LMD Fantasy Support LMD
RB

DEN · Bye 10 · Rookie

Jonah Coleman

LMD RB70 rest of season · 48.6 projected Full PPR points

Reserve list (IR)

In season

Rest of season fantasy ranking

We project 48.6 points this season, RB70. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 0% of simulated seasons. That is 5.0 a game over 9.825 remaining games. On a reserve list (IR), so the season projection prices the games he misses. Up 2 since the Oct. 1 board.

Rest of season

RB70

279th by projected points

Projected

48.6

rest of season, Full PPR

Top 12

0%

Top 3: 0% · Top 24: 0% at RB

Movement

↑ 2

RB72 on Oct. 1, RB70 now

Full PPR scoring · Updated October 4, 2026

LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.

All RB rankings · Projected points board

Updates

Recent updates

Headlines from other publishers, discovered automatically and matched to Jonah Coleman by name -- we did not write these and we do not host them, and each one opens at the publisher who did. Draft-position figures are measured, and name the market they came from.

Season performance

Performance vs. projection

Over 1 completed game Jonah Coleman has averaged -2.9 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.

Actual pointsLMD projection
Week by week for Jonah Coleman, Full PPR scoring
Week Opp Proj Actual Delta
Wk 1 @ KC 2.9 0.0 -2.9
Wk 2 — — 14.8 —
Wk 3 vs LAR 6.2 Pending —

Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.

Draft Return

How he compares with his draft price

The draft market had him at RB52. For the rest of the season LMD has him 18 spots lower, at RB70.

Preseason market: RB52 · ADP 155.6

Season to date

Ranking what he has actually scored needs every player's season, and that board is not published yet.

Rest of season

RB70 −18

LMD has him 18 spots lower than his RB52 draft price.

This week

Not ranked this week — a bye or a ruling out takes a player off the weekly board rather than ranking him last.

Full PPR scoring · benchmark September 9, 2026

Season to date is what he has actually scored, ranked among his position. Rest of season and this week are LMD's current expectations rather than results. All three are compared with where the draft market had him before the season started.

RB52 is where Fantasy Football Calculator had him on September 9, 2026, the last board taken before the season's first kickoff. Later boards absorb what has happened since, so they are a current market rather than a draft price.

ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator

Regular season

Why LMD has him here

We project 48.6 points this season, RB70. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 0% of simulated seasons. That is 5.0 a game over 9.825 remaining games. On a reserve list (IR), so the season projection prices the games he misses. Up 2 since the Oct. 1 board.

Per game

5.0 / game

Over 9.825 remaining game(s)

Finishing odds

Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 0%

Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at RB

Market input

none

No market signal available.

LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.4.1. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections); PropLine (player props). · 2026 Rest of season board updated October 4, 2026

Dynasty

Long-term value

LMD's dynasty model has Jonah Coleman #151 in 1QB and #154 in Superflex, RB44 at his position, priced from his draft slot as a rookie. Age 23.

1QB

#151

RB44 · tier 34 · of 297 · rookie 15 of 52

Superflex

#154

RB44 · tier 28 · of 303 · rookie 15 of 52

  • Draft capital Round 4, pick 108 (2026) A rookie is priced from where he was drafted, on a prior fitted over prior classes.

LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.

Dynasty rankings Dynasty RB rankings Dynasty rookie rankings

Draft season Draft position and availability

ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts.

Simulated draft position

Where he goes

Simulation average

13.08

pick 152.2 overall, averaged over every simulated draft

Median pick

12.12

half of simulations take him by pick 144

Draft range

12.01 - 15.08

the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)

Simulations

10,000

drafted in 7,515 of them

Filters

League format

League size 12 teams also published: 10 teams
Scoring Full PPR also published: Half PPR, Standard
QB format 1QB also published: Superflex
Pool Redraft

Availability

Odds he reaches your pick

Available at 12.12 in 64% of simulations

Pick 144 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations

From draft slot 1, the same seat picks again at 13.01, where he is available in 61% of simulations.

Slot 1's remaining turns: 12.12 64% · 13.01 61% · 14.12 48% · 15.01 46%

The middle half of simulations take him between 12.05 and 15.02.

Jonah Coleman still on the board
PickAvailable
12.10 69%
12.11 66%
12.12 64%
13.01 61%
13.02 61%
13.03 60%
13.04 60%
13.05 60%
13.06 59%
13.07 59%
13.08 59%
13.09 58%
13.10 58%
13.11 57%
13.12 57%

Distribution

Draft position distribution

Share of simulations in which Jonah Coleman was selected at each pick, 12.01-12.02 through 15.07-15.08. He goes earlier than this window in 7%, later in 7%, undrafted in 25%.
Draft position distribution for Jonah Coleman
PickShare of simulationsCount
12.01-12.025%489 of 10000 simulations
12.03-12.045%540 of 10000 simulations
12.05-12.065%545 of 10000 simulations
12.07-12.086%563 of 10000 simulations
12.09-12.106%569 of 10000 simulations
12.11-12.126%551 of 10000 simulations
13.01-13.02<1%35 of 10000 simulations
13.03-13.04<1%71 of 10000 simulations
13.05-13.06<1%88 of 10000 simulations
13.07-13.08<1%72 of 10000 simulations
13.09-13.10<1%79 of 10000 simulations
13.11-13.12<1%77 of 10000 simulations
14.01-14.021%135 of 10000 simulations
14.03-14.042%161 of 10000 simulations
14.05-14.061%135 of 10000 simulations
14.07-14.082%179 of 10000 simulations
14.09-14.102%195 of 10000 simulations
14.11-14.122%221 of 10000 simulations
15.01-15.024%379 of 10000 simulations
15.03-15.044%364 of 10000 simulations
15.05-15.063%348 of 10000 simulations
15.07-15.084%376 of 10000 simulations

Draft context

Who goes around him

Measured over the 7515 simulations in which Jonah Coleman was drafted.

Usually taken just before

Usually taken just after

Methodology

How this is measured

Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.

Jonah Coleman was selected in 7515 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.

Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of October 1, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.

A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.

Simulation model
simulation-v1.2
Generated
October 1, 2026
Player dataset
nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
Baseline
mixed
Market prior
ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-10-01)

Next

Draft it yourself

Mock a 12-team Full PPR 1QB draft

Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.