NFL · 2026 Week 1
2026 Week 1 Standard Projected Fantasy Points
Final pre-kickoff board · published September 9, 2026, 18:40 UTC · first kickoff September 10, 2026, 00:20 UTC
Standard, 1QB · 400 players projected · updated September 9, 2026
See how these rankings performed
Week 1 starts from preseason projections and draft position, with current availability and market signals layered in.
How these rankings work
How these rankings are built
We start with preseason player projections and draft position — where players were being selected in fantasy drafts entering the season.
We then update those expectations for Week 1 using recent usage, availability and market signals. Market signals are current sportsbook and prediction-market prices that can reflect changing expectations for a player's workload, performance, or availability.
We then simulate the week 4,000 times and rank players by the projected fantasy points those simulations produce.
This board is priced in Standard. The order and the finish percentages below are specific to it: another format is a separate simulation of the same projections, not this table with new points.
Quarterbacks naturally rank near the top of the overall board because they score more fantasy points than most other positions. For start/sit decisions, use the positional boards.
What the percentages mean
For every simulation, we also record where each player finishes at his position.
- Top 3
- how often he finishes among the top three at his position
- Top 12
- how often he finishes in the top 12
- Top 24
- how often he finishes in the top 24
A WR with a 58% Top 12 rate finished as a top-12 WR in 58% of the simulated weeks.
What stood out in Week 1
400 players ranked for Week 1. Josh Allen leads the overall board at 21.2 projected points.
Biggest differences from the draft market
Ahead
- Breece HallRB11Sportsbooks pricing him above our baselineTop 3: 10% · Top 12: 33% · Top 24: 50% +5 vs. RB16
- Malik WillisQB20Sportsbooks pricing him above our baselineTop 3: 5% · Top 12: 26% · Top 24: 51% +4 vs. QB24
Behind
- Patrick MahomesQB19Our projection is lower than the outside forecastTop 3: 8% · Top 12: 27% · Top 24: 47% -4 vs. QB15
| # | Pos | Player | Pos rank | Proj |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | QB | Josh AllenBUF Top 3: 24%Top 12: 58%Top 24: 78% |
QB1 | 21.2 |
| 2 | QB | Lamar JacksonBAL Top 3: 23%Top 12: 56%Top 24: 77% |
QB2 | 20.5 |
| 3 | QB | Jalen HurtsPHI Top 3: 19%Top 12: 52%Top 24: 74% |
QB3 | 19.1 |
| 4 | QB | Drake MayeNE Top 3: 18%Top 12: 52%Top 24: 74% |
QB4 | 18.9 |
| 5 | QB | Jayden DanielsWAS Top 3: 16%Top 12: 48%Top 24: 71% |
QB5 | 18.3 |
| 6 | QB | Joe BurrowCIN Top 3: 16%Top 12: 47%Top 24: 70% |
QB6 | 18.0 |
| 7 | RB | Jahmyr GibbsDET Top 3: 29%Top 12: 63%Top 24: 79% |
RB1 | 17.0 |
| 8 | QB | Jaxson DartNYG Top 3: 13%Top 12: 44%Top 24: 67% |
QB7 | 16.8 |
| 9 | QB | Dak PrescottDAL Top 3: 14%Top 12: 43%Top 24: 66% |
