LAC · Bye 7
Omarion Hampton
LMD RB24 for Week 4 · 10.2 projected Full PPR points · RB24 rest of season
Regular season
Week 4 and rest of season fantasy rankings
We project 10.2 points this week, RB24. Top 3: 3% · Top 12: 19% · Top 24: 44% of simulated weeks. Down 8 since Week 3.
Week 4
RB24
101st by projected points
Rest of season
RB24
73rd by projected points
Projected
10.2
week 4, Full PPR
Top 12
19%
Top 3: 3% · Top 24: 44% at RB
Movement
↓ 8
RB16 in Week 3, RB24 now
Should you start Omarion Hampton in Week 4?
Start
Yes in a standard 12-team league. LMD ranks Omarion Hampton RB24 for Week 4, inside the RB24 starter line. He finishes inside RB24 in 44% of simulated weeks.
The starter line is a standard 12-team lineup's, and is the line LMD's weekly accuracy review grades this board against.
LMD vs the draft market
RB24 vs RB11 -13
LMD has him RB24. The fantasy draft market has him RB11, 13 places higher.
Sportsbooks pricing him below our baseline.
- Draft / market prior
- Positive+0.53 pts
- Recent usage & efficiency
- Negative-0.84 pts
- AvailabilityAvailable
- Neutral0.00 pts
- Outside projection
- Slight positive+0.11 pts
- Betting markets
- Negative-1.87 pts
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?
How to read
- Full model minus the model without each factor.
- Effects are not additive or changes in rank.
- Recent data includes its effect on blending weights.
- A range note means a factor moved the spread and not the expected points.
Full PPR scoring · Updated October 4, 2026
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
Updates
Recent updates
-
Fantasy Football Trade Tips: Try to get off the Omarion Hampton train as soon as you can
Yahoo Sports ·
-
Omarion Hampton, Ollie Gordon, And All Our Must-Sit Fantasy Football Running Backs For Week 4
Yahoo Sports ·
-
Omarion Hampton runs for 56 yards
Yahoo Sports ·
-
Fantasy football Start 'Em, Sit 'Em RB in Week 2: Omarion Hampton poised to bounce back against Raiders
CBS Sports ·
-
ADP UPDATE
Omarion Hampton's ADP at Fantasy Football Calculator moved from 22.2 to 19.9 over the last 7 days.
Headlines from other publishers, discovered automatically and matched to Omarion Hampton by name -- we did not write these and we do not host them, and each one opens at the publisher who did. Draft-position figures are measured, and name the market they came from.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Over 3 completed games Omarion Hampton has averaged -2.3 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs ARI | 13.9 | 8.3 | -5.6 |
| Wk 2 | vs LV | 11.2 | 17.5 | +6.3 |
| Wk 3 | @ BUF | 13.1 | 5.6 | -7.5 |
| Wk 4 | @ SEA | 10.2 | Pending | — |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Draft Return
How he compares with his draft price
The draft market had him at RB12. For the rest of the season LMD has him 12 spots lower, at RB24.
Preseason market: RB12 · ADP 22.2
Season to date
Ranking what he has actually scored needs every player's season, and that board is not published yet.
Rest of season
RB24 −12
LMD has him 12 spots lower than his RB12 draft price.
Week 4
RB24 −12
LMD has him 12 spots lower than his RB12 draft price.
Full PPR scoring · benchmark September 9, 2026
Season to date is what he has actually scored, ranked among his position. Rest of season and this week are LMD's current expectations rather than results. All three are compared with where the draft market had him before the season started.
RB12 is where Fantasy Football Calculator had him on September 9, 2026, the last board taken before the season's first kickoff. Later boards absorb what has happened since, so they are a current market rather than a draft price.
Regular season
Why LMD has him here
We project 141.7 points this season, RB24. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 2% · Top 24: 41% of simulated seasons. That is 10.3 a game over 14 remaining games. Down 1 since the Oct. 1 board.
Per game
10.3 / game
Over 14 remaining game(s)
Finishing odds
Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 2% · Top 24: 41%
Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at RB
Market input
broad
Broad market coverage across several venues and markets.
LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.4.1. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections); PropLine (player props). · 2026 Rest of season board updated October 4, 2026
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Omarion Hampton #73 in 1QB and #76 in Superflex, RB24 at his position. Age 23.
1QB
#73
RB24 · tier 19 · of 297
Superflex
#76
RB24 · tier 15 · of 303
- Last season 119.7 pts 13.3 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
- Availability 53% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
- History 1 season Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
- Touches 17.7 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 12% of his team's targets.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
2.09
pick 21.1 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
2.09
half of simulations take him by pick 21
Draft range
2.05 - 3.02
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in every one
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 2.09 in 59% of simulations
Pick 21 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 4, the same seat picks again at 3.04, where he is available in 4% of simulations.
Slot 4's remaining turns: 2.09 59% · 3.04 4% · 4.09 0%
The middle half of simulations take him between 2.07 and 2.11.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 2.07 | 80% |
| 2.08 | 71% |
| 2.09 | 59% |
| 2.10 | 46% |
| 2.11 | 34% |
| 2.12 | 24% |
| 3.01 | 16% |
| 3.02 | 10% |
| 3.03 | 6% |
| 3.04 | 4% |
| 3.05 | 2% |
| 3.06 | 1% |
| 3.07 | <1% |
| 3.08 | <1% |
| 3.09 | <1% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 2.05 | 4% | 428 of 10000 simulations |
| 2.06 | 7% | 669 of 10000 simulations |
| 2.07 | 9% | 931 of 10000 simulations |
| 2.08 | 12% | 1205 of 10000 simulations |
| 2.09 | 13% | 1344 of 10000 simulations |
| 2.10 | 12% | 1202 of 10000 simulations |
| 2.11 | 10% | 993 of 10000 simulations |
| 2.12 | 8% | 754 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.01 | 6% | 569 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.02 | 4% | 429 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 10000 simulations in which Omarion Hampton was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Kenneth Walker III RB · KC 11%
- Ashton Jeanty RB · LV 10%
- Chase Brown RB · CIN 7%
- Saquon Barkley RB · PHI 5%
Usually taken just after
- Kenneth Walker III RB · KC 9%
- Ashton Jeanty RB · LV 7%
- Chase Brown RB · CIN 6%
- Jeremiyah Love RB · ARI 5%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Omarion Hampton was selected in 10000 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of October 1, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.
A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- October 1, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
- Baseline
- mixed
- Market prior
- ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-10-01)
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.