TEN · Bye 9
Tyjae Spears
LMD RB55 rest of season · 45.1 projected Standard points
No game this week
In season
Rest of season fantasy ranking
We project 45.1 points this season, RB55. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 0% of simulated seasons. That is 4.4 a game over 10.141 remaining games. No game this week. Up 5 since the Nov. 4 board.
Rest of season
RB55
136th by projected points
Projected
45.1
rest of season, Standard
Top 12
0%
Top 3: 0% · Top 24: 0% at RB
Movement
↑ 5
RB60 on Nov. 4, RB55 now
LMD vs the draft market
RB55 vs RB50 -5
LMD has him RB55. The fantasy draft market has him RB50, 5 places higher.
Recent usage below his season baseline.
Standard scoring · Updated November 5, 2026
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
Updates
Recent updates
-
Tyjae Spears and 3 Other Fantasy Football Week 9 Waiver Adds No One Is Talking About
Sports Illustrated ·
-
Fantasy Football Injury Update: BIG Week for Tony Pollard & WanDale Robinson with Carnell Tate & Tyjae Spears OUT?
Sports Illustrated ·
-
Carnell Tate and Tyjae Spears Out for Titans in Week 8: Who Breaks Out Without Them?
Sports Illustrated ·
-
STATUS
Tyjae Spears was listed as Questionable.
Let's Mock Draft ·
-
Tyjae Spears Has Gone Invisible for Titans - Could Unexpected Veteran RB Take His Place?
Sports Illustrated ·
Headlines from other publishers, discovered automatically and matched to Tyjae Spears by name -- we did not write these and we do not host them, and each one opens at the publisher who did. Status changes are the club designation carried on our player data, not a report of our own.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Over 6 completed games Tyjae Spears has averaged -2.0 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs NYJ | 4.6 | 2.4 | -2.2 |
| Wk 2 | vs PHI | 4.0 | 7.0 | +3.0 |
| Wk 3 | @ NYG | 3.8 | 0.5 | -3.3 |
| Wk 4 | @ BAL | 3.1 | 0.6 | -2.5 |
| Wk 5 | vs HOU | 4.0 | 0.8 | -3.2 |
| Wk 6 | @ IND | 4.5 | 0.8 | -3.7 |
| Wk 7 | vs CLE | 2.5 | Pending | — |
| Wk 8 | @ CIN | 4.4 | Pending | — |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Regular season
Why LMD has him here
We project 45.1 points this season, RB55. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 0% of simulated seasons. That is 4.4 a game over 10.141 remaining games. No game this week. Up 5 since the Nov. 4 board.
Per game
4.4 / game
Over 10.141 remaining game(s)
Finishing odds
Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 0%
Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at RB
Market input
none
No market signal available.
LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.5.2. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections); PropLine (player props). · 2026 Rest of season board updated November 5, 2026
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Tyjae Spears #150 in 1QB and #153 in Superflex, RB43 at his position. Age 25.
1QB
#150
RB43 · tier 34 · of 300
Superflex
#153
RB43 · tier 28 · of 307
- Last season 89.2 pts 6.9 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
- Availability 79% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
- History 3 seasons Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
- Touches 9.7 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 12% of his team's targets.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated October 2026.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Standard 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
15.03
pick 170.8 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
15.05
half of simulations take him by pick 173
Draft range
14.03 - 15.11
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 4,259 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 15.05 in 79% of simulations
Pick 173 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
The middle half of simulations take him between 14.12 and 15.09.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 15.03 | 84% |
| 15.04 | 81% |
| 15.05 | 79% |
| 15.06 | 76% |
| 15.07 | 74% |
| 15.08 | 71% |
| 15.09 | 68% |
| 15.10 | 65% |
| 15.11 | 63% |
| 15.12 | 60% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 14.03 | <1% | 79 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.04 | <1% | 76 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.05 | <1% | 70 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.06 | <1% | 63 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.07 | <1% | 71 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.08 | <1% | 61 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.09 | <1% | 80 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.10 | <1% | 85 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.11 | <1% | 67 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.12 | <1% | 93 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.01 | 2% | 249 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.02 | 3% | 252 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.03 | 2% | 244 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.04 | 2% | 246 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.05 | 3% | 272 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.06 | 3% | 262 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.07 | 3% | 288 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.08 | 3% | 260 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.09 | 3% | 274 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.10 | 3% | 263 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.11 | 3% | 281 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 4259 simulations in which Tyjae Spears was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Harrison Butker K · KC 3%
- Will Reichard K · MIN 3%
- Eddy Pineiro K · SF 2%
- Jake Bates K · DET 2%
Usually taken just after
- Will Reichard K · MIN 3%
- Harrison Butker K · KC 2%
- Jake Bates K · DET 2%
- Khalil Shakir WR · BUF 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Standard 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Tyjae Spears was selected in 4259 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of November 5, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.
A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- November 5, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@c60914d598b9e57d
- Baseline
- mixed
- Market prior
- ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-11-05)
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.