QB8 | 16.7 |
| 10 | QB | Justin HerbertLAC Top 3: 12%Top 12: 41%Top 24: 65% |
QB9 | 16.5 |
| 11 | QB | Caleb WilliamsCHI Top 3: 11%Top 12: 38%Top 24: 62% |
QB10 | 15.7 |
| 12 | QB | Matthew StaffordLAR Top 3: 11%Top 12: 38%Top 24: 63% |
QB11 | 15.6 |
| 13 | RB | Bijan RobinsonATL Top 3: 24%Top 12: 57%Top 24: 74% |
RB2 | 15.2 |
| 14 | QB | Trevor LawrenceJAX Top 3: 9%Top 12: 35%Top 24: 60% |
QB12 | 14.9 |
| 15 | QB | Kyler MurrayMIN Top 3: 8%Top 12: 33%Top 24: 57% |
QB13 | 14.4 |
| 16 | QB | Brock PurdySF Top 3: 8%Top 12: 32%Top 24: 56% |
QB14 | 14.2 |
| 17 | RB | Jonathan TaylorIND Top 3: 20%Top 12: 53%Top 24: 70% |
RB3 | 13.9 |
| 18 | QB | Bo NixDEN Top 3: 8%Top 12: 30%Top 24: 52% |
QB15 | 13.8 |
| 19 | QB | Baker MayfieldTB Top 3: 7%Top 12: 29%Top 24: 54% |
QB16 | 13.6 |
| 20 | QB | Jared GoffDET Top 3: 6%Top 12: 29%Top 24: 54% |
QB17 | 13.5 |
| 21 | RB | Christian McCaffreySF Top 3: 18%Top 12: 50%Top 24: 68% |
RB4 | 13.2 |
| 22 | QB | Tyler ShoughNO Top 3: 6%Top 12: 27%Top 24: 52% |
QB18 | 13.1 |
| 23 | QB | Patrick MahomesKCQQuestionable Top 3: 8%Top 12: 27%Top 24: 47% |
QB19 | 13.1 |
| 24 | QB | Malik WillisMIA Top 3: 5%Top 12: 26%Top 24: 51% |
QB20 | 12.8 |
| 25 | QB | Daniel JonesIND Top 3: 5%Top 12: 26%Top 24: 49% |
QB21 | 12.7 |
| 26 | QB | Jordan LoveGB Top 3: 5%Top 12: 25%Top 24: 49% |
QB22 | 12.6 |
| 27 | RB | Saquon BarkleyPHI Top 3: 15%Top 12: 47%Top 24: 65% |
RB5 | 12.5 |
| 28 | RB | De'Von AchaneMIA Top 3: 15%Top 12: 46%Top 24: 66% |
RB6 | 12.5 |
| 29 | QB | Sam DarnoldSEA Top 3: 5%Top 12: 25%Top 24: 48% |
QB23 | 12.5 |
| 30 | WR | Puka NacuaLAR Top 3: 21%Top 12: 49%Top 24: 63% |
WR1 | 12.4 |
| 31 | QB | C.J. StroudHOU Top 3: 5%Top 12: 24%Top 24: 48% |
QB24 | 12.4 |
| 32 | RB | James CookBUF Top 3: 15%Top 12: 45%Top 24: 64% |
RB7 | 12.3 |
| 33 | WR | Ja'Marr ChaseCINQQuestionable Top 3: 20%Top 12: 44%Top 24: 57% |
WR2 | 12.2 |
| 34 | QB | Bryce YoungCAR Top 3: 5%Top 12: 24%Top 24: 47% |
QB25 | 12.2 |
| 35 | RB | Derrick HenryBAL Top 3: 13%Top 12: 43%Top 24: 60% |
RB8 | 11.5 |
| 36 | QB | Aaron RodgersPIT Top 3: 4%Top 12: 20%Top 24: 41% |
QB26 | 11.3 |
| 37 | WR | Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA Top 3: 18%Top 12: 45%Top 24: 57% |
WR3 | 11.3 |
| 38 | RB | Omarion HamptonLAC Top 3: 13%Top 12: 42%Top 24: 60% |
RB9 | 11.3 |
| 39 | QB | Jacoby BrissettARI Top 3: 3%Top 12: 19%Top 24: 41% |
QB27 | 11.2 |
| 40 | WR | Amon-Ra St. BrownDET Top 3: 16%Top 12: 42%Top 24: 57% |
WR4 | 11.0 |
| 41 | QB | Kirk CousinsLV Top 3: 3%Top 12: 19%Top 24: 40% |
QB28 | 10.9 |
| 42 | QB | Cam WardTEN Top 3: 3%Top 12: 17%Top 24: 39% |
QB29 | 10.7 |
| 43 | RB | Chase BrownCIN Top 3: 10%Top 12: 36%Top 24: 54% |
RB10 | 10.2 |
| 44 | WR | CeeDee LambDAL Top 3: 14%Top 12: 39%Top 24: 52% |
WR5 | 10.2 |
| 45 | RB | Breece HallNYJQQuestionable Top 3: 10%Top 12: 33%Top 24: 50% |
RB11 | 9.8 |
| 46 | QB | Deshaun WatsonCLE Top 3: 2%Top 12: 12%Top 24: 32% |
