CLE · Bye 11
Harold Fannin Jr.
LMD TE12 for Week 3 · 5.4 projected Standard points · TE13 rest of season
Regular season
Week 3 and rest of season fantasy rankings
We project 5.4 points this week, TE12. Top 3: 8% · Top 12: 27% · Top 24: 53% of simulated weeks.
Week 3
TE12
109th by projected points
Rest of season
TE13
129th by projected points
Projected
5.4
week 3, Standard
Top 12
27%
Top 3: 8% · Top 24: 53% at TE
Movement
—
Unchanged: TE12 in Week 2
- Draft / market prior
- Neutral-0.05 pts
- Recent usage & efficiency
- No mean changeNarrower range-0.05 pts
- AvailabilityAvailable
- Neutral0.00 pts
- Outside projection
- Neutral+0.08 pts
- Betting markets
- No signal
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?
How to read
- Full model minus the model without each factor.
- Effects are not additive or changes in rank.
- Recent data includes its effect on blending weights.
- A range note means a factor moved the spread and not the expected points.
Standard scoring · Updated September 22, 2026
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
Updates
Recent updates
-
Harold Fannin Jr. totals five receptions
USA TODAY ·
-
Harold Fannin Jr. very quiet in Week 1
Yahoo Sports ·
-
ADP UPDATE
Harold Fannin Jr.'s ADP at Fantasy Football Calculator moved from 78.9 to 86.2 over the last 7 days.
Headlines from other publishers, discovered automatically and matched to Harold Fannin Jr. by name -- we did not write these and we do not host them, and each one opens at the publisher who did. Draft-position figures are measured, and name the market they came from.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Over 2 completed games Harold Fannin Jr. has averaged -1.0 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | @ JAX | 4.8 | 2.1 | -2.7 |
| Wk 2 | @ TB | 4.7 | 5.4 | +0.7 |
| Wk 3 | vs CAR | 5.4 | — | — |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Regular season
Why LMD has him here
We project 78.5 points this season, TE13. Top 3: 2% · Top 12: 33% · Top 24: 84% of simulated seasons. That is 5.4 a game over 15 remaining games. Down 1 since the Sept. 20 board.
Per game
5.4 / game
Over 15 remaining game(s)
Finishing odds
Top 3: 2% · Top 12: 33% · Top 24: 84%
Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at TE
Market input
none
No market signal available.
LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.3.0. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections). · 2026 Rest of season board updated September 22, 2026
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Harold Fannin Jr. #31 in 1QB and #39 in Superflex, TE3 at his position. Age 22.
1QB
#31
TE3 · tier 11 · of 297
Superflex
#39
TE3 · tier 9 · of 303
- Last season 150.4 pts 9.4 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
- Availability 94% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
- History 1 season Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
- Touches 7.1 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 22% of his team's targets.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Standard 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
7.09
pick 80.9 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
7.09
half of simulations take him by pick 81
Draft range
6.03 - 9.02
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in every one
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 7.09 in 51% of simulations
Pick 81 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 9, the same seat picks again at 8.04, where he is available in 32% of simulations.
Slot 9's remaining turns: 7.09 51% · 8.04 32% · 9.09 4% · 10.04 <1% · 11.09 <1% · 12.04 0%
The middle half of simulations take him between 6.11 and 8.06.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 7.07 | 56% |
| 7.08 | 53% |
| 7.09 | 51% |
| 7.10 | 48% |
| 7.11 | 46% |
| 7.12 | 43% |
| 8.01 | 40% |
| 8.02 | 37% |
| 8.03 | 35% |
| 8.04 | 32% |
| 8.05 | 29% |
| 8.06 | 26% |
| 8.07 | 24% |
| 8.08 | 22% |
| 8.09 | 20% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 6.03-6.04 | 4% | 392 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.05-6.06 | 4% | 371 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.07-6.08 | 4% | 368 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.09-6.10 | 4% | 411 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.11-6.12 | 4% | 415 of 10000 simulations |
| 7.01-7.02 | 4% | 426 of 10000 simulations |
| 7.03-7.04 | 6% | 560 of 10000 simulations |
| 7.05-7.06 | 5% | 505 of 10000 simulations |
| 7.07-7.08 | 6% | 550 of 10000 simulations |
| 7.09-7.10 | 5% | 517 of 10000 simulations |
| 7.11-7.12 | 5% | 542 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.01-8.02 | 5% | 547 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.03-8.04 | 6% | 569 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.05-8.06 | 5% | 505 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.07-8.08 | 4% | 426 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.09-8.10 | 4% | 382 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.11-8.12 | 4% | 372 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.01-9.02 | 3% | 251 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 10000 simulations in which Harold Fannin Jr. was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Tyler Warren TE · IND 3%
- Sam LaPorta TE · DET 2%
- Matthew Stafford QB · LAR 2%
- Jalen Hurts QB · PHI 2%
Usually taken just after
- Jalen Hurts QB · PHI 2%
- Tucker Kraft TE · GB 2%
- Sam LaPorta TE · DET 2%
- Brian Thomas Jr. WR · JAX 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Standard 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Harold Fannin Jr. was selected in 10000 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of September 17, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.
A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- September 17, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
- Baseline
- mixed
- Market prior
- ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-09-17)
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.