SEA · Bye 11
AJ Barner
AJ Barner comes off the board at 12.11 on average in 12-team Full PPR 1QB mock drafts, with a median of 12.06.
12-team Full PPR 1QB · 10,000 simulations · generated August 20, 2026
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulated ADP
12.11
pick 142.7 overall, on average
Median pick
12.06
half of simulations take him by pick 138
Draft range
11.02 - 15.06
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 7,482 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 12.06 in 63% of simulations
Pick 138 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 7, the same seat picks again at 13.07, where he is available in 46% of simulations.
Slot 7's remaining turns: 12.06 63% · 13.07 46% · 14.06 43% · 15.07 32%
The middle half of simulations take him between 11.08 and 14.03.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 12.04 | 67% |
| 12.05 | 65% |
| 12.06 | 63% |
| 12.07 | 60% |
| 12.08 | 59% |
| 12.09 | 56% |
| 12.10 | 54% |
| 12.11 | 52% |
| 12.12 | 50% |
| 13.01 | 48% |
| 13.02 | 48% |
| 13.03 | 47% |
| 13.04 | 47% |
| 13.05 | 47% |
| 13.06 | 47% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 11.02-11.04 | 6% | 559 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.05-11.07 | 6% | 586 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.08-11.10 | 6% | 578 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.11-12.01 | 6% | 586 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.02-12.04 | 6% | 557 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.05-12.07 | 7% | 651 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.08-12.10 | 6% | 642 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.11-13.01 | 5% | 453 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.02-13.04 | <1% | 77 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.05-13.07 | <1% | 57 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.08-13.10 | <1% | 57 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.11-14.01 | 1% | 104 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.02-14.04 | 2% | 153 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.05-14.07 | 2% | 157 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.08-14.10 | 2% | 174 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.11-15.01 | 2% | 249 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.02-15.04 | 3% | 336 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.05-15.06 | 2% | 239 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 7482 simulations in which AJ Barner was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Xavier Worthy WR · KC 2%
- Emmett Johnson RB · KC 2%
- Khalil Shakir WR · BUF 2%
- Jayden Higgins WR · HOU 2%
Usually taken just after
- Jayden Higgins WR · HOU 2%
- Tyrone Tracy RB · NYG 2%
- Jauan Jennings WR · MIN 2%
- Khalil Shakir WR · BUF 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room. Nothing is estimated at page load: the batch runs offline and this page reads the result.
AJ Barner was selected in 7482 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here has that count behind it, which is what it should be judged on.
We license no ADP feed, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.1
- Generated
- August 20, 2026
- Player dataset
- sleeper@2026-08-19T17:30:21.894Z
- Baseline
- rank
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Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.