QB30 | 9.6 |
| 47 | WR | Justin JeffersonMIN Top 3: 12%Top 12: 36%Top 24: 50% |
WR6 | 9.6 |
| 48 | RB | Ashton JeantyLVQQuestionable Top 3: 9%Top 12: 33%Top 24: 48% |
RB12 | 9.5 |
| 49 | QB | Geno SmithNYJ Top 3: 2%Top 12: 13%Top 24: 32% |
QB31 | 9.5 |
| 50 | RB | Javonte WilliamsDAL Top 3: 9%Top 12: 32%Top 24: 49% |
RB13 | 9.4 |
| 51 | QB | Tua TagovailoaATL Top 3: 1%Top 12: 11%Top 24: 29% |
QB32 | 9.2 |
| 52 | WR | Nico CollinsHOU Top 3: 11%Top 12: 33%Top 24: 47% |
WR7 | 8.9 |
| 53 | RB | Kyren WilliamsLAR Top 3: 6%Top 12: 28%Top 24: 46% |
RB14 | 8.6 |
| 54 | WR | Drake LondonATL Top 3: 9%Top 12: 31%Top 24: 44% |
WR8 | 8.5 |
| 55 | WR | George PickensDAL Top 3: 9%Top 12: 30%Top 24: 44% |
WR9 | 8.3 |
| 56 | TE | Brock BowersLV Top 3: 29%Top 12: 58%Top 24: 88% |
TE1 | 8.3 |
| 57 | RB | Kenneth Walker IIIKC Top 3: 6%Top 12: 27%Top 24: 43% |
RB15 | 8.2 |
| 58 | WR | A.J. BrownNE Top 3: 9%Top 12: 29%Top 24: 43% |
WR10 | 8.2 |
| 59 | RB | Rhamondre StevensonNE Top 3: 6%Top 12: 25%Top 24: 44% |
RB16 | 8.2 |
| 60 | WR | DeVonta SmithPHI Top 3: 8%Top 12: 27%Top 24: 41% |
WR11 | 8.0 |
| 61 | RB | Travis EtienneNO Top 3: 5%Top 12: 24%Top 24: 41% |
RB17 | 7.9 |
| 62 | RB | Jadarian PriceSEA Top 3: 5%Top 12: 24%Top 24: 41% |
RB18 | 7.9 |
| 63 | TE | Trey McBrideARI Top 3: 26%Top 12: 57%Top 24: 87% |
TE2 | 7.9 |
| 64 | RB | Cam SkatteboNYG Top 3: 5%Top 12: 24%Top 24: 42% |
RB19 | 7.9 |
| 65 | RB | Quinshon JudkinsCLE Top 3: 5%Top 12: 23%Top 24: 40% |
RB20 | 7.8 |
| 66 | WR | Chris OlaveNO Top 3: 8%Top 12: 27%Top 24: 39% |
WR12 | 7.8 |
| 67 | RB | Jeremiyah LoveARIQQuestionable Top 3: 6%Top 12: 23%Top 24: 38% |
RB21 | 7.6 |
| 68 | WR | Tetairoa McMillanCAR Top 3: 7%Top 12: 26%Top 24: 40% |
WR13 | 7.6 |
| 69 | RB | David MontgomeryHOU Top 3: 5%Top 12: 22%Top 24: 38% |
RB22 | 7.4 |
| 70 | RB | Bucky IrvingTB Top 3: 4%Top 12: 21%Top 24: 38% |
RB23 | 7.3 |
| 71 | WR | Malik NabersNYGQQuestionable Top 3: 7%Top 12: 25%Top 24: 38% |
WR14 | 7.3 |
| 72 | RB | Bhayshul TutenJAXQQuestionable Top 3: 4%Top 12: 21%Top 24: 36% |
RB24 | 7.2 |
| 73 | WR | Rashee RiceKC Top 3: 7%Top 12: 24%Top 24: 37% |
WR15 | 7.2 |
| 74 | QB | Adrian MartinezSF Top 3: 1%Top 12: 6%Top 24: 19% |
QB33 | 7.1 |
| 75 | WR | Emeka EgbukaTBQQuestionable Top 3: 7%Top 12: 23%Top 24: 35% |
WR16 | 7.0 |
| 76 | WR | Davante AdamsLAR Top 3: 6%Top 12: 23%Top 24: 35% |
WR17 | 6.9 |
| 77 | WR | Zay FlowersBALQQuestionable Top 3: 6%Top 12: 22%Top 24: 34% |
WR18 | 6.9 |
| 78 | RB | Tony PollardTEN Top 3: 3%Top 12: 19%Top 24: 35% |
RB25 | 6.9 |
| 79 | WR | Garrett WilsonNYJ Top 3: 5%Top 12: 23%Top 24: 36% |
WR19 | 6.9 |
| 80 | TE | Colston LovelandCHI Top 3: 20%Top 12: 49%Top 24: 83% |
TE3 | 6.8 |
| 81 | RB | MarShawn LloydGB Top 3: 3%Top 12: 19%Top 24: 35% |
RB26 | 6.8 |
| 82 | RB | Jaylen WarrenPIT Top 3: 3%Top 12: 18%Top 24: 34% |
RB27 | 6.8 |
| 83 | RB | Rico DowdlePIT Top 3: 3%Top 12: 18%Top 24: 34% |
