MIA · Bye 6
De'Von Achane
LMD RB29 rest of season · 131.2 projected Full PPR points
Reserve list (IR)
In season
Rest of season fantasy ranking
We project 131.2 points this season, RB29. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 2% · Top 24: 27% of simulated seasons. That is 12.2 a game over 10.825 remaining games. On a reserve list (IR), so the season projection prices the games he misses. Up 1 since the Oct. 1 board.
Rest of season
RB29
85th by projected points
Projected
131.2
rest of season, Full PPR
Top 12
2%
Top 3: 0% · Top 24: 27% at RB
Movement
↑ 1
RB30 on Oct. 1, RB29 now
Full PPR scoring · Updated October 4, 2026
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
Updates
Recent updates
-
Ollie Gordon, Jaylen Wright Ready to Take Over After De’Von Achane Injury
dolphinstalk.com ·
-
Dolphins Need Jaylen Wright and Ollie Gordon to Step Up Without De’Von Achane
dolphinstalk.com ·
-
Can Malik Willis' legs help Dolphins overcome loss of De'Von Achane?
Yahoo Sports ·
-
Dolphins' De'Von Achane out for season: Why Jaylen Wright gets edge
Yahoo Sports ·
-
Dolphins lose De'Von Achane to a torn ACL, sidelining him for the season
wflx.com ·
Headlines from other publishers, discovered automatically and matched to De'Von Achane by name -- we did not write these and we do not host them, and each one opens at the publisher who did.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Over 3 completed games De'Von Achane has averaged -7.0 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | @ LV | 16.1 | 10.6 | -5.5 |
| Wk 2 | @ SF | 12.8 | 12.3 | -0.5 |
| Wk 3 | vs KC | 16.7 | 1.7 | -15.0 |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Draft Return
How he compares with his draft price
The draft market had him at RB5. For the rest of the season LMD has him 24 spots lower, at RB29.
Preseason market: RB5 · ADP 9.7
Season to date
Ranking what he has actually scored needs every player's season, and that board is not published yet.
Rest of season
RB29 −24
LMD has him 24 spots lower than his RB5 draft price.
This week
Not ranked this week — a bye or a ruling out takes a player off the weekly board rather than ranking him last.
Full PPR scoring · benchmark September 9, 2026
Season to date is what he has actually scored, ranked among his position. Rest of season and this week are LMD's current expectations rather than results. All three are compared with where the draft market had him before the season started.
RB5 is where Fantasy Football Calculator had him on September 9, 2026, the last board taken before the season's first kickoff. Later boards absorb what has happened since, so they are a current market rather than a draft price.
Regular season
Why LMD has him here
We project 131.2 points this season, RB29. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 2% · Top 24: 27% of simulated seasons. That is 12.2 a game over 10.825 remaining games. On a reserve list (IR), so the season projection prices the games he misses. Up 1 since the Oct. 1 board.
Per game
12.2 / game
Over 10.825 remaining game(s)
Finishing odds
Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 2% · Top 24: 27%
Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at RB
Market input
none
No market signal available.
LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.4.1. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections); PropLine (player props). · 2026 Rest of season board updated October 4, 2026
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has De'Von Achane #5 in 1QB and #9 in Superflex, RB3 at his position. Age 24.
1QB
#5
RB3 · tier 3 · of 297
Superflex
#9
RB3 · tier 3 · of 303
- Last season 289.3 pts 18.1 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
- Availability 90% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
- History 3 seasons Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
- Touches 17.8 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 16% of his team's targets.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
1.11
pick 11.2 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
1.12
half of simulations take him by pick 12
Draft range
1.05 - 2.05
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in every one
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 1.12 in 52% of simulations
Pick 12 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 12, the same seat picks again at 2.01, where he is available in 41% of simulations.
Slot 12's remaining turns: 1.12 52% · 2.01 41% · 3.12 0%
The middle half of simulations take him between 1.08 and 2.02.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 1.10 | 68% |
| 1.11 | 62% |
| 1.12 | 52% |
| 2.01 | 41% |
| 2.02 | 31% |
| 2.03 | 23% |
| 2.04 | 16% |
| 2.05 | 11% |
| 2.06 | 7% |
| 2.07 | 4% |
| 2.08 | 2% |
| 2.09 | <1% |
| 2.10 | <1% |
| 2.11 | <1% |
| 2.12 | <1% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 1.05 | 4% | 405 of 10000 simulations |
| 1.06 | 4% | 396 of 10000 simulations |
| 1.07 | 4% | 390 of 10000 simulations |
| 1.08 | 5% | 469 of 10000 simulations |
| 1.09 | 5% | 545 of 10000 simulations |
| 1.10 | 7% | 691 of 10000 simulations |
| 1.11 | 10% | 966 of 10000 simulations |
| 1.12 | 11% | 1125 of 10000 simulations |
| 2.01 | 10% | 958 of 10000 simulations |
| 2.02 | 9% | 851 of 10000 simulations |
| 2.03 | 7% | 681 of 10000 simulations |
| 2.04 | 5% | 498 of 10000 simulations |
| 2.05 | 4% | 392 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 10000 simulations in which De'Von Achane was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Jonathan Taylor RB · IND 8%
- Derrick Henry RB · BAL 8%
- Justin Jefferson WR · MIN 7%
- Amon-Ra St. Brown WR · DET 7%
Usually taken just after
- Derrick Henry RB · BAL 10%
- James Cook RB · BUF 8%
- Justin Jefferson WR · MIN 6%
- Jonathan Taylor RB · IND 6%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
De'Von Achane was selected in 10000 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of October 1, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.
A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- October 1, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
- Baseline
- mixed
- Market prior
- ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-10-01)
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.