PIT · Bye 9
Michael Pittman Jr.
LMD WR110 rest of season · 27.7 projected Standard points
No game this week
In season
Rest of season fantasy ranking
We project 27.7 points this season, WR110. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 0% of simulated seasons. That is 4.8 a game over 5.825 remaining games. No game this week. Down 5 since the Nov. 4 board.
Rest of season
WR110
232nd by projected points
Projected
27.7
rest of season, Standard
Top 12
0%
Top 3: 0% · Top 24: 0% at WR
Movement
↓ 5
WR105 on Nov. 4, WR110 now
Standard scoring · Updated November 5, 2026
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
Updates
Recent updates
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Steelers WR Michael Pittman Jr. shuts down surgery speculation
Yahoo Sports ·
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Steelers WR Michael Pittman Jr. hopes to return after bye week
bradfordera.com ·
-
Steelers WR Michael Pittman Jr. shares encouraging update on potential Week 10 return
clutchpoints.com ·
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Steelers WR Michael Pittman Jr. hopes to return after bye week
triblive.com ·
-
Steelers’ Michael Pittman Jr. Reveals Hopeful Return Date
Sports Illustrated ·
Headlines from other publishers, discovered automatically and matched to Michael Pittman Jr. by name -- we did not write these and we do not host them, and each one opens at the publisher who did.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Over 3 completed games Michael Pittman Jr. has averaged -1.5 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs ATL | 4.3 | 5.8 | +1.5 |
| Wk 2 | @ NE | 3.5 | Pending | — |
| Wk 3 | vs CIN | 3.9 | 1.6 | -2.3 |
| Wk 4 | @ CLE | 5.3 | 1.5 | -3.8 |
| Wk 5 | vs IND | 5.5 | Pending | — |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Draft Return
How he compares with his draft price
The draft market had him at WR43. For the rest of the season LMD has him 67 spots lower, at WR110.
Preseason market: WR43 · ADP 89.5
Season to date
Ranking what he has actually scored needs every player's season, and that board is not published yet.
Rest of season
WR110 −67
LMD has him 67 spots lower than his WR43 draft price.
This week
Not ranked this week — a bye or a ruling out takes a player off the weekly board rather than ranking him last.
Standard scoring · benchmark September 9, 2026
Season to date is what he has actually scored, ranked among his position. Rest of season and this week are LMD's current expectations rather than results. All three are compared with where the draft market had him before the season started.
WR43 is where Fantasy Football Calculator had him on September 9, 2026, the last board taken before the season's first kickoff. Later boards absorb what has happened since, so they are a current market rather than a draft price.
Regular season
Why LMD has him here
We project 27.7 points this season, WR110. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 0% of simulated seasons. That is 4.8 a game over 5.825 remaining games. No game this week. Down 5 since the Nov. 4 board.
Per game
4.8 / game
Over 5.825 remaining game(s)
Finishing odds
Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 0%
Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at WR
Market input
none
No market signal available.
LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.5.2. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections); PropLine (player props). · 2026 Rest of season board updated November 5, 2026
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Michael Pittman Jr. #85 in 1QB and #87 in Superflex, WR32 at his position. Age 28.
1QB
#85
WR32 · tier 21 · of 300
Superflex
#87
WR32 · tier 16 · of 307
- Last season 162.4 pts 9.6 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
- Availability 97% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
- History 3 seasons Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
- Touches 7.3 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 24% of his team's targets.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated October 2026.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Standard 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
9.03
pick 99.0 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
9.02
half of simulations take him by pick 98
Draft range
7.08 - 10.10
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 9,999 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 9.02 in 52% of simulations
Pick 98 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 2, the same seat picks again at 10.11, where he is available in 10% of simulations.
Slot 2's remaining turns: 9.02 52% · 10.11 10% · 11.02 6% · 12.11 <1% · 13.02 <1% · 14.11 <1% · 15.02 <1%
The middle half of simulations take him between 8.04 and 10.02.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 8.12 | 58% |
| 9.01 | 55% |
| 9.02 | 52% |
| 9.03 | 50% |
| 9.04 | 47% |
| 9.05 | 45% |
| 9.06 | 43% |
| 9.07 | 40% |
| 9.08 | 38% |
| 9.09 | 36% |
| 9.10 | 34% |
| 9.11 | 32% |
| 9.12 | 30% |
| 10.01 | 28% |
| 10.02 | 26% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 7.08-7.09 | 3% | 308 of 10000 simulations |
| 7.10-7.11 | 3% | 294 of 10000 simulations |
| 7.12-8.01 | 4% | 375 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.02-8.03 | 4% | 393 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.04-8.05 | 5% | 478 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.06-8.07 | 4% | 432 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.08-8.09 | 5% | 471 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.10-8.11 | 5% | 503 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.12-9.01 | 5% | 541 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.02-9.03 | 5% | 511 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.04-9.05 | 5% | 470 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.06-9.07 | 5% | 475 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.08-9.09 | 4% | 411 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.10-9.11 | 4% | 420 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.12-10.01 | 4% | 403 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.02-10.03 | 4% | 415 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.04-10.05 | 4% | 388 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.06-10.07 | 3% | 334 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.08-10.09 | 3% | 292 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.10 | 1% | 142 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 9999 simulations in which Michael Pittman Jr. was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Jayden Reed WR · GB 2%
- Chuba Hubbard RB · CAR 2%
- J.K. Dobbins RB · DEN 2%
- Jordan Addison WR · MIN 2%
Usually taken just after
- Jakobi Meyers WR · JAX 2%
- Chris Godwin Jr. WR · TB 2%
- Jordan Addison WR · MIN 2%
- Blake Corum RB · LAR 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Standard 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Michael Pittman Jr. was selected in 9999 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of November 5, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.
A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- November 5, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@c60914d598b9e57d
- Baseline
- mixed
- Market prior
- ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-11-05)
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.