RB28 | 6.8 |
| 84 | WR | Tee HigginsCINQQuestionable Top 3: 6%Top 12: 21%Top 24: 31% |
WR20 | 6.6 |
| 85 | QB | Max BrosmerMIN Top 3: 0%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 16% |
QB34 | 6.5 |
| 86 | WR | Ladd McConkeyLAC Top 3: 4%Top 12: 20%Top 24: 33% |
WR21 | 6.5 |
| 87 | TE | Tyler WarrenINDQQuestionable Top 3: 19%Top 12: 44%Top 24: 75% |
TE4 | 6.3 |
| 88 | QB | Stetson BennettLAR Top 3: 1%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 14% |
QB35 | 6.2 |
| 89 | RB | D'Andre SwiftCHIQQuestionable Top 3: 3%Top 12: 17%Top 24: 31% |
RB29 | 6.2 |
| 90 | QB | Kedon SlovisARI Top 3: 0%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 13% |
QB36 | 6.0 |
| 91 | QB | Mason RudolphPIT Top 3: 0%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 13% |
QB37 | 5.9 |
| 92 | QB | Zach WilsonNO Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 12% |
QB38 | 5.8 |
| 93 | WR | Luther Burden IIICHIQQuestionable Top 3: 4%Top 12: 16%Top 24: 26% |
WR22 | 5.8 |
| 94 | QB | Joe Milton IIIDAL Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 13% |
QB39 | 5.8 |
| 95 | QB | Will LevisTEN Top 3: 0%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 12% |
QB40 | 5.8 |
| 96 | WR | Rome OdunzeCHIQQuestionable Top 3: 5%Top 12: 17%Top 24: 28% |
WR23 | 5.8 |
| 97 | QB | Anthony RichardsonIND Top 3: 1%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 12% |
QB41 | 5.8 |
| 98 | QB | Sean CliffordCIN Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 11% |
QB42 | 5.7 |
| 99 | QB | Josh JohnsonCIN Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 12% |
QB43 | 5.7 |
| 100 | QB | Jake HaenerNYG Top 3: 0%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 11% |
QB44 | 5.7 |
| 101 | QB | Haynes KingCARQQuestionable Top 3: 1%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 12% |
QB45 | 5.7 |
| 102 | QB | Brett RypienHOU Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 12% |
QB46 | 5.7 |
| 103 | QB | Bailey ZappeNYJ Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 12% |
QB47 | 5.7 |
| 104 | QB | Aidan O'ConnellLV Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 11% |
QB48 | 5.7 |
| 105 | QB | Brady CookNYJ Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 11% |
QB49 | 5.7 |
| 106 | QB | Andy DaltonPHI Top 3: 0%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 12% |
QB50 | 5.7 |
| 107 | QB | Easton StickIND Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 11% |
QB51 | 5.6 |
| 108 | QB | Hendon HookerTEN Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 11% |
QB52 | 5.6 |
| 109 | QB | Carson BeckARI Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 11% |
QB53 | 5.6 |
| 110 | QB | Taylen GreenCLE Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 12% |
QB54 | 5.6 |
| 111 | QB | Cam MillerMIA Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 11% |
QB55 | 5.6 |
