LMD Fantasy Support LMD
TE

BAL · Bye 13

Mark Andrews

LMD TE12 for Week 4 · 10.1 projected Full PPR points · TE13 rest of season

Questionable

Regular season

Week 4 and rest of season fantasy rankings

We project 10.1 points this week, TE12. Top 3: 10% · Top 12: 33% · Top 24: 53% of simulated weeks. Listed questionable. Down 2 since Week 3.

Week 4

TE12

104th by projected points

Rest of season

TE13

79th by projected points

Projected

10.1

week 4, Full PPR

Top 12

33%

Top 3: 10% · Top 24: 53% at TE

Movement

↓ 2

TE10 in Week 3, TE12 now

Should you start Mark Andrews in Week 4?

Start

Yes in a standard 12-team league. LMD ranks Mark Andrews TE12 for Week 4, inside the TE12 starter line. He finishes inside TE12 in 33% of simulated weeks.

The starter line is a standard 12-team lineup's, and is the line LMD's weekly accuracy review grades this board against.

Full PPR scoring · Updated October 4, 2026

LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.

All TE rankings · Projected points board

Updates

Recent updates

Headlines from other publishers, discovered automatically and matched to Mark Andrews by name -- we did not write these and we do not host them, and each one opens at the publisher who did.

Season performance

Performance vs. projection

Over 3 completed games Mark Andrews has averaged -0.1 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.

Actual pointsLMD projectionLikely range (middle 80%)
Week by week for Mark Andrews, Full PPR scoring
Week Opp Proj Actual Delta
Wk 1 @ IND 7.4 8.9 +1.5
Wk 2 vs NO 8.2 10.9 +2.7
Wk 3 @ DAL 9.8 5.4 -4.4
Wk 4 vs TEN 10.1 Pending —

Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.

Draft Return

How he compares with his draft price

The draft market had him at TE12. For the rest of the season LMD has him 1 spot lower, at TE13.

Preseason market: TE12 · ADP 133.0

Season to date

Ranking what he has actually scored needs every player's season, and that board is not published yet.

Rest of season

TE13 −1

LMD has him 1 spot lower than his TE12 draft price.

Week 4

TE12 Even

Level with his TE12 draft price.

Full PPR scoring · benchmark September 9, 2026

Season to date is what he has actually scored, ranked among his position. Rest of season and this week are LMD's current expectations rather than results. All three are compared with where the draft market had him before the season started.

TE12 is where Fantasy Football Calculator had him on September 9, 2026, the last board taken before the season's first kickoff. Later boards absorb what has happened since, so they are a current market rather than a draft price.

ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator

Regular season

Why LMD has him here

We project 137.1 points this season, TE13. Top 3: 3% · Top 12: 44% · Top 24: 92% of simulated seasons. That is 10.0 a game over 14 remaining games. Listed questionable. Down 1 since the Oct. 1 board.

Per game

10.0 / game

Over 14 remaining game(s)

Finishing odds

Top 3: 3% · Top 12: 44% · Top 24: 92%

Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at TE

Market input

broad

Broad market coverage across several venues and markets.

LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.4.1. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections); PropLine (player props). · 2026 Rest of season board updated October 4, 2026

Dynasty

Long-term value

LMD's dynasty model has Mark Andrews #181 in 1QB and #176 in Superflex, TE23 at his position. Age 30.

1QB

#181

TE23 · tier 40 · of 297

Superflex

#176

TE23 · tier 33 · of 303

  • Last season 107.0 pts 6.3 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
  • Availability 92% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
  • History 3 seasons Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
  • Touches 4.9 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 17% of his team's targets.

LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.

Dynasty rankings Dynasty TE rankings

Draft season Draft position and availability

ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts.

Simulated draft position

Where he goes

Simulation average

10.02

pick 110.0 overall, averaged over every simulated draft

Median pick

9.12

half of simulations take him by pick 108

Draft range

8.07 - 11.12

the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)

Simulations

10,000

drafted in 9,982 of them

Filters

League format

League size 12 teams also published: 10 teams, 8 teams
Scoring Full PPR also published: Half PPR, Standard
QB format 1QB also published: Superflex
Pool Redraft

Availability

Odds he reaches your pick

Available at 9.12 in 50% of simulations

Pick 108 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations

From draft slot 12, the same seat picks again at 10.01, where he is available in 47% of simulations.

Slot 12's remaining turns: 9.12 50% · 10.01 47% · 11.12 10% · 12.01 9% · 13.12 2% · 14.01 2% · 15.12 <1%

The middle half of simulations take him between 9.02 and 10.11.

Mark Andrews still on the board
PickAvailable
9.10 55%
9.11 53%
9.12 50%
10.01 47%
10.02 45%
10.03 43%
10.04 41%
10.05 39%
10.06 36%
10.07 35%
10.08 33%
10.09 30%
10.10 29%
10.11 27%
10.12 25%

Distribution

Draft position distribution

Share of simulations in which Mark Andrews was selected at each pick, 8.07-8.08 through 11.11-11.12. He goes earlier than this window in 8%, later in 9%, undrafted in <1%.
Draft position distribution for Mark Andrews
PickShare of simulationsCount
8.07-8.084%435 of 10000 simulations
8.09-8.104%441 of 10000 simulations
8.11-8.125%490 of 10000 simulations
9.01-9.024%437 of 10000 simulations
9.03-9.045%499 of 10000 simulations
9.05-9.065%523 of 10000 simulations
9.07-9.086%559 of 10000 simulations
9.09-9.105%496 of 10000 simulations
9.11-9.125%540 of 10000 simulations
10.01-10.025%450 of 10000 simulations
10.03-10.044%437 of 10000 simulations
10.05-10.064%403 of 10000 simulations
10.07-10.084%408 of 10000 simulations
10.09-10.104%363 of 10000 simulations
10.11-10.124%350 of 10000 simulations
11.01-11.023%297 of 10000 simulations
11.03-11.043%256 of 10000 simulations
11.05-11.063%257 of 10000 simulations
11.07-11.082%212 of 10000 simulations
11.09-11.102%190 of 10000 simulations
11.11-11.122%189 of 10000 simulations

Draft context

Who goes around him

Measured over the 9982 simulations in which Mark Andrews was drafted.

Usually taken just before

Usually taken just after

Methodology

How this is measured

Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.

Mark Andrews was selected in 9982 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.

Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of October 1, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.

A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.

Simulation model
simulation-v1.2
Generated
October 1, 2026
Player dataset
nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
Baseline
mixed
Market prior
ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-10-01)

Next

Draft it yourself

Mock a 12-team Full PPR 1QB draft

Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.