SEA · Bye 11

Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Jaxon Smith-Njigba comes off the board at 1.11 on average in 12-team Full PPR 1QB mock drafts, with a median of 1.11.

12-team Full PPR 1QB · 10,000 simulations · generated August 20, 2026

Simulated draft position

Where he goes

Simulated ADP

1.11

pick 11.1 overall, on average

Median pick

1.11

half of simulations take him by pick 11

Draft range

1.03 - 2.06

the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)

Simulations

10,000

drafted in every one

Filters

League format

League size 12 teams also published: 10 teams, 8 teams

Scoring Full PPR also published: Half PPR, Standard

QB format 1QB also published: Superflex

Pool Redraft

Availability

Odds he reaches your pick

Available at 1.11 in 55% of simulations

Pick 11 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations

From draft slot 11, the same seat picks again at 2.02, where he is available in 36% of simulations.

Slot 11's remaining turns: 1.11 55% · 2.02 36% · 3.11 0%

The middle half of simulations take him between 1.07 and 2.03.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba still on the board
Pick	Available
1.09	66%
1.10	60%
1.11	55%
1.12	49%
2.01	42%
2.02	36%
2.03	30%
2.04	23%
2.05	18%
2.06	14%
2.07	9%
2.08	6%
2.09	4%
2.10	2%
2.11	1%

Distribution

Draft position distribution

Share of simulations in which Jaxon Smith-Njigba was selected at each pick, 1.03 through 2.06. He goes earlier than this window in 8%, later in 9%.

Draft position distribution for Jaxon Smith-Njigba
Pick	Share of simulations	Count
1.03	4%	421 of 10000 simulations
1.04	4%	431 of 10000 simulations
1.05	4%	406 of 10000 simulations
1.06	4%	396 of 10000 simulations
1.07	4%	443 of 10000 simulations
1.08	6%	578 of 10000 simulations
1.09	5%	528 of 10000 simulations
1.10	6%	571 of 10000 simulations
1.11	6%	614 of 10000 simulations
1.12	7%	651 of 10000 simulations
2.01	6%	636 of 10000 simulations
2.02	6%	612 of 10000 simulations
2.03	6%	611 of 10000 simulations
2.04	5%	535 of 10000 simulations
2.05	5%	458 of 10000 simulations
2.06	4%	418 of 10000 simulations

Draft context

Who goes around him

Measured over the 10000 simulations in which Jaxon Smith-Njigba was drafted.

Usually taken just before

Puka Nacua WR · LAR 6%
CeeDee Lamb WR · DAL 6%
Ja'Marr Chase WR · CIN 5%
Jonathan Taylor RB · IND 5%

Usually taken just after

CeeDee Lamb WR · DAL 6%
Amon-Ra St. Brown WR · DET 5%
Christian McCaffrey RB · SF 5%
Justin Jefferson WR · MIN 5%

Methodology

How this is measured

Every figure on this page comes from 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room. Nothing is estimated at page load: the batch runs offline and this page reads the result.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba was selected in 10000 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here has that count behind it, which is what it should be judged on.

We license no ADP feed, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.

Simulation model: simulation-v1.1
Generated: August 20, 2026
Player dataset: sleeper@2026-08-19T17:30:21.894Z
Baseline: rank

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