PIT · Bye 9
DK Metcalf
DK Metcalf comes off the board at 7.10 on average in 12-team Full PPR 1QB mock drafts, with a median of 7.09.
12-team Full PPR 1QB · 10,000 simulations · generated August 20, 2026
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulated ADP
7.10
pick 82.0 overall, on average
Median pick
7.09
half of simulations take him by pick 81
Draft range
6.04 - 9.06
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in every one
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 7.09 in 51% of simulations
Pick 81 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 9, the same seat picks again at 8.04, where he is available in 34% of simulations.
Slot 9's remaining turns: 7.09 51% · 8.04 34% · 9.09 7% · 10.04 3% · 11.09 <1% · 12.04 0%
The middle half of simulations take him between 6.11 and 8.08.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 7.07 | 56% |
| 7.08 | 53% |
| 7.09 | 51% |
| 7.10 | 49% |
| 7.11 | 46% |
| 7.12 | 44% |
| 8.01 | 41% |
| 8.02 | 39% |
| 8.03 | 36% |
| 8.04 | 34% |
| 8.05 | 31% |
| 8.06 | 29% |
| 8.07 | 27% |
| 8.08 | 25% |
| 8.09 | 23% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 6.04-6.05 | 4% | 386 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.06-6.07 | 4% | 419 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.08-6.09 | 5% | 474 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.10-6.11 | 5% | 491 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.12-7.01 | 5% | 480 of 10000 simulations |
| 7.02-7.03 | 5% | 469 of 10000 simulations |
| 7.04-7.05 | 5% | 497 of 10000 simulations |
| 7.06-7.07 | 5% | 482 of 10000 simulations |
| 7.08-7.09 | 5% | 480 of 10000 simulations |
| 7.10-7.11 | 5% | 488 of 10000 simulations |
| 7.12-8.01 | 5% | 511 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.02-8.03 | 5% | 473 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.04-8.05 | 4% | 447 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.06-8.07 | 4% | 426 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.08-8.09 | 4% | 386 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.10-8.11 | 3% | 324 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.12-9.01 | 3% | 304 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.02-9.03 | 3% | 268 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.04-9.05 | 2% | 222 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.06 | <1% | 94 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 10000 simulations in which DK Metcalf was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Courtland Sutton WR · DEN 2%
- Michael Wilson WR · ARI 2%
- Parker Washington WR · JAX 2%
- Marvin Harrison WR · ARI 2%
Usually taken just after
- Courtland Sutton WR · DEN 3%
- Brian Thomas WR · JAX 2%
- Parker Washington WR · JAX 2%
- Marvin Harrison WR · ARI 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room. Nothing is estimated at page load: the batch runs offline and this page reads the result.
DK Metcalf was selected in 10000 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here has that count behind it, which is what it should be judged on.
We license no ADP feed, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.1
- Generated
- August 20, 2026
- Player dataset
- sleeper@2026-08-19T17:30:21.894Z
- Baseline
- rank
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Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.