| 112 | QB | Fernando MendozaLV Top 3: 0%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 11% |
QB56 | 5.6 |
| 113 | QB | Jack StrandATL Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 11% |
QB57 | 5.6 |
| 114 | QB | Athan KaliakmanisWAS Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 10% |
QB58 | 5.6 |
| 115 | QB | Garrett NussmeierKC Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 11% |
QB59 | 5.6 |
| 116 | QB | Jalen MilroeSEA Top 3: 0%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 11% |
QB60 | 5.6 |
| 117 | WR | DK MetcalfPITQQuestionable Top 3: 4%Top 12: 16%Top 24: 26% |
WR24 | 5.6 |
| 118 | QB | Carson WentzMIN Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 11% |
QB61 | 5.6 |
| 119 | QB | Will HowardPIT Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 11% |
QB62 | 5.6 |
| 120 | QB | Behren MortonNE Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 12% |
QB63 | 5.6 |
| 121 | QB | Joe FagnanoBAL Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 11% |
QB64 | 5.6 |
| 122 | WR | DJ MooreBUF Top 3: 3%Top 12: 15%Top 24: 26% |
WR25 | 5.5 |
| 123 | QB | Shane BuecheleBUF Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 11% |
QB65 | 5.5 |
| 124 | QB | Jake BrowningTB Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 11% |
QB66 | 5.5 |
| 125 | QB | Nick MullensJAX Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 11% |
QB67 | 5.5 |
| 126 | TE | Kyle PittsATL Top 3: 14%Top 12: 41%Top 24: 76% |
TE5 | 5.5 |
| 127 | QB | Kyle TraskCAR Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 11% |
QB68 | 5.5 |
| 128 | QB | Case KeenumCHI Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 11% |
QB69 | 5.5 |
| 129 | QB | Kurtis RourkeSF Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 10% |
QB70 | 5.5 |
| 130 | QB | Brandon AllenNYG Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 11% |
QB71 | 5.5 |
| 131 | QB | Sam EhlingerDEN Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 11% |
QB72 | 5.5 |
| 132 | WR | Jameson WilliamsDET Top 3: 3%Top 12: 15%Top 24: 26% |
WR26 | 5.5 |
| 133 | QB | Cole PaytonPHI Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 11% |
QB73 | 5.5 |
| 134 | RB | Aaron JonesMIN Top 3: 1%Top 12: 11%Top 24: 24% |
RB30 | 5.3 |
| 135 | WR | Terry McLaurinWAS Top 3: 3%Top 12: 14%Top 24: 25% |
WR27 | 5.3 |
| 136 | WR | Mike EvansSF Top 3: 3%Top 12: 13%Top 24: 24% |
WR28 | 5.2 |
| 137 | RB | Kenny GainwellTB Top 3: 2%Top 12: 11%Top 24: 24% |
RB31 | 5.2 |
| 138 | QB | Shedeur SandersCLE Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 9% |
QB74 | 5.1 |
| 139 | TE | Sam LaPortaDETQQuestionable Top 3: 13%Top 12: 35%Top 24: 65% |
TE6 | 5.0 |
| 140 | RB | Blake CorumLAR Top 3: 1%Top 12: 10%Top 24: 23% |
RB32 | 5.0 |
| 141 | QB | J.J. McCarthyMIN Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 9% |
QB75 | 5.0 |
| 142 | WR | Jaylen WaddleDEN Top 3: 3%Top 12: 12%Top 24: 22% |
WR29 | 4.9 |
| 143 | TE | George KittleSFQQuestionable Top 3: 12%Top 12: 34%Top 24: 65% |
