CAR · Bye 5
Bryce Young
Bryce Young comes off the board at 15.06 on average in 12-team Standard 1QB mock drafts, with a median of 15.07.
12-team Standard 1QB · 10,000 simulations · generated September 17, 2026
Updates
Recent updates
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THE NFL BETTER PAY ATTENTION: Bryce Young Is Turning Heads in Carolina!
yardbarker.com ·
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Panthers news: Why Michael Irvin 'loves' Bryce Young after tormenting Falcons
Yahoo Sports ·
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Bryce Young is quietly becoming a bigger part of the Panthers’ success but nobody is talking about it, and maybe that’s a good thing
yardbarker.com ·
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Bryce Young, Carolina Panthers soar to first win of the season
al.com ·
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Bryce Young, Carolina Panthers offense explodes for first win of the season
dothaneagle.com ·
Headlines from other publishers, discovered automatically and matched to Bryce Young by name -- we did not write these and we do not host them, and each one opens at the publisher who did.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Over 2 completed games Bryce Young has averaged +14.3 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs CHI | 12.2 | 31.4 | +19.2 |
| Wk 2 | @ ATL | 14.8 | 24.1 | +9.3 |
| Wk 3 | @ CLE | 19.3 | — | — |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Bryce Young #77 in 1QB and #51 in Superflex, QB18 at his position. Age 25.
1QB
#77
QB18 · tier 19 · of 297
Superflex
#51
QB18 · tier 11 · of 303
- Last season 218.0 pts 13.6 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
- Availability 91% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
- History 3 seasons Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
- Attempts 29.8 / game Pass attempts per game, the opportunity the projection is built on.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Standard 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
15.06
pick 173.8 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
15.07
half of simulations take him by pick 175
Draft range
15.01 - 15.11
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 1,950 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 15.07 in 90% of simulations
Pick 175 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
The middle half of simulations take him between 15.04 and 15.10.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 15.05 | 94% |
| 15.06 | 92% |
| 15.07 | 90% |
| 15.08 | 89% |
| 15.09 | 87% |
| 15.10 | 86% |
| 15.11 | 84% |
| 15.12 | 82% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 15.01 | <1% | 92 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.02 | 1% | 120 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.03 | 1% | 134 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.04 | 2% | 154 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.05 | 2% | 163 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.06 | 2% | 157 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.07 | 2% | 152 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.08 | 2% | 161 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.09 | 2% | 174 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.10 | 2% | 178 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.11 | 2% | 181 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 1950 simulations in which Bryce Young was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Harrison Butker K · KC 3%
- Jake Bates K · DET 3%
- Tyjae Spears RB · TEN 3%
- Alvin Kamara RB · NO 3%
Usually taken just after
- Harrison Butker K · KC 3%
- Jayden Higgins WR · HOU 3%
- Braelon Allen RB · NYJ 2%
- Travis Hunter WR · JAX 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Standard 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Bryce Young was selected in 1950 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of September 17, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.
A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- September 17, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
- Baseline
- mixed
- Market prior
- ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-09-17)
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.