MIN · Bye 6
Jordan Mason
LMD RB Tier 6 for Week 9 · 7.8 projected Standard points · RB31 rest of season
Regular season
Week 9 and rest of season fantasy rankings
We project 7.8 points this week, RB Tier 6. The middle 80% of simulated scores runs 2.4 - 15.2 points. Top 3: 2% · Top 12: 14% · Top 24: 34% of simulated weeks.
Week 9
RB Tier 6
7.5 - 8.8 projected points
Rest of season
RB31
54th by projected points
Projected
7.8
week 9, Standard
Top 12
14%
Top 3: 2% · Top 24: 34% at RB
Movement
↓ 2
RB31 in Week 8, RB33 now
Should you start Jordan Mason in Week 9?
Borderline
It is close. LMD ranks Jordan Mason RB33 for Week 9, just outside the RB24 starter line. He finishes inside RB24 in 34% of simulated weeks.
The starter line is a standard 12-team lineup's, and is the line LMD's weekly accuracy review grades this board against.
- Draft / market prior
- Slight positive+0.36 pts
- Recent usage & efficiency
- Slight negative-0.27 pts
- AvailabilityAvailable
- Neutral0.00 pts
- Outside projection
- Slight negative-0.14 pts
- Betting markets
- No mean changeNarrower range+0.10 pts
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?
How to read
- Full model minus the model without each factor.
- Effects are not additive or changes in rank.
- Recent data includes its effect on blending weights.
- A range note means a factor moved the spread and not the expected points.
Standard scoring · Updated November 5, 2026
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
Updates
Recent updates
-
Fantasy Football Injury Impact: Aaron Jones Missing Practice Could Force Jordan Mason Into A Bell-Cow Role
Sports Illustrated ·
-
Ollie Gordon, Jordan Mason, And More Must-Start Fantasy Football Running Backs For Week 8
Sports Illustrated ·
-
Aaron Jones Avoids Devastating Injury: Expect More Jordan Mason Going Forward
Sports Illustrated ·
-
STATUS
Jordan Mason is no longer listed on the injury report.
Let's Mock Draft ·
-
Jordan Mason leads backfield with 68 yards in Week 7 return
USA TODAY ·
Headlines from other publishers, discovered automatically and matched to Jordan Mason by name -- we did not write these and we do not host them, and each one opens at the publisher who did. Status changes are the club designation carried on our player data, not a report of our own.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Over 3 completed games Jordan Mason has averaged +0.8 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs GB | 4.6 | 11.9 | +7.3 |
| Wk 2 | @ CHI | 5.0 | Pending | — |
| Wk 7 | vs IND | 5.6 | 6.8 | +1.2 |
| Wk 8 | @ DET | 8.0 | 2.0 | -6.0 |
| Wk 9 | vs BUF | 7.8 | — | — |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Draft Return
How he compares with his draft price
The draft market had him at RB35. For the rest of the season LMD has him 4 spots higher, at RB31.
Preseason market: RB35 · ADP 93.2
Season to date
Ranking what he has actually scored needs every player's season, and that board is not published yet.
Rest of season
RB31 +4
LMD has him 4 spots higher than his RB35 draft price.
Week 9
RB33 +2
LMD has him 2 spots higher than his RB35 draft price.
Standard scoring · benchmark September 9, 2026
Season to date is what he has actually scored, ranked among his position. Rest of season and this week are LMD's current expectations rather than results. All three are compared with where the draft market had him before the season started.
RB35 is where Fantasy Football Calculator had him on September 9, 2026, the last board taken before the season's first kickoff. Later boards absorb what has happened since, so they are a current market rather than a draft price.
Regular season
Why LMD has him here
We project 77.8 points this season, RB31. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 4% · Top 24: 28% of simulated seasons. That is 7.6 a game over 10.048 remaining games. Down 1 since the Nov. 4 board.
Per game
7.6 / game
Over 10.048 remaining game(s)
Finishing odds
Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 4% · Top 24: 28%
Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at RB
Market input
thin
Thin market coverage: few venues or markets priced this player.
LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.5.2. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections); PropLine (player props). · 2026 Rest of season board updated November 5, 2026
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Jordan Mason #197 in 1QB and #192 in Superflex, RB50 at his position. Age 27.
1QB
#197
RB50 · tier 43 · of 300
Superflex
#192
RB50 · tier 36 · of 307
- Last season 121.9 pts 7.6 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
- Availability 87% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
- History 3 seasons Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
- Touches 10.2 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 3% of his team's targets.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated October 2026.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Standard 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
9.06
pick 102.0 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
9.06
half of simulations take him by pick 102
Draft range
7.11 - 11.01
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 9,999 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 9.06 in 51% of simulations
Pick 102 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 6, the same seat picks again at 10.07, where he is available in 20% of simulations.
Slot 6's remaining turns: 9.06 51% · 10.07 20% · 11.06 5% · 12.07 <1% · 13.06 <1% · 14.07 <1% · 15.06 <1%
The middle half of simulations take him between 8.07 and 10.04.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 9.04 | 56% |
| 9.05 | 54% |
| 9.06 | 51% |
| 9.07 | 49% |
| 9.08 | 46% |
| 9.09 | 44% |
| 9.10 | 41% |
| 9.11 | 39% |
| 9.12 | 36% |
| 10.01 | 34% |
| 10.02 | 31% |
| 10.03 | 28% |
| 10.04 | 26% |
| 10.05 | 24% |
| 10.06 | 22% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 7.11-7.12 | 3% | 286 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.01-8.02 | 3% | 345 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.03-8.04 | 4% | 404 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.05-8.06 | 4% | 367 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.07-8.08 | 5% | 458 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.09-8.10 | 5% | 459 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.11-8.12 | 5% | 480 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.01-9.02 | 4% | 448 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.03-9.04 | 5% | 478 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.05-9.06 | 5% | 508 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.07-9.08 | 5% | 498 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.09-9.10 | 5% | 497 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.11-9.12 | 5% | 514 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.01-10.02 | 5% | 521 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.03-10.04 | 5% | 452 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.05-10.06 | 4% | 401 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.07-10.08 | 3% | 318 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.09-10.10 | 3% | 336 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.11-10.12 | 3% | 290 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.01 | 1% | 114 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 9999 simulations in which Jordan Mason was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- J.K. Dobbins RB · DEN 2%
- Jacory Croskey-Merritt RB · WAS 2%
- George Kittle TE · SF 2%
- Oronde Gadsden II TE · LAC 2%
Usually taken just after
- Brian Robinson Jr. RB · ATL 2%
- Oronde Gadsden II TE · LAC 2%
- Blake Corum RB · LAR 2%
- Jonathon Brooks RB · CAR 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Standard 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Jordan Mason was selected in 9999 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of November 5, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.
A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- November 5, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@c60914d598b9e57d
- Baseline
- mixed
- Market prior
- ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-11-05)
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.