BUF · Bye 7
Keon Coleman
Keon Coleman comes off the board at 10.11 on average in 12-team Full PPR 1QB mock drafts, with a median of 10.11.
12-team Full PPR 1QB · 10,000 simulations · generated August 21, 2026
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
10.11
pick 119.1 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
10.11
half of simulations take him by pick 119
Draft range
8.11 - 12.07
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 9,622 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 10.11 in 54% of simulations
Pick 119 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 2, the same seat picks again at 11.02, where he is available in 48% of simulations.
Slot 2's remaining turns: 10.11 54% · 11.02 48% · 12.11 9% · 13.02 7% · 14.11 7% · 15.02 6%
The middle half of simulations take him between 9.11 and 11.11.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 10.09 | 58% |
| 10.10 | 56% |
| 10.11 | 54% |
| 10.12 | 52% |
| 11.01 | 50% |
| 11.02 | 48% |
| 11.03 | 46% |
| 11.04 | 43% |
| 11.05 | 42% |
| 11.06 | 39% |
| 11.07 | 37% |
| 11.08 | 35% |
| 11.09 | 33% |
| 11.10 | 31% |
| 11.11 | 29% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 8.11-8.12 | 2% | 188 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.01-9.02 | 2% | 213 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.03-9.04 | 2% | 215 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.05-9.06 | 3% | 250 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.07-9.08 | 3% | 284 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.09-9.10 | 3% | 282 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.11-9.12 | 3% | 316 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.01-10.02 | 4% | 402 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.03-10.04 | 4% | 356 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.05-10.06 | 4% | 399 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.07-10.08 | 4% | 400 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.09-10.10 | 4% | 401 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.11-10.12 | 4% | 407 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.01-11.02 | 4% | 394 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.03-11.04 | 4% | 414 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.05-11.06 | 4% | 442 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.07-11.08 | 4% | 447 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.09-11.10 | 4% | 378 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.11-11.12 | 4% | 436 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.01-12.02 | 4% | 402 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.03-12.04 | 4% | 363 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.05-12.06 | 3% | 292 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.07 | 1% | 141 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 9622 simulations in which Keon Coleman was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- KC Concepcion WR · CLE 2%
- Romeo Doubs WR · NE 2%
- George Kittle TE · SF 2%
- Deebo Samuel WR · SF 2%
Usually taken just after
- KC Concepcion WR · CLE 2%
- Deebo Samuel WR · SF 2%
- Xavier Worthy WR · KC 2%
- Jalen Coker WR · CAR 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from 10,000 simulated 12-team Full PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room. Nothing is estimated at page load: the batch runs offline and this page reads the result.
Keon Coleman was selected in 9622 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here has that count behind it, which is what it should be judged on.
Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of August 21, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.
A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- August 21, 2026
- Player dataset
- sleeper@2026-08-19T17:30:21.894Z
- Baseline
- mixed
- Market prior
- ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-08-21)
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.