GB · Bye 11
Jordan Love
Jordan Love comes off the board at 10.01 on average in 12-team Standard 1QB mock drafts, with a median of 9.11.
12-team Standard 1QB · 10,000 simulations · generated September 17, 2026
Updates
Recent updates
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Packers Film Room: Christian Watson, Jordan Love adjust for a touchdown
Yahoo Sports ·
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Jordan Love posts two TD strikes in Week 2
Yahoo Sports ·
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Josh Jacobs’ Absence Leaves Jordan Love Facing A Bigger Challenge With Green Bay Packers
sports.ndtv.com ·
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Josh Jacobs' Absence Leaves Jordan Love Facing A Bigger Challenge
sports.ndtv.com ·
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Jets rule out safety Minkah Fitzpatrick against Packers as Jordan Love brings a pass-heavy attack
houstonchronicle.com ·
Headlines from other publishers, discovered automatically and matched to Jordan Love by name -- we did not write these and we do not host them, and each one opens at the publisher who did.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Over 2 completed games Jordan Love has averaged +3.1 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | @ MIN | 12.5 | 19.5 | +7.0 |
| Wk 2 | @ NYJ | 14.6 | 13.8 | -0.8 |
| Wk 3 | vs ATL | 17.4 | — | — |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Draft Return
How he compares with his draft price
The draft market had him at QB20. No board we publish ranks him now, so there is nothing to measure that price against.
Preseason market: QB20 · ADP 144.3
Season to date
Ranking what he has actually scored needs every player's season, and that board is not published yet.
Rest of season
No current board ranks him, so there is nothing to compare his draft price with.
This week
Not ranked this week — a bye or a ruling out takes a player off the weekly board rather than ranking him last.
Standard scoring · benchmark September 9, 2026
Season to date is what he has actually scored, ranked among his position. Rest of season and this week are LMD's current expectations rather than results. All three are compared with where the draft market had him before the season started.
QB20 is where Fantasy Football Calculator had him on September 9, 2026, the last board taken before the season's first kickoff. Later boards absorb what has happened since, so they are a current market rather than a draft price.
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Jordan Love #64 in 1QB and #38 in Superflex, QB16 at his position. Age 27.
1QB
#64
QB16 · tier 17 · of 297
Superflex
#38
QB16 · tier 9 · of 303
- Last season 235.1 pts 15.7 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
- Availability 91% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
- History 3 seasons Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
- Attempts 29.9 / game Pass attempts per game, the opportunity the projection is built on.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Standard 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
10.01
pick 109.0 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
9.11
half of simulations take him by pick 107
Draft range
8.06 - 11.10
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 9,985 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 9.11 in 51% of simulations
Pick 107 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 11, the same seat picks again at 10.02, where he is available in 45% of simulations.
Slot 11's remaining turns: 9.11 51% · 10.02 45% · 11.11 9% · 12.02 7% · 13.11 1% · 14.02 1% · 15.11 <1%
The middle half of simulations take him between 8.12 and 10.11.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 9.09 | 56% |
| 9.10 | 54% |
| 9.11 | 51% |
| 9.12 | 49% |
| 10.01 | 47% |
| 10.02 | 45% |
| 10.03 | 42% |
| 10.04 | 40% |
| 10.05 | 38% |
| 10.06 | 36% |
| 10.07 | 34% |
| 10.08 | 32% |
| 10.09 | 30% |
| 10.10 | 28% |
| 10.11 | 27% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 8.06-8.07 | 4% | 401 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.08-8.09 | 5% | 465 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.10-8.11 | 5% | 473 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.12-9.01 | 5% | 491 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.02-9.03 | 5% | 484 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.04-9.05 | 5% | 477 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.06-9.07 | 5% | 472 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.08-9.09 | 5% | 485 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.10-9.11 | 5% | 465 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.12-10.01 | 4% | 436 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.02-10.03 | 4% | 413 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.04-10.05 | 4% | 412 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.06-10.07 | 4% | 422 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.08-10.09 | 4% | 367 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.10-10.11 | 4% | 372 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.12-11.01 | 3% | 333 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.02-11.03 | 3% | 316 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.04-11.05 | 3% | 258 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.06-11.07 | 3% | 273 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.08-11.09 | 2% | 235 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.10 | 1% | 118 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 9985 simulations in which Jordan Love was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Bo Nix QB · DEN 2%
- Patrick Mahomes QB · KC 2%
- Jaxson Dart QB · NYG 2%
- Justin Herbert QB · LAC 2%
Usually taken just after
- Patrick Mahomes QB · KC 3%
- Bo Nix QB · DEN 2%
- Kyle Pitts TE · ATL 2%
- Hunter Henry TE · NE 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Standard 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Jordan Love was selected in 9985 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of September 17, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.
A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- September 17, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
- Baseline
- mixed
- Market prior
- ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-09-17)
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.