MIN · Bye 6
Aaron Jones
Aaron Jones comes off the board at 9.10 on average in 12-team Full PPR 1QB mock drafts, with a median of 9.08.
12-team Full PPR 1QB · 10,000 simulations · generated August 20, 2026
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulated ADP
9.10
pick 106 overall, on average
Median pick
9.08
half of simulations take him by pick 104
Draft range
8.02 - 11.07
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 9,999 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 9.08 in 52% of simulations
Pick 104 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 8, the same seat picks again at 10.05, where he is available in 32% of simulations.
Slot 8's remaining turns: 9.08 52% · 10.05 32% · 11.08 10% · 12.05 3% · 13.08 1% · 14.05 <1% · 15.08 <1%
The middle half of simulations take him between 8.10 and 10.08.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 9.06 | 56% |
| 9.07 | 54% |
| 9.08 | 52% |
| 9.09 | 50% |
| 9.10 | 47% |
| 9.11 | 45% |
| 9.12 | 43% |
| 10.01 | 40% |
| 10.02 | 38% |
| 10.03 | 36% |
| 10.04 | 34% |
| 10.05 | 32% |
| 10.06 | 30% |
| 10.07 | 28% |
| 10.08 | 26% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 8.02-8.03 | 4% | 415 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.04-8.05 | 4% | 446 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.06-8.07 | 4% | 399 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.08-8.09 | 4% | 417 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.10-8.11 | 4% | 447 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.12-9.01 | 5% | 450 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.02-9.03 | 5% | 494 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.04-9.05 | 5% | 468 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.06-9.07 | 4% | 422 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.08-9.09 | 5% | 477 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.10-9.11 | 5% | 473 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.12-10.01 | 5% | 451 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.02-10.03 | 4% | 424 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.04-10.05 | 4% | 406 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.06-10.07 | 4% | 375 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.08-10.09 | 4% | 350 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.10-10.11 | 3% | 284 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.12-11.01 | 3% | 280 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.02-11.03 | 3% | 283 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.04-11.05 | 2% | 213 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.06-11.07 | 2% | 223 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 9999 simulations in which Aaron Jones was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Brian Robinson RB · ATL 2%
- Tyler Allgeier RB · ARI 2%
- Kenny Gainwell RB · TB 2%
- Jonathon Brooks RB · CAR 2%
Usually taken just after
- Brock Purdy QB · SF 2%
- Brian Robinson RB · ATL 2%
- Kenny Gainwell RB · TB 2%
- Alec Pierce WR · IND 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room. Nothing is estimated at page load: the batch runs offline and this page reads the result.
Aaron Jones was selected in 9999 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here has that count behind it, which is what it should be judged on.
We license no ADP feed, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.1
- Generated
- August 20, 2026
- Player dataset
- sleeper@2026-08-19T17:30:21.894Z
- Baseline
- rank
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.