CAR · Bye 5
Xavier Legette
LMD WR93 for Week 3 · 4.7 projected Half PPR points · WR116 rest of season
Regular season
Week 3 and rest of season fantasy rankings
We project 4.7 points this week, WR93. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 3% · Top 24: 8% of simulated weeks. Down 3 since Week 2.
Week 3
WR93
164th by projected points
Rest of season
WR116
196th by projected points
Projected
4.7
week 3, Half PPR
Top 12
3%
Top 3: 0% · Top 24: 8% at WR
Movement
↓ 3
WR90 in Week 2, WR93 now
- Draft / market prior
- Slight positive+0.10 pts
- Recent usage & efficiency
- No mean changeNarrower range-0.07 pts
- AvailabilityAvailable
- Neutral0.00 pts
- Outside projection
- Neutral+0.01 pts
- Betting markets
- No signal
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?
How to read
- Full model minus the model without each factor.
- Effects are not additive or changes in rank.
- Recent data includes its effect on blending weights.
- A range note means a factor moved the spread and not the expected points.
Half PPR scoring · Updated September 22, 2026
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
Updates
Recent updates
-
STATUS
Xavier Legette is no longer listed on the injury report.
Let's Mock Draft ·
Status changes are the club designation carried on our player data, not a report of our own.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Over 2 completed games Xavier Legette has averaged +0.8 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs CHI | 3.1 | 0.0 | -3.1 |
| Wk 2 | @ ATL | 2.8 | 7.4 | +4.6 |
| Wk 3 | @ CLE | 4.7 | — | — |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Regular season
Why LMD has him here
We project 69.5 points this season, WR116. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 0% of simulated seasons. That is 4.6 a game over 15 remaining games. Down 25 since the Sept. 20 board.
Per game
4.6 / game
Over 15 remaining game(s)
Finishing odds
Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 0%
Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at WR
Market input
none
No market signal available.
LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.3.0. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections). · 2026 Rest of season board updated September 22, 2026
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Xavier Legette #166 in 1QB and #171 in Superflex, WR68 at his position. Age 25.
1QB
#166
WR68 · tier 38 · of 297
Superflex
#171
WR68 · tier 32 · of 303
- Last season 71.8 pts 4.8 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
- Availability 88% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
- History 2 seasons Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
- Touches 5.0 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 16% of his team's targets.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB Dynasty drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
14.04
pick 159.7 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
14.03
half of simulations take him by pick 159
Draft range
13.02 - 15.06
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 8,289 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 14.03 in 60% of simulations
Pick 159 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 10, the same seat picks again at 15.10, where he is available in 21% of simulations.
Slot 10's remaining turns: 14.03 60% · 15.10 21%
The middle half of simulations take him between 13.07 and 14.12.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 14.01 | 65% |
| 14.02 | 62% |
| 14.03 | 60% |
| 14.04 | 57% |
| 14.05 | 54% |
| 14.06 | 52% |
| 14.07 | 50% |
| 14.08 | 48% |
| 14.09 | 45% |
| 14.10 | 43% |
| 14.11 | 40% |
| 14.12 | 38% |
| 15.01 | 37% |
| 15.02 | 35% |
| 15.03 | 33% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 13.02-13.03 | 5% | 473 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.04-13.05 | 5% | 508 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.06-13.07 | 5% | 505 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.08-13.09 | 5% | 492 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.10-13.11 | 5% | 504 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.12-14.01 | 6% | 574 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.02-14.03 | 5% | 528 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.04-14.05 | 5% | 497 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.06-14.07 | 5% | 464 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.08-14.09 | 5% | 507 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.10-14.11 | 4% | 421 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.12-15.01 | 4% | 369 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.02-15.03 | 4% | 414 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.04-15.05 | 4% | 367 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.06 | 2% | 171 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 8289 simulations in which Xavier Legette was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Matthew Golden WR · GB 2%
- Antonio Williams WR · WAS 2%
- Kayshon Boutte WR · HOU 2%
- Adonai Mitchell WR · NYJ 2%
Usually taken just after
- Kayshon Boutte WR · HOU 3%
- Rashid Shaheed WR · SEA 2%
- Ja'Kobi Lane WR · BAL 2%
- Malachi Fields WR · NYG 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB Dynasty drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Xavier Legette was selected in 8289 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
We license no ADP feed of our own, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- September 17, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
- Baseline
- rank
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.
