CAR · Bye 5
Jonathon Brooks
LMD RB53 rest of season · 77.6 projected Full PPR points
Reserve list (IR)
In season
Rest of season fantasy ranking
We project 77.6 points this season, RB53. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 0% of simulated seasons. That is 7.2 a game over 10.825 remaining games. On a reserve list (IR), so the season projection prices the games he misses.
Rest of season
RB53
170th by projected points
Projected
77.6
rest of season, Full PPR
Top 12
0%
Top 3: 0% · Top 24: 0% at RB
Movement
—
Unchanged: RB53 on Oct. 1
Full PPR scoring · Updated October 4, 2026
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
Updates
Recent updates
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Jonathon Brooks Fantasy Football Injury Update: When Will Panthers RB Return?
complex.com ·
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Panthers coach Dave Canales says RB Jonathon Brooks expected to miss 6-8 weeks
dailyitem.com ·
-
Panthers RB Jonathon Brooks is week-to-week with groin injury
NBC Sports ·
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Groin injury for Jonathon Brooks
USA TODAY ·
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Panthers news: Jonathon Brooks injury the only buzzkill of destruction of Falcons
Yahoo Sports ·
Headlines from other publishers, discovered automatically and matched to Jonathon Brooks by name -- we did not write these and we do not host them, and each one opens at the publisher who did.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Over 2 completed games Jonathon Brooks has averaged -1.0 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs CHI | 5.9 | 7.2 | +1.3 |
| Wk 2 | @ ATL | 5.5 | 2.1 | -3.4 |
| Wk 3 | @ CLE | 6.6 | Pending | — |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Draft Return
How he compares with his draft price
The draft market had him at RB32. For the rest of the season LMD has him 21 spots lower, at RB53.
Preseason market: RB32 · ADP 88.5
Season to date
Ranking what he has actually scored needs every player's season, and that board is not published yet.
Rest of season
RB53 −21
LMD has him 21 spots lower than his RB32 draft price.
This week
Not ranked this week — a bye or a ruling out takes a player off the weekly board rather than ranking him last.
Full PPR scoring · benchmark September 9, 2026
Season to date is what he has actually scored, ranked among his position. Rest of season and this week are LMD's current expectations rather than results. All three are compared with where the draft market had him before the season started.
RB32 is where Fantasy Football Calculator had him on September 9, 2026, the last board taken before the season's first kickoff. Later boards absorb what has happened since, so they are a current market rather than a draft price.
Regular season
Why LMD has him here
We project 77.6 points this season, RB53. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 0% of simulated seasons. That is 7.2 a game over 10.825 remaining games. On a reserve list (IR), so the season projection prices the games he misses.
Per game
7.2 / game
Over 10.825 remaining game(s)
Finishing odds
Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 0%
Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at RB
Market input
none
No market signal available.
LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.4.1. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections); PropLine (player props). · 2026 Rest of season board updated October 4, 2026
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD does not currently assign Jonathon Brooks a differentiated dynasty rank. Age 23.
The model prices him at replacement level for the next three seasons and does not separate him from the several hundred players it prices the same way, so it assigns no rank rather than an invented one.
- Last season 6.0 pts 2.0 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
- Availability 7% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
- History 1 season Played in 1 of his 2 seasons in the window the model reads.
- Touches 1.5 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 1% of his team's targets.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
10.06
pick 114 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
10.04
half of simulations take him by pick 112
Draft range
8.11 - 12.02
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 9,995 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 10.04 in 52% of simulations
Pick 112 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 9, the same seat picks again at 11.09, where he is available in 17% of simulations.
Slot 9's remaining turns: 10.04 52% · 11.09 17% · 12.04 8% · 13.09 2% · 14.04 1% · 15.09 <1%
The middle half of simulations take him between 9.06 and 11.04.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 10.02 | 58% |
| 10.03 | 55% |
| 10.04 | 52% |
| 10.05 | 50% |
| 10.06 | 47% |
| 10.07 | 45% |
| 10.08 | 43% |
| 10.09 | 40% |
| 10.10 | 39% |
| 10.11 | 36% |
| 10.12 | 34% |
| 11.01 | 32% |
| 11.02 | 30% |
| 11.03 | 28% |
| 11.04 | 26% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 8.11-8.12 | 4% | 367 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.01-9.02 | 5% | 451 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.03-9.04 | 4% | 420 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.05-9.06 | 5% | 453 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.07-9.08 | 5% | 475 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.09-9.10 | 4% | 424 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.11-9.12 | 5% | 480 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.01-10.02 | 5% | 524 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.03-10.04 | 5% | 525 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.05-10.06 | 5% | 488 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.07-10.08 | 5% | 458 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.09-10.10 | 4% | 408 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.11-10.12 | 4% | 430 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.01-11.02 | 4% | 422 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.03-11.04 | 4% | 407 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.05-11.06 | 3% | 328 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.07-11.08 | 3% | 332 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.09-11.10 | 3% | 298 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.11-11.12 | 2% | 244 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.01-12.02 | 2% | 243 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 9995 simulations in which Jonathon Brooks was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Kenny Gainwell RB · TB 2%
- Tyler Allgeier RB · ARI 2%
- Brock Purdy QB · SF 2%
- Alec Pierce WR · IND 2%
Usually taken just after
- Jacory Croskey-Merritt RB · WAS 2%
- Jordan Addison WR · MIN 2%
- James Conner RB · ARI 2%
- Quentin Johnston WR · LAC 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Jonathon Brooks was selected in 9995 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of October 1, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.
A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- October 1, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
- Baseline
- mixed
- Market prior
- ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-10-01)
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.