TE7 | 4.9 |
| 144 | WR | Carnell TateTENQQuestionable Top 3: 3%Top 12: 12%Top 24: 22% |
WR30 | 4.9 |
| 145 | QB | Jalon DanielsTB Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 8% |
QB76 | 4.8 |
| 146 | WR | Alec PierceIND Top 3: 2%Top 12: 11%Top 24: 22% |
WR31 | 4.8 |
| 147 | RB | Jonathon BrooksCARQQuestionable Top 3: 2%Top 12: 11%Top 24: 23% |
RB33 | 4.8 |
| 148 | TE | Harold Fannin Jr.CLE Top 3: 11%Top 12: 33%Top 24: 69% |
TE8 | 4.8 |
| 149 | WR | Marvin Harrison Jr.ARI Top 3: 2%Top 12: 11%Top 24: 21% |
WR32 | 4.8 |
| 150 | RB | Jacory Croskey-MerrittWASQQuestionable Top 3: 2%Top 12: 10%Top 24: 22% |
RB34 | 4.8 |
| 151 | QB | Drew AllarPIT Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 8% |
QB77 | 4.7 |
| 152 | RB | Chuba HubbardCARQQuestionable Top 3: 2%Top 12: 10%Top 24: 21% |
RB35 | 4.7 |
| 153 | TE | Dallas GoedertPHI Top 3: 11%Top 12: 32%Top 24: 65% |
TE9 | 4.7 |
| 154 | WR | Quentin JohnstonLAC Top 3: 2%Top 12: 11%Top 24: 22% |
WR33 | 4.7 |
| 155 | WR | Christian WatsonGB Top 3: 2%Top 12: 12%Top 24: 22% |
WR34 | 4.7 |
| 156 | WR | Brian Thomas Jr.JAX Top 3: 2%Top 12: 11%Top 24: 21% |
WR35 | 4.7 |
| 157 | QB | Tommy DeVitoNE Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 7% |
QB78 | 4.6 |
| 158 | RB | Rachaad WhiteWASQQuestionable Top 3: 1%Top 12: 10%Top 24: 21% |
RB36 | 4.6 |
| 159 | RB | Jordan MasonMIN Top 3: 1%Top 12: 8%Top 24: 20% |
RB37 | 4.6 |
| 160 | QB | Kyle AllenBUF Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 7% |
QB79 | 4.6 |
| 161 | WR | Parker WashingtonJAX Top 3: 2%Top 12: 11%Top 24: 20% |
WR36 | 4.6 |
| 162 | RB | Tyjae SpearsTEN Top 3: 1%Top 12: 8%Top 24: 19% |
RB38 | 4.6 |
| 163 | QB | Joshua DobbsDET Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 6% |
QB80 | 4.5 |
| 164 | WR | Jordan AddisonMIN Top 3: 2%Top 12: 10%Top 24: 19% |
WR37 | 4.5 |
| 165 | TE | Mark AndrewsBAL Top 3: 11%Top 12: 31%Top 24: 63% |
TE10 | 4.5 |
| 166 | WR | Matthew GoldenGB Top 3: 2%Top 12: 10%Top 24: 19% |
WR38 | 4.5 |
| 167 | WR | Michael WilsonARI Top 3: 2%Top 12: 9%Top 24: 18% |
WR39 | 4.5 |
| 168 | QB | Justin FieldsKC Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 6% |
QB81 | 4.4 |
| 169 | QB | Gardner MinshewARI Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 6% |
QB82 | 4.4 |
| 170 | RB | Kyle MonangaiCHIQQuestionable Top 3: 1%Top 12: 9%Top 24: 20% |
RB39 | 4.4 |
| 171 | WR | Jayden ReedGB Top 3: 1%Top 12: 10%Top 24: 19% |
WR40 | 4.4 |
| 172 | RB | J.K. DobbinsDEN Top 3: 1%Top 12: 8%Top 24: 21% |
RB40 | 4.4 |
| 173 | RB | Woody MarksHOU Top 3: 1%Top 12: 8%Top 24: 19% |
RB41 | 4.4 |
| 174 | WR | Courtland SuttonDEN Top 3: 2%Top 12: 10%Top 24: 20% |
WR41 | 4.3 |
| 175 | QB | Jameis WinstonNYG Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 6% |
QB83 | 4.3 |
| 176 | WR | Michael PittmanPITQQuestionable Top 3: 2%Top 12: 10%Top 24: 19% |
WR42 | 4.3 |
