ARI · Bye 14
Jacoby Brissett
Jacoby Brissett comes off the board at 14.05 on average in 12-team Half PPR Superflex mock drafts, with a median of 15.01.
12-team Half PPR Superflex · 10,000 simulations · generated September 17, 2026
Updates
Recent updates
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Jacoby Brissett Calls Out Fantasy Players About Kendrick Bourne and Hypes Jeremiyah Love
Bleacher Report ·
Headlines from other publishers, discovered automatically and matched to Jacoby Brissett by name -- we did not write these and we do not host them, and each one opens at the publisher who did.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Over 2 completed games Jacoby Brissett has averaged +0.4 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | @ LAC | 10.7 | 16.5 | +5.8 |
| Wk 2 | vs SEA | 11.6 | 6.5 | -5.1 |
| Wk 3 | @ SF | 13.9 | — | — |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Jacoby Brissett #165 in 1QB and #156 in Superflex, QB31 at his position. Age 33.
1QB
#165
QB31 · tier 38 · of 297
Superflex
#156
QB31 · tier 28 · of 303
- Last season 227.4 pts 16.2 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
- Availability 56% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
- History 3 seasons Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
- Attempts 26.5 / game Pass attempts per game, the opportunity the projection is built on.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR Superflex drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
14.05
pick 160.7 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
15.01
half of simulations take him by pick 169
Draft range
12.04 - 15.10
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 1,873 of them
Filters
League format
Nothing is published for every setting in that link, so this is the closest configuration we have simulated for Jacoby Brissett.
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 15.01 in 91% of simulations
Pick 169 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
The middle half of simulations take him between 12.11 and 15.07.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 14.11 | 92% |
| 14.12 | 91% |
| 15.01 | 91% |
| 15.02 | 90% |
| 15.03 | 89% |
| 15.04 | 89% |
| 15.05 | 88% |
| 15.06 | 87% |
| 15.07 | 86% |
| 15.08 | 86% |
| 15.09 | 85% |
| 15.10 | 84% |
| 15.11 | 83% |
| 15.12 | 82% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 12.04-12.05 | <1% | 68 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.06-12.07 | <1% | 66 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.08-12.09 | <1% | 95 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.10-12.11 | 1% | 112 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.12-13.01 | <1% | 74 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.02-13.03 | <1% | 9 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.04-13.05 | <1% | 11 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.06-13.07 | <1% | 10 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.08-13.09 | <1% | 14 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.10-13.11 | <1% | 6 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.12-14.01 | <1% | 24 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.02-14.03 | <1% | 36 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.04-14.05 | <1% | 42 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.06-14.07 | <1% | 29 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.08-14.09 | <1% | 37 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.10-14.11 | <1% | 61 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.12-15.01 | <1% | 97 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.02-15.03 | 2% | 153 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.04-15.05 | 2% | 154 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.06-15.07 | 2% | 153 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.08-15.09 | 2% | 188 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.10 | <1% | 99 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 1873 simulations in which Jacoby Brissett was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Harrison Butker K · KC 3%
- Bryce Young QB · CAR 2%
- Jauan Jennings WR · MIN 2%
- Jake Bates K · DET 2%
Usually taken just after
- Jake Bates K · DET 3%
- Andy Borregales K · NE 2%
- AJ Barner TE · SEA 2%
- Alvin Kamara RB · NO 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR Superflex drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Jacoby Brissett was selected in 1873 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
We license no ADP feed of our own, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- September 17, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
- Baseline
- rank
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.