | 7.4 | -2.0 |
| Wk 4 | vs NYJ | 8.6 | Pending | — |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Draft Return
How he compares with his draft price
The draft market had him at WR27. For the rest of the season LMD has him 25 spots lower, at WR52.
Preseason market: WR27 · ADP 54.4
Season to date
Ranking what he has actually scored needs every player's season, and that board is not published yet.
Rest of season
WR52 −25
LMD has him 25 spots lower than his WR27 draft price.
Week 4
WR46 −19
LMD has him 19 spots lower than his WR27 draft price.
Full PPR scoring · benchmark September 9, 2026
Season to date is what he has actually scored, ranked among his position. Rest of season and this week are LMD's current expectations rather than results. All three are compared with where the draft market had him before the season started.
WR27 is where Fantasy Football Calculator had him on September 9, 2026, the last board taken before the season's first kickoff. Later boards absorb what has happened since, so they are a current market rather than a draft price.
Regular season
Why LMD has him here
We project 117.4 points this season, WR52. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 2% of simulated seasons. That is 8.6 a game over 14 remaining games. Up 3 since the Oct. 1 board.
Per game
8.6 / game
Over 14 remaining game(s)
Finishing odds
Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 2%
Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at WR
Market input
broad
Broad market coverage across several venues and markets.
LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.4.1. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections); PropLine (player props). · 2026 Rest of season board updated October 4, 2026
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Rome Odunze #69 in 1QB and #71 in Superflex, WR24 at his position. Age 24.
1QB
#69
WR24 · tier 18 · of 297
Superflex
#71
WR24 · tier 14 · of 303
- Last season 124.1 pts 10.3 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
- Availability 82% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
- History 2 seasons Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
- Touches 7.0 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 22% of his team's targets.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
6.07
pick 66.8 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
6.07
half of simulations take him by pick 67
Draft range
5.03 - 7.11
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in every one
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 6.07 in 51% of simulations
Pick 67 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 6, the same seat picks again at 7.06, where he is available in 19% of simulations.
Slot 6's remaining turns: 6.07 51% · 7.06 19% · 8.07 2% · 9.06 <1% · 10.07 0%
The middle half of simulations take him between 5.10 and 7.03.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 6.05 | 57% |
| 6.06 | 54% |
| 6.07 | 51% |
| 6.08 | 48% |
| 6.09 | 45% |
| 6.10 | 42% |
| 6.11 | 38% |
| 6.12 | 36% |
| 7.01 | 33% |
| 7.02 | 30% |
| 7.03 | 27% |
| 7.04 | 24% |
| 7.05 | 22% |
| 7.06 | 19% |
| 7.07 | 17% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 5.03-5.04 | 4% | 381 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.05-5.06 | 4% | 430 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.07-5.08 | 4% | 392 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.09-5.10 | 5% | 456 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.11-5.12 | 5% | 468 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.01-6.02 | 5% | 534 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.03-6.04 | 6% | 598 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.05-6.06 | 6% | 629 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.07-6.08 | 6% | 646 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.09-6.10 | 6% | 625 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.11-6.12 | 6% | 584 of 10000 simulations |
| 7.01-7.02 | 6% | 566 of 10000 simulations |
| 7.03-7.04 | 5% | 537 of 10000 simulations |
| 7.05-7.06 | 4% | 431 of 10000 simulations |
| 7.07-7.08 | 4% | 371 of 10000 simulations |
| 7.09-7.10 | 3% | 347 of 10000 simulations |
| 7.11 | 2% | 150 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 10000 simulations in which Rome Odunze was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Carnell Tate WR · TEN 3%
- Parker Washington WR · JAX 3%
- Mike Evans WR · SF 3%
- Terry McLaurin WR · WAS 3%
Usually taken just after
- Parker Washington WR · JAX 3%
- Carnell Tate WR · TEN 2%
- Harold Fannin Jr. TE · CLE 2%
- Chuba Hubbard RB · CAR 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Rome Odunze was selected in 10000 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of October 1, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.
A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- October 1, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
- Baseline
- mixed
- Market prior
- ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-10-01)
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.