| 177 | WR | Jakobi MeyersJAXQQuestionable Top 3: 2%Top 12: 10%Top 24: 18% |
WR43 | 4.3 |
| 178 | TE | Tucker KraftGBQQuestionable Top 3: 9%Top 12: 28%Top 24: 59% |
TE11 | 4.3 |
| 179 | QB | Tyrod TaylorGB Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 6% |
QB84 | 4.2 |
| 180 | QB | Kenny PickettCAR Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 6% |
QB85 | 4.2 |
| 181 | QB | Sam HowellDAL Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5% |
QB86 | 4.2 |
| 182 | WR | Wan'Dale RobinsonTENQQuestionable Top 3: 2%Top 12: 9%Top 24: 17% |
WR44 | 4.2 |
| 183 | QB | Ty SimpsonLAR Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5% |
QB87 | 4.1 |
| 184 | WR | De'Zhaun StriblingSF Top 3: 1%Top 12: 7%Top 24: 16% |
WR45 | 4.1 |
| 185 | QB | Tyson BagentCHI Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5% |
QB88 | 4.1 |
| 186 | QB | Joe FlaccoCIN Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5% |
QB89 | 4.1 |
| 187 | QB | Drew LockSEA Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5% |
QB90 | 4.1 |
| 188 | WR | Jalen CokerCAR Top 3: 1%Top 12: 8%Top 24: 16% |
WR46 | 4.1 |
| 189 | WR | Chris Godwin Jr.TB Top 3: 1%Top 12: 9%Top 24: 17% |
WR47 | 4.1 |
| 190 | WR | Stefon DiggsWAS Top 3: 1%Top 12: 7%Top 24: 15% |
WR48 | 4.1 |
| 191 | WR | Tre TuckerLV Top 3: 1%Top 12: 8%Top 24: 16% |
WR49 | 4.1 |
| 192 | QB | Trey LanceLAC Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5% |
QB91 | 4.0 |
| 193 | QB | Tyler HuntleyBAL Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5% |
QB92 | 4.0 |
| 194 | TE | Jake FergusonDAL Top 3: 8%Top 12: 27%Top 24: 57% |
TE12 | 4.0 |
| 195 | QB | Cade KlubnikNYJ Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5% |
QB93 | 4.0 |
| 196 | QB | Cooper RushATL Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5% |
QB94 | 4.0 |
| 197 | QB | Quinn EwersMIA Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5% |
QB95 | 4.0 |
| 198 | WR | Rashid ShaheedSEA Top 3: 1%Top 12: 7%Top 24: 16% |
WR50 | 4.0 |
| 199 | TE | Isaiah LikelyNYG Top 3: 8%Top 12: 26%Top 24: 61% |
TE13 | 4.0 |
| 200 | QB | Riley LeonardIND Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5% |
QB96 | 3.9 |
How these are made
This board was built from draft position for 100%, an outside projection for 64%, sportsbook props for 30%, an official status for 85%, over 4,000 simulated weeks. The projection and the odds are both unconditional: for a player carrying an official Questionable or Doubtful, the weeks he sits are in the average and in the odds. Ranks follow projected points for Standard, 1QB.
Availability is a model input: players ruled out, inactive, on a reserve list or without a game are left off the weekly board, and an official Questionable or Doubtful is simulated as playing 71% and 7% of the time. Status evidence was captured September 9, 2026 18:39 UTC. Model rankings-v1.3.0, board captured 2026-09-09.
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.