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LV · Bye 13 · Rookie

Fernando Mendoza

Fernando Mendoza comes off the board at 11.09 on average in 12-team Standard 1QB mock drafts, with a median of 11.07.

12-team Standard 1QB · 10,000 simulations · generated September 17, 2026

Updates

Recent updates

Headlines from other publishers, discovered automatically and matched to Fernando Mendoza by name -- we did not write these and we do not host them, and each one opens at the publisher who did.

Season performance

Performance vs. projection

No completed game has both a pregame projection and a published result yet.

Actual pointsLMD projectionLikely range (middle 80%)
Week by week for Fernando Mendoza, Standard scoring
Week Opp Proj Actual Delta
Wk 1 vs MIA 5.6 Pending —
Wk 2 @ LAC 9.1 Pending —
Wk 3 @ NO 15.4 — —

Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.

Dynasty

Long-term value

LMD's dynasty model has Fernando Mendoza #52 in 1QB and #28 in Superflex, QB12 at his position, priced from his draft slot as a rookie. Age 22.

1QB

#52

QB12 · tier 15 · of 297 · rookie 4 of 52

Superflex

#28

QB12 · tier 7 · of 303 · rookie 2 of 52

  • Draft capital Round 1, pick 1 (2026) A rookie is priced from where he was drafted, on a prior fitted over prior classes.

LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.

Dynasty rankings Dynasty QB rankings Dynasty rookie rankings

Draft season Draft position and availability

ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Standard 1QB drafts.

Simulated draft position

Where he goes

Simulation average

11.09

pick 129.3 overall, averaged over every simulated draft

Median pick

11.07

half of simulations take him by pick 127

Draft range

10.02 - 14.02

the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)

Simulations

10,000

drafted in 9,621 of them

Filters

League format

League size 12 teams
Scoring Standard also published: Half PPR, Full PPR
QB format 1QB
Pool Redraft

Availability

Odds he reaches your pick

Available at 11.07 in 52% of simulations

Pick 127 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations

From draft slot 7, the same seat picks again at 12.06, where he is available in 27% of simulations.

Slot 7's remaining turns: 11.07 52% · 12.06 27% · 13.07 14% · 14.06 13% · 15.07 7%

The middle half of simulations take him between 10.08 and 12.05.

Fernando Mendoza still on the board
PickAvailable
11.05 57%
11.06 54%
11.07 52%
11.08 50%
11.09 47%
11.10 45%
11.11 43%
11.12 40%
12.01 38%
12.02 36%
12.03 34%
12.04 32%
12.05 29%
12.06 27%
12.07 25%

Distribution

Draft position distribution

Share of simulations in which Fernando Mendoza was selected at each pick, 10.02-10.04 through 14.02. He goes earlier than this window in 9%, later in 9%, undrafted in 4%.
Draft position distribution for Fernando Mendoza
PickShare of simulationsCount
10.02-10.046%604 of 10000 simulations
10.05-10.076%641 of 10000 simulations
10.08-10.107%715 of 10000 simulations
10.11-11.017%700 of 10000 simulations
11.02-11.047%706 of 10000 simulations
11.05-11.077%719 of 10000 simulations
11.08-11.107%708 of 10000 simulations
11.11-12.017%668 of 10000 simulations
12.02-12.047%657 of 10000 simulations
12.05-12.076%638 of 10000 simulations
12.08-12.105%545 of 10000 simulations
12.11-13.013%326 of 10000 simulations
13.02-13.04<1%6 of 10000 simulations
13.05-13.07<1%11 of 10000 simulations
13.08-13.10<1%24 of 10000 simulations
13.11-14.01<1%35 of 10000 simulations
14.02<1%27 of 10000 simulations

Draft context

Who goes around him

Measured over the 9621 simulations in which Fernando Mendoza was drafted.

Usually taken just before

Usually taken just after

Methodology

How this is measured

Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Standard 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.

Fernando Mendoza was selected in 9621 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.

Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of September 17, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.

A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.

Simulation model
simulation-v1.2
Generated
September 17, 2026
Player dataset
nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
Baseline
mixed
Market prior
ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-09-17)

Next

Draft it yourself

Mock a 12-team Standard 1QB draft

Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.