IND · Bye 13
Josh Downs
Josh Downs comes off the board at 11.02 on average in 12-team Full PPR 1QB mock drafts, with a median of 10.12.
12-team Full PPR 1QB · 10,000 simulations · generated August 20, 2026
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulated ADP
11.02
pick 121.8 overall, on average
Median pick
10.12
half of simulations take him by pick 120
Draft range
9.08 - 12.08
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 9,924 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 10.12 in 50% of simulations
Pick 120 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 1, the same seat picks again at 11.01, where he is available in 48% of simulations.
Slot 1's remaining turns: 10.12 50% · 11.01 48% · 12.12 7% · 13.01 7% · 14.12 3% · 15.01 3%
The middle half of simulations take him between 10.02 and 11.10.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 10.10 | 56% |
| 10.11 | 53% |
| 10.12 | 50% |
| 11.01 | 48% |
| 11.02 | 45% |
| 11.03 | 43% |
| 11.04 | 40% |
| 11.05 | 38% |
| 11.06 | 36% |
| 11.07 | 33% |
| 11.08 | 31% |
| 11.09 | 29% |
| 11.10 | 27% |
| 11.11 | 25% |
| 11.12 | 23% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 9.08-9.09 | 4% | 448 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.10-9.11 | 5% | 497 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.12-10.01 | 5% | 495 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.02-10.03 | 5% | 545 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.04-10.05 | 5% | 517 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.06-10.07 | 5% | 493 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.08-10.09 | 5% | 529 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.10-10.11 | 5% | 505 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.12-11.01 | 5% | 522 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.02-11.03 | 5% | 497 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.04-11.05 | 5% | 467 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.06-11.07 | 4% | 449 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.08-11.09 | 4% | 422 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.10-11.11 | 4% | 378 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.12-12.01 | 3% | 318 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.02-12.03 | 3% | 346 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.04-12.05 | 3% | 279 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.06-12.07 | 2% | 231 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.08 | 1% | 131 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 9924 simulations in which Josh Downs was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Wan'Dale Robinson WR · TEN 2%
- Jayden Reed WR · GB 2%
- Zach Charbonnet RB · SEA 2%
- Travis Hunter WR · JAX 2%
Usually taken just after
- Jayden Reed WR · GB 2%
- Romeo Doubs WR · NE 2%
- Quentin Johnston WR · LAC 2%
- Jordan Addison WR · MIN 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room. Nothing is estimated at page load: the batch runs offline and this page reads the result.
Josh Downs was selected in 9924 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here has that count behind it, which is what it should be judged on.
We license no ADP feed, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.1
- Generated
- August 20, 2026
- Player dataset
- sleeper@2026-08-19T17:30:21.894Z
- Baseline
- rank
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Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.